Offseason moves:
Re-sign: Engvall (~$2.5 million), Sandin (~$1.5 million), Liljegren (~$1.75 million), Blackwell (~$900k), Spezza (~$750k), Campbell (~$3 million), Giordano (~$2 million).
I don't think Campbell has a claim to much more than that given his very uneven season. He's coming off a much worse season than Mrazek was when they signed him, so he really shouldn't be given a higher cap hit. Giordano clearly wants to stay in Toronto, and he sounded willing to do the year-by-year hometown discount thing.
UFA: Subban (~900k).
He's cheap depth. Probably willing to come to Toronto on a low-ball deal. Enough said.
Trade: Justin Holl for Jessi Puljujarvi (sign at ~$2.75 million)
Trade: Ondrej Kase to VGK for depth prospect/mid-round draft pick
Trade: Mrazek + 2024 1st + Nick Robertson to Arizona for basically nothing
Edmonton's MSM usually parrot the management line and it's pretty clear they (and/or Holland) are running Pulju out of town. He's already an elite puckhound and defensive forward. If he develops more of a finishing touch, he'll be a major player. EDM is going to have to retool their backend, move Barrie and replace him with a more defensive RHD. Holl comes in here. If not Holl for Pulju straight across, then trade Holl for a 2nd, use the 2nd to get Pulju.
Vegas will lose Rielly Smith to free agency, probably Nic Roy, and will have to trade Dadonov for cap space. Kase gives them a cheap, relatively useful bottom-nine winger to help replace them.
Dubas absolutely must move Mrazek. He'll be expensive to get rid of. You can ditch anyone in Arizona, but the problem is Mrazek's actual cash is higher than his cap hit. I'm not actually super high on Robertson, I don't think he has the speed or hockey IQ to be an impact player as a smaller guy. I honestly think Holmberg is more NHL ready and has a better shot of helping the Leafs
Nylander - Matthews - Puljujarvi
Bunting - Tavares - Marner
Engvall - Kerfoot - Holmberg
Blackwell - Kampf - Spezza
Rielly - Liljegren
Muzzin - Brodie
Giordano - Subban
Sandin
Campbell
Kallgren
They need to get the most out of Tavares they can. Bunting and Marner can do that. Matthews will carry anybody, but Willy and Pulju are still very good linemates. The logic on defense is that you rotate Muzzin, Gio, Brodie, Subban out of the lineup to keep them fresh throughout the season.