The Heatley trade was very different in 2 ways:
1. It was a closed market; Heatley had full control over where he wanted to go, and used it. Most teams just weren't in the running right from the start.
2. We had a pretty firm deadline in moving him. The org didn't want to have hijm as a distraction to start the season and was unwilling to hold on for a better offer.
With Spezza, we can trade at the draft, or hold off for the trade deadline. We could even opt to keep him. The other team doesn't have the leverage SJ had, and if the Blues make an offer, you could see SJ try and beat it just to keep him away from one of their competitors.
I'm not saying that we'll get a kings ransom, but there is no need to settle for scraps either.
My thinking is the Sens have basically decided to move on from Spezza. That's what the "He’s our captain, at this point, he has a year left on his contract. We’ll see where we go with him,†message said to me. It doesn't rule out re-signing absolutely but that's not the message they put out. Anything less than a vote of confidence is putting the message out there that the Sens want to move on.
We may not be cornered into a deal like the Heatley situation but there are a couple of points to look at (at least to me).
1.It sounds like they want to move on. They didn't come out and say we support our captain and want to build around him. That's telling. If you want to move on from a player, maximizing value is not necessarily at the top of your list. It may be a case of doing the best you can in a trade.
2.Spezza is a UFA at the end of next season. Given the teams uncertainty with him, I'm not sure Spezza would want to come back. You can keep him and risk losing him for nothing next summer.
3.Teams spend their money in the summer and then you basically don't see any trades of note until the trade deadline. Spezza is not a trigger you pull at any time. You can move him in the summer and build a team without him or you can wait until the deadline and get the most you can for him.
I think they take the most reasonable deal available to them in the summer, likely at or before the draft.