Edge
Kris King's Ghost
San Jose has a 2nd in June. That will be a high 2nd. Wilson will be active at the deadline. He gets a 2nd round for Dillon. Maybe a 2nd for Melker Karlsson. He has flexibility to move his 2nd to the Rangers. That team is no position to rebuild with their contracts. Georgiev is better Martin Jones.
If there is a Kreider tax with Pittsburgh, there should be a Georgiev tax with Carolina.
Carolina has two #1 picks in June. The Leafs pick and their pick. One or both of those teams should make the playoffs. Both teams have 61 points. The Leafs are too good to miss the playoffs. They have their flaws. They are better than Columbus and Philly. Carolina will make it. The Rangers get the worst #1 pick of the two picks. The Leafs pick is top 10 protected this year. If both teams miss, the Rangers get the worst #1 in 2021. Georgiev can be the guy in Carolina for 5-6-7 years. They play in the Rangers division. Carolina has revolving door in goal. One journeyman after another. Georgiev can stabilize the position for them.
All things being equal, I think they would take San Jose's second over Carolina's --- for all of the reasons you just outlined.
What I don't know is whether San Jose who wants to trade their second, in light of the fact that they don't have their first. They's missing the playoffs and could have the 5th or 6th worst record in the league. Can you imagine going through and then not picking until the 67th pick/third round?
Granted they could trade their way back into the first, but I wouldn't be shocked if they prefer to offer a 2021 pick instead.