Nikita Kucherov is the clear favorite for the Art Ross Trophy
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I Hate Blake Coleman
Bandwagon Burner
Historic. Without checking, it's a record probably held by Gretzky.
- Apr 20, 2016
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It is. And if I'm not mistaken they play the Oilers at home to close out the season too. Couldn't write a better script for it.
McShogun99
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That will pretty much guarantee him the win when you combine that with the season he’s had.
CokenoPepsi
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- Oct 28, 2016
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hamzarocks
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I think Mcdavid could turn Ryan Reeves into a 15+ goal scorer
He is the 3rd best player ever and pronably 2nd best passer after Gretzky. (Lemieux was a worse passer but much better goal scorer than mcdavid)
He is the 3rd best player ever and pronably 2nd best passer after Gretzky. (Lemieux was a worse passer but much better goal scorer than mcdavid)
Laveuglette
Le meilleur receveur de passes de tous les temps
McDavid only 4 pts away from lead and he has a game in hand. Huge considering where he used to be earlier this season
Hockey Outsider
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- Jan 16, 2005
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An update since I posted last week - Kucherov remains the narrow favourite for the Art Ross, but McDavid (4 points back, with one game in hand) is only a couple of percentage points behind. This has been fueled by McDavid's five consecutive 2+ point games. Here are the current odds:
- Kucherov: 42% (previously: 55%)
- McDavid: 40% (previously: 22%)
- MacKinnon: 27% (previously: 32%)
McDavid is at 119 points. Once he reaches 120 (which he will, barring a season-ending injury), this will be the first time since 1996 that the league featured three 120+ point scorers (Lemieux, Jagr and Sakic).
Probability of reaching 130 points:
- Kucherov: 99% (previously: 98%)
- McDavid: 99% (previously: 82%)
- MacKinnon: 98% (previously: 93%)
- Kucherov: 42% (previously: 38%)
- McDavid: 41% (previously: 16%)
- MacKinnon: 30% (previously: 22%)
Video Nasty
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- Mar 12, 2017
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For those who don’t remember, this thread was created the day that McDavid and the Oilers turned it around (11/24).
They’ve gone 38-11-3 since then, while McDavid has dished out 83 assists and collected 103 points in those 52 games.
Another 24th of note: McDavid was behind in the scoring race by a season high 22 points to MacKinnon on 1/24 (trailed Kucherov by 20). He has trimmed it to just 4 points for both, while still having a game in hand on Kucherov and 2 games in hand on MacKinnon.
McDavid won’t be stopped from claiming his 4th Art Ross in a row and 6th overall.
By the way, here’s a page one classic:
They’ve gone 38-11-3 since then, while McDavid has dished out 83 assists and collected 103 points in those 52 games.
Another 24th of note: McDavid was behind in the scoring race by a season high 22 points to MacKinnon on 1/24 (trailed Kucherov by 20). He has trimmed it to just 4 points for both, while still having a game in hand on Kucherov and 2 games in hand on MacKinnon.
McDavid won’t be stopped from claiming his 4th Art Ross in a row and 6th overall.
By the way, here’s a page one classic:
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CokenoPepsi
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I think he'll run out of games.
Kucherov and Nathan just have big 4-5 point games whenever he has gotten close
Video Nasty
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Fair enough. They’ve been phenomenal this season, but they way I see it is that they very likely need 145 to beat him.
I see McDavid getting there, but not them.
If Kucherov has another quiet game tomorrow night, it’s going to get very interesting in the short term.
Ivo
Registered User
I thought the same, but now he’s gotten so close and has a game in hand on Kucherov and two games in hand on MacKinnon. My money is on McDavid to win it.
MacKinnon - 10 games left. NYR, NSH, CLB, MIN, EDM, DAL, MIN, WIN, VEG, EDM
Kucherov - 11 games left. BOS, NYI, DET, TOR, MTL, PIT, CLB, OTT, WSH, BUF, TOR
McDavid - 12 games left. LA, ANA, STL, DAL, COL, CAL, VEG, PHX, VAN, SJ, PHX, COL
In bold are the very easy games (bottom feeders)
Underlined are the easy games (out of playoffs, not quite bottom feeders)
Regular font are playoff teams, or teams still in playoff race
A bit subjective where I draw the line of playoff race or not - ie Colorado plays Wild twice, but didn't underline them. Still, it's pretty evident MacKinnon has the hardest schedule of the 3.
McDavid - 4 very easy games (ANA,PHX,SJ,PHX) + 1 easy game (CAL)
Kucherov - 3 very easy games (MTL,CLB,OTT) + 2 easy games (PIT,BUF)
MacKinnon - 1 very easy game (CLB) that's it.
Kucherov - 11 games left. BOS, NYI, DET, TOR, MTL, PIT, CLB, OTT, WSH, BUF, TOR
McDavid - 12 games left. LA, ANA, STL, DAL, COL, CAL, VEG, PHX, VAN, SJ, PHX, COL
In bold are the very easy games (bottom feeders)
Underlined are the easy games (out of playoffs, not quite bottom feeders)
Regular font are playoff teams, or teams still in playoff race
A bit subjective where I draw the line of playoff race or not - ie Colorado plays Wild twice, but didn't underline them. Still, it's pretty evident MacKinnon has the hardest schedule of the 3.
McDavid - 4 very easy games (ANA,PHX,SJ,PHX) + 1 easy game (CAL)
Kucherov - 3 very easy games (MTL,CLB,OTT) + 2 easy games (PIT,BUF)
MacKinnon - 1 very easy game (CLB) that's it.
jigglysquishy
Registered User
Between the NHA/NHL, PCHA/WCHL and WHA we've never had a three way tie.
NHL had two way ties in 1962, 1980, and 1995. PCHA had a tie in 1921. WCHL had a tie in 1925. WHA never had a tie.
So 5 ties in the ~140 seasons of major pro hockey, but never a three way tie.
Would be neat to see.
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Paddyjack
Registered User
I don't think you should label easy games using simply bottom feeders. What you are looking for is the ability to score points, not to win games....
You should look at their defensive abilities as a team instead. A team like TB may look much difficult than Montreal however defensively they get scored about the same (245 vs 235 GA). In comparison, Florida is at 177.....
Macheteops
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- Apr 13, 2005
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Agreed. Hard not to call NYI and DET easy games in terms of putting up points. They're both bottom 10 in most GA
That doesn't really change much though. Bad teams allow a lot of goals.
SJ/CLB/MTL/ANA/OTT - 5 teams I had labeled as "very easy" are all bottom 7 in league in goals against. The only team that gains ever so slightly is Phoenix whose still 10th worst in goals against.
We'll see if NYI can bridge the gap to playoffs, but Detroit is pretty much 9th now. They're one of the most desperate teams to win games in the league right now. True they allow a lot of goals, but it's probably going to be a tough opponent from here on out.
Either way though - even if you want to add NYI or DET or others to the list of easy/very easy - the primary point is MacKinnon definitely has the hardest shcedule of the 3. He doesn't play any easy teams outside of CLB, the one time.
McDavid hasn't even scored 30 goals and he still might win.
Maybe we were wrong - Kucherov and MacKinnon need another 4+ point game to keep him away.
Maybe we were wrong - Kucherov and MacKinnon need another 4+ point game to keep him away.
tfwnogf
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- Dec 15, 2013
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Nathaniel must be holding his breath watching McDavid catch up these last few games, he's been quiet lately
Ace Card Bedard
Back in Black, Red, and White
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I don't think it matters when you're that good.
He's had multi-point games against very good teams all season.
Macheteops
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He's going to get his points but as another poster pointed out he likely has the hardest schedule and the least amount of games too. He does have the tie-breaker. Should be a fun finish with EDM/COL playing each other couple times
Kerberos
Hound of Hades
- Nov 4, 2021
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McDavid needs another 9-points-in-2-games explosion like he's done a couple of times this season for me to be convinced of his chances. If the Oilers could somehow go into their final 2 games with the division still with-in reach, that would help also.
It is impressive how he bridges the gap back to a manageable amount every time Kucherov and MacKinnon go insane though.
It is impressive how he bridges the gap back to a manageable amount every time Kucherov and MacKinnon go insane though.
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