Espher
Registered User
means 3 is more likely than 4. Certaibly not implausible.
For sure.
means 3 is more likely than 4. Certaibly not implausible.
I was expecting a better defensive performance due to the situation and usual goaltending.
Reimer save% last night was well below his average btw and his GAa is closer to 3 than 4 btw.
Personally I think it's silly to say something statistically unlikely to happen was statistically expected, but I'm crazy like that.
Which is closer to his average save%? Which is closer to his GAA?Leafs on average give up 35 shots a night.. Yesterday they gave up 36 shots against.
If a goalie stops 32 of 35 shots on average = .914 sv% but also a 3 GAA. Reimer has a .910 sv% on the season.
Reimer has a 3.32 GAA which is > 3 but less than < 4 but since there is no such thing as 1/2 goals you either need to round up or round down to the whole numbers within game scores.
Statistically in this game the results played out just like moneyball would have suggested they would have. Leafs gave up their quota of shots against and Reimer sv% and GAA played out to 4 goals against. (3 GAA also a probability but that would have meant Reimer exceeded both his yearly GAA and SV% to surrender only 3).
No surprises here at least not for me based on previous result analysis.