Coles notes on what in fact could be transpiring in Ottawa:
The value of the team is being inflated by the promise of exclusive negotiating rights to build an arena on a prime piece of land owned by the National Capital Commission (NCC), a federal government body that owns and manages a massive portfolio of land around the National Capital Region (Ottawa).
As the $1B cheque was about to be written the Remington Group (Ryan Reynolds' sugar daddy) got cold feet about the value of this promise (specifically called the Preferred Bidder Status) because A/ The NCC is notoriously difficult to work with and B/ The lease and development terms are not clear enough to garner confidence that any project will be smooth, or have the requisite financial upside.
As such, the inflated value of the team is hinged on a parcel of land that doesn't come with any guarantee, assurance or any real financial edge to speak of, or at least not anything tangible at this point in the game. In other words, there is too much risk in the real estate play to justify the elevated cost of the franchise.
The Remington Group tried to mitigate this risk by getting a negotiation window with the NCC. Galatioto Sports Partners and the Senators said no. Remington et al. called BS and pulled the plug.
I can't imagine the other groups will move forward without a similar level of concern. The price tag is just too high and it is high because of the mirage that is the Lebreton Flats 'deal'.
Why this is all coming to a head now is the odd part. I would suspect that there was a request for negotiating rights a long time ago and hope was held out until the 11th hour. If the NCC extended an olive branch during the process and assured bidders that they would make great partners than I don't think we would be here. Instead they made a few statements that didn't count for much and it appears like they might end up sleeping alone on prom night.
Bids are binding on the 15th of May. The remaining groups may hold out until the last minute in the hopes that they are the last ones standing and submit a lower bid than the figures that are being rumoured. If so this will be a gross miscalculation on the part of the Ottawa Senators. Had they gone down the path of getting permits or at least more than just an MOU with the NCC (or 'Preferred Bidder Status') then they would have had tangible value in the real estate play. Instead they seem to have pegged the value on a weak agreement with a terrible development partner who stood idly by and it's backfiring.
Just my thoughts and for a SENS fan this appears to be a really sh1tty situation. We will know soon though.