About exactly where they've always been. About an average goalie.
Not saying that Skinner is better than Hellybuyck by any stretch but did you see the way the Avalanche absolutely shredded him last year?
Skinner analytically is below average and was last year too.
Want to know why the Avalanche shredded Helly last year?
He gets overplayed so by the time the playoffs roll around he is already beat. He played 190 regular season games the last 3 years.
Top 10 goalies for games played the last 3 years?
Saros, Helle, Vasilevskiy, Sorokin, Markstrom, Shesterkin, Oettinger, Bobrovsky, Georgiev, Jarry.
Out of those goalies Markstrom, Hellebuyck, Georgiev, Jarry all had big drops in their regular season numbers in the playoffs over the last 3 years and ended up with a negative GSAA.
Saros, Bobrovsky, Vasilevskiy, Sorokin broke even.
Shesterkin improved and Oettinger was a little worse.
So for the most part, overplaying your goalie during the year for the most part is a pretty legit way to decrease their effectiveness, outside of Shesterkin who isn't human.
Edit: In those same 3 years the Jets have given up the 11th most HDCA in the league, which lead to Hellebuyck facing the MOST high danger shots in the league which is 102 more than 2nd place Saros, in 5 less games. Hellebuyck has been the most overworked goalie in the league. Is it shocking that he had a rough playoffs? And the Jets are doing it again.