OT: Raise the Jolly Roger: New season of plundering begins
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WickedWrister
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Empoleon8771
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Falter sucks but it's hilarious how the Pirates keep winning games that he pitches in. I think they're like 8-3 in games he has pitched in so far.
DJ Spinoza
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We got some luck in that one but there were also some huge moments that helped out. Hayes and Taylor with great ABs to solidify that extra run, and Stratton stepping up in a big spot despite giving up the leadoff single.
Now time to turn the page, new series. Nationals are 1-2 but blew the save today. Their offense has shown some solid signs from the little I've seen. The expectation should be to win 2/3 with a rested bullpen and Gonzales/Keller/Perez lined up.
Now time to turn the page, new series. Nationals are 1-2 but blew the save today. Their offense has shown some solid signs from the little I've seen. The expectation should be to win 2/3 with a rested bullpen and Gonzales/Keller/Perez lined up.
bigdaddyk88
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- Apr 21, 2019
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Probably gonna go 5-3 next 8 better get the win total locked in now before it changes on draft kings
Empoleon8771
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DaveG
Noted Jerk
4-0 despite the kind of Falter start we were all expecting. I get that it was the Marlins but holy hell do I want to believe because we actually have an MLB lineup this season, and the kind of pitching in the pipeline that when they come up could put the team in the drivers seat with this division this year.
Oh, I'm not complaining. But don't blame me for being scarred for life from this team. I'm cautiously optimistic and I greatly dislike Connor Joe as a baseball player.
I got fooled last year too.
DJ Spinoza
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The wildest addition to the optimism that I will contribute is that I firmly believe Chandler's fastball is even better than Jones'. There's still more polishing that Chandler needs to do, but if he has a strong season, we could even be in a situation where we are looking at the possibility of his callup as further reinforcements in August or so.
Solometo has a pretty clear leg up on him in terms of AA innings, though the most realistic outcome is probably that neither is in the mix for MLB innings this year. That said, as far as really exciting possibilities go, it could be something in the cards.
Setting that aside, it would be nice to see Priester gain some momentum for himself in AAA. I hope we're relatively quick with a decision if so. As long as Lauer and German are both healthy, then there's really no need to be cautious about Falter. He single-handedly loses you this game way more often than not, and worst case, Lauer or German could be equally as bad. But if there's a window to get Priester some run in MLB, I'd give it a go, especially if his fastball is living at 95-96.
Solometo has a pretty clear leg up on him in terms of AA innings, though the most realistic outcome is probably that neither is in the mix for MLB innings this year. That said, as far as really exciting possibilities go, it could be something in the cards.
Setting that aside, it would be nice to see Priester gain some momentum for himself in AAA. I hope we're relatively quick with a decision if so. As long as Lauer and German are both healthy, then there's really no need to be cautious about Falter. He single-handedly loses you this game way more often than not, and worst case, Lauer or German could be equally as bad. But if there's a window to get Priester some run in MLB, I'd give it a go, especially if his fastball is living at 95-96.
Yeah, that uptick in velo for Priester is some very encouraging news.
Lauer and German could prove to be some very valuable depth additions.
That's really exciting to hear that Chandler's fastball is even possibly better than Jones.
Is there a way to petition the league to give Faulter a loss anyway.
The Grim Reaper
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BusinessGoose
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Sad for the Dodgers paying Ohtani more than our entire payroll
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DJ Spinoza
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Tomorrow might also be a prime chance to keep the offense rolling as well. We get Gore, who has a great amount of promise and at times has looked like he turned a corner, but also has been very hittable. In his last spring training start, it looks like he had 10 Ks but also 9 hits and 8 earned runs.
One issue: seems like there's a chance of rain.
One issue: seems like there's a chance of rain.
Coastal Kev
There will be "I told you so's" Bet on it
Goalie_Bob
1992 Vezina (2nd)
Empoleon8771
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I'm not expecting to see either Chandler or Solometo until mid to late 2025, unless they really explode sometime this year. I think they'd really have to impress to force their way onto the MLB roster, the starting rotation is basically full (once Skenes and German come up) and you don't want to call them up just to be bullpen arms over starters in the minors.
Granted injuries do happen, so a lot can change between now and September. But they traded Brubaker a few days ago because they don't see a starter's role for him once he's healthy, and I think that basically sums up their SP situation for the rest of this year. I think a lot would have to go wrong in terms of injuries and poor play for a SP spot to be open for either Chandler or Solometo in August, even if they perform really well.
My hope for the rotation in August is Keller, Skenes, Jones, Perez and German, with Gonzales or Lauer as a long reliever/6th starter. If Priester is pitching well in AAA, that makes things even more complicated.
Granted injuries do happen, so a lot can change between now and September. But they traded Brubaker a few days ago because they don't see a starter's role for him once he's healthy, and I think that basically sums up their SP situation for the rest of this year. I think a lot would have to go wrong in terms of injuries and poor play for a SP spot to be open for either Chandler or Solometo in August, even if they perform really well.
My hope for the rotation in August is Keller, Skenes, Jones, Perez and German, with Gonzales or Lauer as a long reliever/6th starter. If Priester is pitching well in AAA, that makes things even more complicated.
DJ Spinoza
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Major League Leaderboards - 2024 - Starters | FanGraphs Baseball
Only a small sample but these models are designed to work on not needing a ton of pitches. They have Jones as having the best "stuff" so far, which isn't surprising just simply based on pure eye test and results.
I don't always love the guys that this model spits out, to be honest, but it's still a very useful comparison and tool. He set an impossibly high bar for himself, but I don't think he's the kind of guy who is going to shy away or back down. It's so relieving to see us go with the right decision for once and have it pay off immediately.
ChaosAgent
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Major League Leaderboards - 2024 - Starters | FanGraphs Baseball
www.fangraphs.com
Only a small sample but these models are designed to work on not needing a ton of pitches. They have Jones as having the best "stuff" so far, which isn't surprising just simply based on pure eye test and results.
I don't always love the guys that this model spits out, to be honest, but it's still a very useful comparison and tool. He set an impossibly high bar for himself, but I don't think he's the kind of guy who is going to shy away or back down. It's so relieving to see us go with the right decision for once and have it pay off immediately.
He had an extremely loud debut but struggled in run prevention. So the standard still isn't that high.
Empoleon8771
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He had a 1.39 FIP and .882 WHIP. Sometimes the runs result just doesn't align with the actual performance.
60% of the baserunners he gave up in that game scored. In a normal game, that's going to be substantially smaller.
ChaosAgent
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I know, but then it should be easy to regress on the Ks but progress to a 5 IP, 1 ER type of thing.
DJ Spinoza
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10 Ks in a debut is a pretty high bar to set for yourself. I'm not going to draw any conclusions about a standard based on one performance, but he's a strikeout pitcher. He did it in the spring and more often than not last year, and it was dialed up in the debut. I think some regression and bumps along the road are inevitable, because otherwise, if the stuff and command are consistently at this level, then he's much more Strider than Strider-esque.
It's such an obvious comparison that it might not be worth reaching for, but there's definitely a path for the kind of performances Strider gave in 2022, with the main exception being that Jones immediately started in the rotation. It wasn't really until last year that Strider became truly out of this world in the sense that 8-9 Ks was basically the floor for him every start.
In any case, I don't want to get way ahead of myself there, or with this, which is why I popped back in:
To add some more early optimism to the thread, one of the slightly under the radar things so far is just how comfortable Davis looks behind the plate. It's still too early for data, but I've noticed him with what seem to be some nice frames around the edges. Ramzi pointed out that his movements can look very jerky, but besides that noise, the receiving just looks way better, to the point where I think any of the winter talk about him not being suitable at all for catcher needs to be brought to a screeching halt.
To temper this optimism with some pessimism, we also have this:
Not really unexpected, but still not encouraging to see. It's a shame that for all else going in the right direction, this is what the front office seemingly is going to hang their hat on in the early going, because they don't want to burn Falter's roster spot.
I do think he would get claimed: the Rockies or White Sox are easy places where someone would take a flier, but I really hope that runway is very short, i.e. less than 5 starts. It doesn't feel all that cocky to say that Falter vs the Orioles next weekend is basically an auto-loss unless we treat him as a pure opener.
The x-factor to a decision happening soon should be the walks. They weren't a problem in the spring, so maybe he can clean that up. Quick glance says he'll get Phillies, Mets, Brewers after the Orioles. That's the end of April and when a decision should be arriving at the absolute latest, doubly so if German or Lauer show anything, or Priester's velocity is living at 95+.
It's such an obvious comparison that it might not be worth reaching for, but there's definitely a path for the kind of performances Strider gave in 2022, with the main exception being that Jones immediately started in the rotation. It wasn't really until last year that Strider became truly out of this world in the sense that 8-9 Ks was basically the floor for him every start.
In any case, I don't want to get way ahead of myself there, or with this, which is why I popped back in:
To add some more early optimism to the thread, one of the slightly under the radar things so far is just how comfortable Davis looks behind the plate. It's still too early for data, but I've noticed him with what seem to be some nice frames around the edges. Ramzi pointed out that his movements can look very jerky, but besides that noise, the receiving just looks way better, to the point where I think any of the winter talk about him not being suitable at all for catcher needs to be brought to a screeching halt.
To temper this optimism with some pessimism, we also have this:
Not really unexpected, but still not encouraging to see. It's a shame that for all else going in the right direction, this is what the front office seemingly is going to hang their hat on in the early going, because they don't want to burn Falter's roster spot.
I do think he would get claimed: the Rockies or White Sox are easy places where someone would take a flier, but I really hope that runway is very short, i.e. less than 5 starts. It doesn't feel all that cocky to say that Falter vs the Orioles next weekend is basically an auto-loss unless we treat him as a pure opener.
The x-factor to a decision happening soon should be the walks. They weren't a problem in the spring, so maybe he can clean that up. Quick glance says he'll get Phillies, Mets, Brewers after the Orioles. That's the end of April and when a decision should be arriving at the absolute latest, doubly so if German or Lauer show anything, or Priester's velocity is living at 95+.
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