I’m not rooting for us to lose. Rebuilding sucks and nothing is guaranteed.
I’m just pointing historical evidence of what I believe is the most successful way to rebuild.
I just wish we would pick a direction. If we want to compete the next three years then commit to it. This half measure stuff worries me.
I get that, but Dubas has no choice really but to try to do two things at once. We have at least 3, and maybe 4, HOFers on this current roster. So, bottoming out is not an option unless/until they are no longer on said roster. On the other hand, we are not a true Cup contender so we cannot keep doing what we have been doing since seemingly forever. That is, trading young assets for mediocre talent in the hope of getting back to 2017. The one thing I am happy about with Dubas is that he has at least gotten rid of that mentality. 2017 is in the past, SEVEN years ago now. It ain't coming back.
The reasons why we are not true contenders are obvious:
- this coach runs the entire show here now, but he is WAY past his expiration date. And he has held this team back for years now. His style does not work UNLESS there are players on the team that go against his philosophies. That is the only time we have won with this coach. But now that he has been given all of the power (seemingly, but I believe the evidence is overwhelming), we can't even acquire those types of players that would really really help us.
- the power play. This is partly due to the above situation. We used to have Kessel, and he was that type of player that goes counter to Sullivan's style, but his impact was way too big to ignore. And his impact on the PP was obvious. Laine is that type of player, but are we going to get him? I doubt it. Laine's impact on THIS team would probably be bigger than any impact for any other franchise in this league. But alas, Sullivan. To that end, Stamkos would have been an even better option this summer than Laine. Yeah, Stamkos makes no sense from an age standpoint, but his impact is greater. And he is low-maintenance. But we were never in on him, apparently. We preferred Kevin Hayes as a veteran acquisition because hey, we can get a draft pick attached to him (a draft pick that we have since traded away).
- we have no young impact players. In a salary cap world, these are crucial for success. We have been trading futures for so long that it is nearly impossible to have any impact players right now. I get that. But Dubas has actually built up our prospect pool nicely in a short period of time. Having some of these young players pan out is the only way to avoid going back to the 2003-04 Pittsburgh Penguins.
So that is where we are at. We have some intriguing young players. Will they get a shot this year? Probably not. Sullivan likes his vets and he runs the show. So Dubas has done both a great job and also a poor job with this roster. But since he cannot fire this coach, then he has to continue to stockpile future assets in case one day there will be a different voice behind the bench. Maybe FSG can promote Sullivan to King of Massachusetts, or something. That might be the only hope.
We need the likes of Blomqvist, Pickering, Yager, Koivunen, Ponomarev and others (some of whom are not yet drafted) to learn from the likes of Letang, Karlsson, Crosby and Malkin. We need to see some kind of passing of the torch. If we can have even one season where most of those names I listed are all on the same team, then I think we can actually have a successful transition from one era to the next.
Having the likes of Hayes, Beauvillier, Lizotte, Grzelcyk et al on this team right now is mostly a waste of precious time, imo. That all said, I am probably more optimistic about this team's playoff chances than most here. That is mostly because I do like how they played down the stretch. And for the record, I have no issue starting the season with a first line of O'Connor-Crosby-Rust. If they can handle all of the heavy lifting, that might provide us with two other scoring lines (again, if Sullivan decides to do something he usually does not do, which is a major question mark). We can't do this with Lars Eller as the third-line center, but if he is No. 4 that could work out. Even though Sullivan will play the Eller line more than the third line almost certainly. I still think it would work better than the alternative (2 offensive, 2 defensive lines).
The only thing I am asking Sullivan is to give our younger prospects a LEGIT chance in training camp. If that forces Dubas to waive someone he just acquired, or trade some surplus forwards, or even make a tough decision in goal, so be it.