There are two frustrating forces that I'm seeing as a lurker and sometimes poster on this board, and it's been bothering me.
One force is from a group who seem to take trends, comparisons, some statistics, etc., and seem to then FIRMLY and CONFIDENTLY predict the future of this team and it's development with no caveats or nuance. Great example it is FOR SURE, WITHOUT DOUBT, the case that Vilardi was a bust and would never recover.
I understand and sympathize with the reliance on statistics and trends, that's very level headed and reasonable. However, often it's the case that these posters refuse to acknowledge nuance, refuse to eat crow when they are wrong, and simultaneously continue to FIRMLY and CONFIDENTLY without caveat make other predictions about the future, berating other posters with their predictions.
HOWEVEVR, on the opposite side there are the equally frustrating force of those who appeal to the fuzziness and unpredictability of the future to CONFIDENTLY and FIRMLY state that there is no way that anyone can predict anything, and bludgeon that fuzziness against the other force. They always use fuzziness as "evidence" that their opinions are right.
And with these people it's not that they refuse to eat crow but instead they point to very unlikely outliers as proof that they are right about their opinions all along, IE such as the Vilardi fan saying "AH, I was right all along about him being great"
Reading this board has become increasingly insufferable because both sides are only concerned with appearing right without engaging with nuance. Yes, statistics and history are valuable, and yes the future is fuzzy to predict, and we should simultaneously acknowledge all of these things and engage with open mindedness and respect.