- Aug 5, 2010
- 12,289
- 8,062
I hear you and here’s how I think about these chances, you definitely can disagree:Well that is my worry. The way they have been playing all year and where they stand now. It is very possible they fall below 13. And obviouly is that crappy 11-13 range not close to top 5/6.
Look no one knows what will happen next year but will I be shocked if we are worse and other teams get better? Nope. That is a gamble I did not wanna take giving up an unprotected first rounder in what is supposed to be a very good draft year. Not even gonna mention Millers age because he isn't getting any younger.
1. Their chances of falling below 13 is probably still in 30%-40% range
2. Their chances of next season team being the same or worse shape as this disaster that started with Trouba and Goodrow expulsion and mutiny that followed along with down seasons pretty much across the roster is similarly about 30% vs otherwise
Combined we’re talking less than 20% chance of this outcome. Is it possible? Sure but less likely by a significant degree. For whatever it’s worth.