1. Man City
2. Chelsea
3. Man United
4. Liverpool
5. Leicester
6. Tottenham
7. Aston Villa
8. Arsenal
9. West Ham
10. Brighton
11. Everton
12. Leeds
13. Crystal Palace
14. Wolves
15. Norwich
16. Newcastle
17. Southampton
18. Brenford
19. Burnley
20. Watford
TOP FOUR:
Bet on City til proven otherwise. Other three I'm fairly confident. I think it'll be generally a four-way cluster at the top.
FIVE TO NINE:
Vardy takes step back this year, Ndidi and Iheanacho go to AFCON. Thus, gap between Leicester and fourth will be bigger than past few years. Kane isn't leaving, I think Spurs will be fine but not great. Villa's transfer business has been good, IMO. But if they don't finish 7th, they'll finish 14th. Arsenal I continue to be really meh on. West Ham will be swamped with Europe and struggle with that.
TEN TO FOURTEEN:
Brighton will shake the xG bogeyman a little bit, maybe? Everton are weird. Leeds finished the season amazingly last year and could easily be in the above category, but I do wonder if - given a pre-season to prep for them - other teams will have more of a sense of how to play them this year. Palace have done good business but I think it'll be an up and down year. Wolves confuse me.
FIFTEEN TO TWENTY:
Norwich are far better now than two seasons ago, even without Buendia. Newcastle are dire but if Wilson and Saint Maximin can stay even slightly fit they'll score enough to stay up. Southampton are extremely dire and will barely avoid relegation. Brentford will find the step up hard, I think, like Norwich did two years ago. Burnley's squad is so thin and Sean Dyche seems very exhausted. Watford are very meh.