Rumor: Rumors & Proposals Thread | The Oilers Biggest Roster Need Is?

Oilers Biggest Roster Need?

  • 2nd Pairing RD

    Votes: 36 46.8%
  • Starting Goalie

    Votes: 39 50.6%
  • Top 6 LW (RNH, Podkolzin and Jeff Skinner Aren't Getting it Done)

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Top 6 RW (Arvidsson and Hyman Aren't Getting it Done)

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 3C

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Physical Bottom 6 Wingers

    Votes: 1 1.3%
  • Other (Post Your Opinion)

    Votes: 1 1.3%

  • Total voters
    77

Zguy370

Registered User
Dec 25, 2007
6,635
2,285
The chances being fewer?

The Oilers allow the 3rd least amount of shots and high danger zone chances in the league. The defense isn't perfect but they're doing a pretty good job.

The problem is horrid goaltending. Period.
You would think, like after over 2 seasons now, but it's like rocket science to some and the org to figure out
 
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CanadasTeam99

Registered User
Jul 22, 2024
1,482
1,589
I am posting this again so it is not skipped about Blackwood. Adding in PK

Blackwood is on a bad team (Min 9 games played) 28 goalies on this list

SJ - Sharks allowed 174 hdc, only Pitts is worse. Sharks are also 5th in hd save %, EDM 22nd

EDM is top 10 with 116 HDCA. #1 is Vancouver at 100 allowed


Goals saved above expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

Goals Saved Above expected per 60 - Blackwood 11th / Skinner 28th

Save % Above Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

GAA Better Than Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 28th

YUP, Blackwood is no good lol.

4 on 5

Goals saved above expected - Blackwood 13th / Skinner last at 29th

Goals Saved Above expected per 60 - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 29th

Save % Above Expected - Blackwood 11th / Skinner 29th

GAA Better Than Expected - Blackwood 13th / Skinner 29th

Anybody who even remotely thinks Skinner is good here is on acid
 

CanadasTeam99

Registered User
Jul 22, 2024
1,482
1,589
If there is a goaltending category you can bet Skinner is at the bottom of it.
He is. Look above at my post on some ES and PK Numbers

Makes you pissed lol

Who are some realistic Skinner replacements via trade close to the deadline
Right now? Give me a guy with 2 arms, 2 legs, and a heartbeat. Can;t be hard to get somebody better than dead last lol
 

brentashton

Registered User
Jan 21, 2018
15,458
22,410
I wonder if SJ would bite on something like this?

To SJ: Jeff Skinner, Derek Ryan, Calvin Pickard and our 2026 2nd Round Pick $4.9 million out
To Edm: Mackenzie Blackwood and Klim Kostin $4.35 million in

Recalling Noah Philp would mean that we'd be adding $225K in cap after the trade and his recall.

RNH-McDavid-Hyman
Podkolzin-Draisaitl-Arvidsson
Janmark-Henrique-Brown
Kostin-Philp-Perry

Ekholm-Bouchard
Nurse-Stetcher
Kulak-Emberson

Blackwood
Skinner
Ive said it before, think Blackwood could be a bit of a sleeper in our system. I’d run him 1 and put skinner as 2 until proven otherwise.
 

Tobias Kahun

Registered User
Oct 3, 2017
44,888
56,140
Voted based on need and probability to acquire under our cap situation so went with 2RD as out most critical but also fillable need.

Kulak Emberson look like a solid 3rd pairing, get a solid 2RD and a lot of the goaltending gets better as the chances should be fewer. Kane coming back solves the LW issue and I believe we will pickup a physical bottom 6 winger and Philp should be a regular come the TDL.

There are no starters available, Nashville not trading Saros after just signing him to 8 years and we can’t fit him in under the cap anyway.

I don’t see a world where we don’t ride and die with Skinner as the go to guy but even in playoffs he will need to be spelled off for a few games at a time as his game degrades with overplaying.

If he can solve his consistency issues and we improve the D and defensive play we should be ok.
How many fewer chances can the oilers give up? There defensive play has been fine.

The goaltending has not

I am posting this again so it is not skipped about Blackwood. Adding in PK

Blackwood is on a bad team (Min 9 games played) 28 goalies on this list

SJ - Sharks allowed 174 hdc, only Pitts is worse. Sharks are also 5th in hd save %, EDM 22nd

EDM is top 10 with 116 HDCA. #1 is Vancouver at 100 allowed


Goals saved above expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

Goals Saved Above expected per 60 - Blackwood 11th / Skinner 28th

Save % Above Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

GAA Better Than Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 28th

YUP, Blackwood is no good lol.

4 on 5

Goals saved above expected - Blackwood 13th / Skinner last at 29th

Goals Saved Above expected per 60 - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 29th

Save % Above Expected - Blackwood 11th / Skinner 29th

GAA Better Than Expected - Blackwood 13th / Skinner 29th

Anybody who even remotely thinks Skinner is good here is on acid
Blackwood being better than skinner and being a good goalie are two different discussions
 

brentashton

Registered User
Jan 21, 2018
15,458
22,410
How many fewer chances can the oilers give up? There defensive play has been fine.

The goaltending has not


Blackwood being better than skinner and being a good goalie are two different discussions
So the question posed was who would be a goalie you would target and how would you go get him… Blackwood seems plausible and probably is better than Skinner. You disagree.

So if not him, who?
 
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Oilers88

Registered User
Jun 19, 2011
817
1,782
Blackwood is on a bad team (Min 9 games played) 28 goalies on this list

SJ - Sharks allowed 174 hdc, only Pitts is worse. Sharks are also 5th in hd save %, EDM 22nd

EDM is top 10 with 116 HDCA. #1 is Vancouver at 100 allowed


Goals saved above expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

Goals Saved Above expected per 60 - Blackwood 11th / Skinner 28th

Save % Above Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 27th

GAA Better Than Expected - Blackwood 12th / Skinner 28th

YUP, Blackwood is no good lol.
That's this season. He's played 9 games. The last 4 before this:

2023-2024
Blackwood: -9.27 GSAA, 89th/98 goalies
Skinner: 0.03 GSAA, 46th/98 goalies


2022-2023
Blackwood: -5.00 GSAA, 83rd/107 goalies
Skinner: 14.28, 9th/107 goalies


2021-2022

Blackwood: -11.16, 112th/119 goalies
Skinner: 0.08, 62nd/119 goalies (only 13 games)


2020-2021

Blackwood: -3.25, 74th/98 goalies.

He has been in the league for 6 years now, and his established level of play is a below replacement level player. He routinely is well below the mean in terms of GSAA, and has had ugly numbers even on some good New Jersey teams. Outside of a few brief flashes, it looks like Blackwood has no business being on an NHL roster.

Skinner is having a brutal season this year, but bigger picture, he had one outstanding season, and the other two have been pretty average. He's certainly not a world beater, but I'm absolutely not betting on Mackenzie Blackwood to be better than him.
 

Jimmi McJenkins

Sometimes miracles
Jan 12, 2006
78,589
41,547
Alberta
Another name for a guy who's really been knocking on the door for a while, Jet Greaves in Columbus.

At this point, bring him in and see if he has something.
 

Canovin

1% is the new 11.5%
Oct 27, 2010
19,326
10,769
780
That's this season. He's played 9 games. The last 4 before this:

2023-2024
Blackwood: -9.27 GSAA, 89th/98 goalies
Skinner: 0.03 GSAA, 46th/98 goalies


2022-2023
Blackwood: -5.00 GSAA, 83rd/107 goalies
Skinner: 14.28, 9th/107 goalies


2021-2022

Blackwood: -11.16, 112th/119 goalies
Skinner: 0.08, 62nd/119 goalies (only 13 games)


2020-2021

Blackwood: -3.25, 74th/98 goalies.

He has been in the league for 6 years now, and his established level of play is a below replacement level player. He routinely is well below the mean in terms of GSAA, and has had ugly numbers even on some good New Jersey teams. Outside of a few brief flashes, it looks like Blackwood has no business being on an NHL roster.

Skinner is having a brutal season this year, but bigger picture, he had one outstanding season, and the other two have been pretty average. He's certainly not a world beater, but I'm absolutely not betting on Mackenzie Blackwood to be better than him.
Goalie on lottery teams vs goalie sheltered by one of the best teams
 

Canovin

1% is the new 11.5%
Oct 27, 2010
19,326
10,769
780
yes, let's spend assets and cap space on a guy who may or may not be as good as Skinner

great plan
Not hard to find a goalie that's better than Skinner. It's going to cost some assets to get the player, of course. Were you expecting to get them for free?

Once we get a legit starter, he's better than adding another top 4 D.
 
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Oilhawks

Over Old Hills
Nov 24, 2011
28,759
52,148
Who are some realistic Skinner replacements via trade close to the deadline

Extreme-Shooter-Tutor--3---just-keep-black-tarp_1080x1080_crop_center.jpg
 

Canovin

1% is the new 11.5%
Oct 27, 2010
19,326
10,769
780
I'm not happy with the tandem either, but with his level play and lack of health, Blackwood might not be the best choice.

I think a cheaper more unknown type might work better for the Oilers.
A cheaper and a slightly better goalie than Stuart is also good as we can spend the extra cap saving we get from moving Stuart for a top 4 Dman
 

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