Interesting bit of analysis from The Athletic -- Dubas is the fourth most active GM in the NHL when it comes to trades over the last five seasons, and the only GMs in front of him are newly hired GMs conducting rebuilds (San Jose, Chicago, and Montreal).
28% of his trades are classified as buys, another 28% are marginal/AHL trades, 12% are clear sells, and 12% are classic hockey trades.
He's also the 6th most active GM at the deadline. I think it's clear based on his history he's going to be as active as he can be leading up to the deadline.
One of the best ways to predict an NHL general manager’s potential trade activity is by looking at their history.
theathletic.com
That's a tough thing to really dial in because you would expect a guy like Dubas in Toronto and Pittsburgh (two Cup aspiring, win-now teams) would be more active than a guy in the middle of the pack. Might also depend on cap space as well and how each team needs to navigate those rivers.
I have a feeling he's going to blow it.
I think he will get the guys sold. There's only one that he needs to win on - Guentzel. Smith, Eller, Rudwedel, Neds...whatever. The key here is that he needs to get the returns that put this team on a new path. You're trading a MAJOR asset, you better know what you're doing.
That said, I think we need to keep expectations in check. I don't think we're getting Hoglander+Lekkerimaki+1st no matter how fun it was to suggest and dream about it. So if they get back something like Brisson, Dorofeyev, 2nd - that's not a "career-defining mistake", that's getting fair value for a rental.
Now if it's like Vanek or Hall and he gets back a C-level guy and a 2nd, that'll be rough especially if Jake signs a good value extension. I'd be pissed if we got back (using our own system as a base): Broz or Legare + 2nd. That would be an epic failure.
If he's selling a lot, he needs to get a lot in return. Not a bunch of C/D prospects and 4ths.
Dreger says lots of interest in Jake. Vegas is believed by many to be a front runner. Oilers think the price is beyond them.
TSN hockey insider Darren Dreger joins us to chat about the Leafs' approach at the trade deadline, why the team is still hesitant to trade their first round pick, Lindy Ruff getting fired by the Devils, if the Devils are still going after Jacob Markstrom and more.
www.tsn.ca
Vegas seems most likely honestly unless someone really steps it up and gives a big piece (ie Van with Hogs or Lekky).
I would imagine at this point, teams might be waiting to see if the price comes down a bit based on teams dropping out or moving on to other targets but Toffoli not being available helps us quite a bit.
I hope Guentzel gets traded soon. The idiocy about him is getting out of control..
You think this is bad? Wait until we see the comments on the return. Either way, Toronto fans will be out in full force to give us their hot takes on Dubas. It's going to get much worse before it gets better.