GDT: NHL draft lottery

[AzKing]

I'm praying for Blake to NOT choose freaking Byram. Call me crazy, but a team that has trouble scoring goals shouldn't be wasting a top-5 pick on a damned defenseman!!!

I struggle with Byram more because I am wondering if he is really a true #1 Dman or if he is just the best of a crop this year that are good but aren't elite? You have several Dmen that all seem bunched up: York, Seider, Soderstrom, Broberg, Haley, Heinola, Bjornfort, Honka and probably Robertson but nobody screams out as the next "It," guy. Last year, it was clear than Dahlin was a #1. He had the label as a can't miss. If Byram is not a true #1 Dman, then you can't pick him that high. That's where the scouting comes in.

The year before, it was Makar and Heiskenan but they weren't guys who had that "Wow," factor. They were taken at 3/4 and then there was a run of 5 in a row at #14-18. That's how it feels right now with Byram and these other players. We will probably see all of the guys I mentioned off the board by Round 2 and they will go in bunches.

I would rather go with the best Forward prospect because we need scorers and then see what Dmen are available with the next #1 pick.

 

[AzKing]

Man, when I look at the scouting reports for Hughes and Kakko, they read like a dream for this team. If I had to choose for today and who is the most likely to come in and light it up early, it would be Kakko. For the longterm it's probably Hughes but you just can't lose with either guy. It's a lot more like McDavid/Eichel in that you are getting a star with either pick than Hischier/Patrick where you are getting a solid player but not a guy who will be a megastar.

Jack Hughes Scouting Report: 2019 NHL Draft #1 - Last Word on Hockey

Kaapo Kakko Scouting Report: 2019 NHL Draft #2 - Last Word on Hockey

 

[Sol]

I hope the gods smile upon us in this rare opportunity.

 

[AzKing]

I hope the gods smile upon us in this rare opportunity.

I know it's not a great comparison since everything has evolved so much and it's a deep pool but think about 2008:

1. Stamkos
2. Doughty
3. Schenn
4. Bogosian
5. Myers

One wrong move there and we don't win 2 Cups.

 

[kovacro]

The year before, it was Makar and Heiskenan but they weren't guys who had that "Wow," factor.

Heiskanen is going to be a stud. Dallas has an excellent cornerstone for years on the back end with that kid.

 

[Papa Mocha 15]

I promised my kid Drew today that I'd pull him out of daycare to get ice cream and hit the park. Gonna miss the fireworks but I'll follow up later. For the love of God, please get #1.

 

[Little Psycho]

Ran the draft stimulator and 7 out of 10 we ended up in fourth. Have mercy.

 

[kovacro]

Ran the draft stimulator and 7 out of 10 we ended up in fourth. Have mercy.

Meh, I ran it about half dozen times and the Kings came out 1st overall on 3 of the outcomes. We'll see what happens in a few hours.

 

[Nodoughtyboutit]

I mean we basically have a 60% chance to get the 4th or 5th pick, so I'm really trying not to get my hopes up too high.

 

[johnjm22]

I promised my kid Drew today that I'd pull him out of daycare to get ice cream and hit the park. Gonna miss the fireworks but I'll follow up later.

Not cool bro. You need to get your priorities straight.

 

[KingsFan7824]

Ran the draft stimulator and 7 out of 10 we ended up in fourth. Have mercy.

9 out of 10 for me was outside the top 3. However, the 1 out of 10 was the 1st. Buffalo ended up with the 1st five times.

 

[Butch 19]

I know it's not a great comparison since everything has evolved so much and it's a deep pool but think about 2008:

1. Stamkos
2. Doughty
3. Schenn
4. Bogosian
5. Myers

One wrong move there and we don't win 2 Cups.

Gawwwd! Deano really **** the bed with Teubert at 13!

 

[BigKing]

9 out of 10 for me was outside the top 3. However, the 1 out of 10 was the 1st. Buffalo ended up with the 1st five times.

I must have done it 15 times before getting 1st. Lots of 5s and 2s.

 

[AzKing]

I must have done it 15 times before getting 1st. Lots of 5s and 2s.

I will take #2 all day long.

 

[Fishhead]

I mean we basically have a 60% chance to get the 4th or 5th pick, so I'm really trying not to get my hopes up too high.

That’s just opening odds. If Ottawa gets #1, we would have the best odds to land #2 because their balls are gone. The only reason 4th is the highest odds is because you are subtracting the cumulative odds of the other possibilities from 1. Look at it rather from the standpoint that we have the 2nd best odds in the draft.

 

[SFKingshomer]

We will get #4 and Lombardi will come to the stage to announce Thomas Hickey.

 

[redcard]

I asked 10 homeless people what pick we're going to get: 4 of them said #1, 3 of them asked me for drugs, 2 of them told me to f*** off, and 1 told me that in 1986 the Russians kidnapped him and forced him to join a traveling ice dancing troupe across Eastern Europe.

 

[SFKingshomer]

Gawwwd! Deano really **** the bed with Teubert at 13!

Sad to think he wasn't a reach at 13 either. Scouts really love size...

 

[KingsHockey24]

I ran the simulator 10 times and this is what I got:

1st OA (1)
2nd OA (5)
3rd OA (2)
4th OA (1)
5th OA (1)

 

[KingsHockey24]

Provided we walk away from the draft with one of Hughes, Kakko, Turcotte or Byram I'll be ok.

Why not the hard working fast russian kid.

 

[jfont]

I'm praying for Blake to NOT choose freaking Byram. Call me crazy, but a team that has trouble scoring goals shouldn't be wasting a top-5 pick on a damned defenseman!!!

have you seen the Kings D this year?

 

[Telos]

Agreed, a defenseman would be rough because they take longer to develop and impact the league, but you have to take the BPA. For all we know, Hughes gets destroyed in the NHL and ends up with Vilardi like injuries and Byram becomes the next Doughty and a key piece in a Stanely Cup contender...

You just never know how things work out and if you draft to your wants over your needs you always end up in trouble. Who knows what would have happened if we had got what we all wanted and ended up with Stamkos in 2008...

 

[jfont]

Ran the draft stimulator and 7 out of 10 we ended up in fourth. Have mercy.

you need to go to sleep early tonight...

I ran the simulator 10 times and this is what I got:

1st OA (1)
2nd OA (5)
3rd OA (2)
4th OA (1)
5th OA (1)

you need to sacrifice a 1000 bulls to get these odds tonight

 

[Master Yoda]

have you seen the Kings D this year?

Plus Byram DID score 26 goals this year, which is more than Dach and Krebs. This isn't to suggest that he's a better offensive weapon than those guys, but just pointing it out.

 

[deaderhead28]

Strange seeing all these folks coming out of the wood work to post for the draft lol.