Speculation: Roster Building Thread: New Season Edition

[kovazub94]

Trouba has played 9 years and has 9 5v4 goals in 960 minutes. You probably do not want a PP that revolves around him shooting.

But that’s what the Rangers have left after filling out their PP1

 

[HatTrick Swayze]

The article mentioned what we all know, that (pre-TDL at least) our metrics weren't great 5v5. I think it also said that if, for instance, Shesterkin's SV% dropped from .935 to .928, that could be worth something like 4 points in the standings. And they said couple that with a regression on either side of special teams, and we would be more like a 100-point team than a 110-point team. They did note that progression from the young guys could offset some of that, and closed with "Consider the Rangers due for a bit of regression but pump the breaks on wholehearted collapse." I think what they said here is pretty close to what most of us here know/believe to be true about our team this season.

Hopefully the players are reading all of this bulletin board material. The analysis is a fine take, but the amount of articles the same points get repeated ad nauseaum on is definitely a little tiring to me as a subscriber.

 

[haohmaru]

The article mentioned what we all know, that (pre-TDL at least) our metrics weren't great 5v5. I think it also said that if, for instance, Shesterkin's SV% dropped from .935 to .928, that could be worth something like 4 points in the standings. And they said couple that with a regression on either side of special teams, and we would be more like a 100-point team than a 110-point team. They did note that progression from the young guys could offset some of that, and closed with "Consider the Rangers due for a bit of regression but pump the breaks on wholehearted collapse." I think what they said here is pretty close to what most of us here know/believe to be true about our team this season.

The metric then is regular season points? I think the Metro, in general, is a shade weaker than last year so they might be able to duplicate what they did last year.

I don't think the Rangers are measurably worse than before last year's TDL and, depending on Kravtsov, Jones and Trochek, might actually be better with a healthy (lol, I know) Blais and very capable PK/4th liner Vesey in the fold.

I guess this is why we play, right? Shesty might "drop" to .928, but 5v5 play might improve enough (and hopefully it does) to compensate for those 4 points.

Looking forward to the puck drop tomorrow.

 

[duhmetreE]

Kreider-Zibanejad-Kakko
Panarin-Trocheck-Kravtsov
Lafreniere-Chytil-Goodrow
Vesey-Carpenter-Reaves

Lindgren-Fox
Miller-Trouba
Jones-Schneider

Blais for Goodrow and Goodrow for one of the 4th liners looks much better

 

[BBKers]

Two trajectories, vets vs kids. If the upward progression of youth surpasses the aging decline => gain. If not <= loss. It’s probably that simple

 

[RangersFan1994]

How about signing Jason Demers for depth??

 

[DanielBrassard]

Blais for Goodrow and Goodrow for one of the 4th liners looks much better

For Reaves because he's the worst of the bunch

 

[NoQuitInNewMexico]

For the price they paid, and how absolutely down in the doldrums the group looked after the end of the COVID season, Reaves made sense as a little psychological boost for the guys. It also helped that he knew the new coach.

Blais was a fascinating guy to identify, kind of like the available player with the most "Tom Wilson traits." As a trade it was awful, even if he gets healthy and contributes Sammy's never going to take over games like Wilson does, but Buffalo didn't get a ton for Sam Reinhart who was in a similar RFA position.

The Barclay Goodrow contract was just bad lol. There is nothing interesting to say about it

 

[Machinehead]

I am waiting for Seattle to claim a player on waivers so the tweet could be something like "SEA claims Howden" and people get worried and start googling whether Brett was on a boat or whatever.

Nobody:

DialUp:

 

[nyr2k2]

The metric then is regular season points? I think the Metro, in general, is a shade weaker than last year so they might be able to duplicate what they did last year.

I don't think the Rangers are measurably worse than before last year's TDL and, depending on Kravtsov, Jones and Trochek, might actually be better with a healthy (lol, I know) Blais and very capable PK/4th liner Vesey in the fold.

I guess this is why we play, right? Shesty might "drop" to .928, but 5v5 play might improve enough (and hopefully it does) to compensate for those 4 points.

Looking forward to the puck drop tomorrow.

The checklist
Our study of the teams that became the biggest year-over-year disappointments found that they typically had (at least some of) these factors in common:

• It helps to start with an unsustainably good previous season.

• Metrics-wise, it helps to look for a goal differential that doesn’t support the total number of points. Perhaps a team won a lot of overtime and shootout games or benefited from variance in terms of winning games by a goal and losing them by a lot of goals. Winning close games is important and good teams tend to outscore their opponents quite a bit over the course of a full season.

• Similarly, a wild run of percentages — whether a goaltender having the best season of their life or a key scorer suddenly doubling their shooting percentage — can be signs of a market correction. It’s hard for one skater’s hot streak to make that big of a difference but goaltenders make an outsized difference.

• Injury trouble features heavily in disappointing seasons. Sometimes, absences are difficult to predict (remember when Dustin Byfuglien left the Jets on the eve of training camp?) but other times, like right now if you’re the Bruins, you know Brad Marchand and Charlie McAvoy will be out to start the season.

(This was the basis for the article)

 

[gravey9]

Anyone have any intel re: Anton Stralman signing with the Bs or not?

 

[redwhiteandblue]

I'll say this, I hope Vegas fades the Rangers as much as the 'insiders and professionals'.

 

[Avery16]

I don't understand the hate Reaves gets on this thread. Id take him on our 4th over Boyle just about every year of their respective careers.

 

[redwhiteandblue]

Things that happen around here that blow my mind (somehow still):

-bitching about the Buchnevich trade
-complaining about Reaves
-talking about buying-out Goodrow like teams just buy-out captains that perform well

I feel like I just start scrolling when I see these things. Grow up Peter Pan.

 

[Fitzy]

Things that happen around here that blow my mind (somehow still):

-bitching about the Buchnevich trade
-complaining about Reaves
-talking about buying-out Goodrow like teams just buy-out captains that perform well

I feel like I just start scrolling when I see these things. Grow up Peter Pan.

 

[DanielBrassard]

Things that happen around here that blow my mind (somehow still):

-bitching about the Buchnevich trade
-complaining about Reaves
-talking about buying-out Goodrow like teams just buy-out captains that perform well

I feel like I just start scrolling when I see these things. Grow up Peter Pan.

Goodrow will be bought out after this season.

 

[Mandar]

Goodrow will be bought out after this season.

I’ll take that bet…..loser deletes Tob’s account?

 

[Profet]

I don't understand the hate Reaves gets on this thread. Id take him on our 4th over Boyle just about every year of their respective careers.

Brian Boyle was the best 4th line center this team has had... since Brian Boyle.

Him and Dominic Moore were a huge part of that 2013-2014 playoff run.

 

[DanielBrassard]

I’ll take that bet…..loser deletes Tob’s account?

No, Thirty one's account.

 

[Oscar Lindberg]

I do love this time of year when people remember they have accounts here and log in to post their once a decade message about how Ranger fans should stop complaining about whatever the topic of the day is

It’s like Christmas when these rando accounts appear.

 

[Crease]

I do love this time of year when people remember they have accounts here and log in to post their once a decade message about how Ranger fans should stop complaining about whatever the topic of the day is

It’s like Christmas when these rando accounts appear.

If I wanted measured, rational thought I wouldn’t be here.

 

[Profet]

Things that happen around here that blow my mind (somehow still):

-bitching about the Buchnevich trade
-complaining about Reaves
-talking about buying-out Goodrow like teams just buy-out captains that perform well

I feel like I just start scrolling when I see these things. Grow up Peter Pan.

Straw man - Wikipedia

en.wikipedia.org

 

[Thirty One]

No, Thirty one's account.

 

[DanielBrassard]

No more questions

 

[leetch99]

Play the kids [Kravs-Laf-Schneider-Jones-KK and they will make mistakes ] ...make the playoffs and don't trade away first rounders and let the chips fall where they are likely going to anyways....it is a process . You can't rush the cooking . Enjoy the season fellow Ranger fans .