This is the most uncertain i've been about a pick in a long time. Legitimately have no clue what direction management will go.
If I had to guess, based on Dubas' draft tendencies, i'm expecting him to trade down. If he stands pat, I have a strong feeling he will select Lapierre. The lack of exposure due to limited GP, his injury history scaring away other risk adverse GMs (assuming his medicals clear), and the fact that he's been pegged as having some of the highest potential in the draft all suggest to me that Dubas will view his weaknesses more as market inefficiencies than legitimate red flags.
My top preferences would be any of Reichel, Guhle, Amirov, Jarvis. My secondary preferences would be Wallinder, Barron, Perreault, Holloway (trade down scenario). Uncertain about Mercer's upside, but I could see him fitting this team's top 6 like a glove, so i'd defer to management on that one.
Tldr; hoping for a trade down.