Trading Buch would hurt. If the 8th overall is on the table, I understand it. It’s probably the right move to get one of these high skill centers which are in abundance in the early part of this draft. That being said, it’s not a home run and we could definitely end up regretting it at some later point.
It will hurt early on.
And yeah, there are no guarantees that the 7th or 8th pick become franchise centers, but quite frankly, is it any better likelihood that Buch becomes a 60-70 point winger here? I mean, not really.
If you are going to talk about the likelihood of this center crop, which everyone has raved about, being no sure thing, then it's also no sure thing that the enigmatic and inconsistent Russian winger we have takes the next step either. So all we are really trading is 40 points of production for the same lottery ticket we'd already have, except it's for a center.
I'm not worried. We have at least two absolute blue-chip prospects here at the wing, and we are heavy favorites (in the top 2) for an impact FA winger as well. Our bets are hedged. The odds are that Buch is no better than our 4th best winger, maybe worse, within the next year or two, as Kravtsov and Kakko surpass him, and possibly Chytil as well, and maybe we import Panarin or another FA next year or the year after.
Meanwhile, we hear year after year -- with a good amount of truth -- that the teams that win in this league year in and year out have top centers.
We have Mika Zibanejad, who in my mind remains a low-end #1 or high end #2, and basically no sure things after him.
We need a stud center in this pipeline. Better than that would be TWO stud centers in this pipeline. We need it so bad that I basically don't even care about losing a winger who in all likelihood ends up no better than our 4th best winger in the future.
The gamble is entirely protected. It's basically a no brainer for me.
And frankly the Rangers have already offered it. The question is whether they can trick Edmonton or Buffalo into accepting.