Kirk doing his part to force Blue Jays’ hand and make opening day roster - Sportsnet.ca
TORONTO – If you take the long view, there’s a case to be made for opening the season with Reese McGuire as Danny Jansen’s backup.
Simply put, the argument looks like this. Capable big-league catchers aren’t easy to find, so teams must be judicious whenever they’re cutting one loose. And since McGuire no longer has minor-league options remaining, the Blue Jays will have to pass him through waivers if he’s not on their opening day roster. If exposed, there's a chance another team would take a flier on McGuire, a 26-year-old with a lifetime .725 OPS.
But if the Blue Jays had to win one game? It would be Alejandro Kirk, not McGuire, who would belong on the roster. Kirk outperformed McGuire at the plate in 2020, he’s doing so again this spring, and as he gains more and more familiarity with the Blue Jays’ pitching staff, any defensive advantage McGuire once had would appear to be diminishing, too.
Within the next three weeks the Blue Jays will have to make a decision: prioritize organizational depth, or roster Kirk, even if it means risking the loss of McGuire. In the meantime, Kirk’s doing what he can to make that decision easier, with a two-hit game in Saturday’s 5-0 win over Baltimore including one single that left his bat going 110 m.p.h.
"Of course he's still competing for a job, but he's doing what it takes to make the team,” manager Charlie Montoyo said via Zoom afterwards. “You've got to give the kid credit for being that young and handling the pitching staff and getting used to them. Last year when he came up he didn’t know anybody. That’s not that easy. Now this year he’s getting used to the pitching and it’s only going to make him better behind the plate.”
With those two hits Saturday, Kirk now has five in his first 10 at-bats of the spring. While spring numbers can often be deceptive, each hard-hit ball suggests the .983 OPS Kirk posted last year was a reflection of real skill. By starting him in a playoff game last fall, the Blue Jays showed that they agree. And over the winter, that strong finish served as motivation for the 22-year-old Kirk.
"I'm not going to lie to you, it was a great experience,” he said via interpreter Hector Lebron. “It was beautiful playing in the big-leagues last year. Actually it did help me get a little experience, which is helping me out right now. I worked very, very hard in the off-season trying to come into camp in shape."
Objectively speaking, there's reason to believe Kirk will provide far more offence than McGuire. FanGraphs' projection models both suggest Kirk can hit in the majors right now (Steamer: .809 OPS, ZiPS: .756 OPS) yet neither one forecasts much offence from McGuire (Steamer: .646 OPS, ZiPS .646 OPS). If the Blue Jays’ internal projections align with those numbers, then exposing McGuire to waivers may well be a risk they’re comfortable taking.