I agree with everything you’ve written, but everyone’s concern is consistency and the fact that Strome’s raw point total is actually the MOST attractive thing about him. With guys like Hayes it’s two way play and production. Guys like Kreider or Lee it’s size and leadership with production. Strome actually leaves a ton wanting when you watch him, but produces. Now, that’s fine. That’s kind of the world we’re in; the numbers will ultimately be more important than those other attributes. But those guys all pretty much had a better track record of consistency and had hit their UFA window. Strome is an RFA without the track record but with intriguing upside because of the position he’s found himself in. I’d say Strome might be one of the most interesting and polarizing signing decisions of the past decade, at least for this team.
His chemistry with Panarin, especially if sustained at the exact level is enough on its own to want to sign him. Even if their production drops 10 points, him going from a 69 to 59 point player feels like a no-brainer. Heck a 50+ point player period, so there’s a lot of wiggle room there. But there’s concerns as well. Not only a contract year for Strome but a contract year in which, if he’d laid a 27 point egg, may have found himself getting his next contract in Liiga. He had a lot of reasons to work his hardest and put his best foot forward and then was given the ever-giving gift that is Panarin to boot. Securing a 4-5 year $25M future in the NHL versus looking for gigs in the KHL would probably motivate any young Canadian guy. Obviously, there’s no way to quantify that. I think Strome is well enough liked in the room and playing with a guy like Panarin is rewarding enough that he could at least maintain 50+ point status. Producing is fun. It feels good. If he gets to stick with Panarin I can see them maintaining the chemistry and exceeding expectations. The pedigree is there for Strome. Maybe he’s a late bloomer or needed a kick in the butt before putting it all together.
Either way, Strome doesn’t really bring those other attributes that the guys you listed do, so even if he’s a 50+ point player, he’ll remind most of a Sam Gagner type. He put up 41-50 points consistently until around 2016, including 37 in 67 and 38 in 48 one year. He was never truly coveted because despite producing he just wasn’t a very complete or valuable hockey player. I’m not saying they’re exact by any means; Strome’s year with Panarin clearly out classes anything Gagner ever did but Gagner was much more consistent in his younger career. I would like to see Strome polish his all around play if he’s going to become a fixture here. He’s likable enough and the fit is already there. Consistency is key, but I’m not as worried about his ability to be successful next to Panarin on a sustained basis as I don’t want a Sam Gagner as our 2C when the time comes to compete for a Cup. That’s not good enough.