There's not much in Alonso's batted ball profile to suggest he's due for a big drop off. His exit velocity is where it's been for the last few seasons, which is important. The rest of his rates are mostly in line with his career averages. This is not one of those situations where you see a guy have his exit velocity drop by 3 MPH and his hard hit % crater out, or where he can't lift the ball anymore. I would guess he's just as likely to post a 3.5 fWAR year next season as he is to post a 2.0 fWAR year.
I have no idea what his progression would look like, though. If it were me, I'd let Pete shop himself around, and if no one wanted to give him huge money, see if he'd take 3-4 years. I think he's a fairly safe bet to go for 30+ in each of those 3-4 years.
I have no idea what his progression would look like, though. If it were me, I'd let Pete shop himself around, and if no one wanted to give him huge money, see if he'd take 3-4 years. I think he's a fairly safe bet to go for 30+ in each of those 3-4 years.