Mitch Marner, Yet Again

This is so petty, does it matter? I think as a fanbase we have gotten to a low point if we constantly have to rank who had a good game by player. The whole team was dynamite in the 3rd. Everyone was forechecking. McMann once he was moved up to line 2, had a heavy forecheck.
There seems to be a divide between fans of the team and those that just hate Marner, so weird.
If people could be honest once in awhile and put the agenda down this place would be far more interesting than what it's become the last while.

It's ok to say he played well.
 
Quality of linemates matter. I would guess the majority of the time Line 1 is on with McCabe and Tanev. Matthews is also an excellent defensive player. Winger defence is the easiest thing to do.
Yes, linematers matter. You might be missing part of my point because I don't want to keep repeating myself. Marner and Nylander both perform great with Matthews. It's when they are with Tavares that Nylander becomes horrible but Marner doesn't. It should be very obvious when you watch the games. When Nylander is on the ice with anyone other than Matthews they get scored on a lot even though they aren't playing against the oppositions best.
 
Yes, linematers matter. You might be missing part of my point because I don't want to keep repeating myself. Marner and Nylander both perform great with Matthews. It's when they are with Tavares that Nylander becomes horrible but Marner doesn't. It should be very obvious when you watch the games. When Nylander is on the ice with anyone other than Matthews they get scored on a lot even though they aren't playing against the oppositions best.
So is your metric of whoever outscores the opposition essentially your most valued way of looking at player contributions?
 
I think the people who actually get paid to know hockey for a living (who make the lists too) are a little more than "talking heads".

It's funny cause this is precisely the same shit that got perpetuated when Nylander was being negotiated with and Pastrnak was just getting signed with Boston. Pastrnak was apparently just a product of the Bergeron-Marchand duo and allegedly his production is equal to or worse than Willy's without them. Didn't turn out to be even remotely true. You think you have the linemate equation figured out when in reality you're nowhere even close, but you sure love to pretend you know.
Can't say I didn't try. Nylander, especially lately is producing a lot of point he just gets scored on A LOT. You just have to stop counting points and stop watching the puck and it's right in front you.
 
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That's not how shooting percentage works. You don't seem to remember the playoffs but last night it happened a few times where Marner fed Matthews with the perfect pass and he missed. Same with the 4 nations. In the first few games the passes were there but the shots didn't go in then in the last game the same player making the same quality passes and the shots happen to go in.

We also have stats like HDCF that clearly show that Matthews is getting excellent scoring chances, they just aren't going in. Shirly you must see that. These stats only confirm the eye test.

Rewatch last nights game if you can't remember. Something is wrong with Matthews this season, not Marner. Marner would lead the team in points by even more if Matthews wasn't hurt and only shooting 12.6% instead of his normal 16% This season is a great analogy for the the playoffs. Marner is still getting in passing lanes, chipping the puck out the zone, and all the other amazing things that he does that we don't measure. He is also setting up his line mates for excellent chances but they just aren't going it. Just like this season with Matthews who is struggling not Marner.


It sounds like you are creating a twisted mess that suggests a lot of confusing things.

Mack makes Rantanen a great player
Marner makes Matthews a great player
Matthews P/GP goes down in POs
Rantanen goes up in POs with Mack

So are you saying Matthews is not as good a player as Rantanen considering the massive downgrade in PO production?

Or it's only because Mack is so much better than Marner and that's why Rantanen was positively affected.

This suggests you think that Matthews is a average player in the playoffs and is dragging Marner down?

Note: Nylander with JT sees no performance hit in the playoffs stays .85p/GP

Necas is essentially the same player with or without Mack so far. I think it was mentioned Matthews away from Marner in the playoffs has a increase in production per 60.


It sounds like you think Marner is only second to Mack of all the players mentioned.
 
So is your metric of whoever outscores the opposition essentially your most valued way of looking at player contributions?
Not entirely, but not getting scored on is pretty important don't you think? More importantly focusing ONLY on points is the problem. We don't measure things like getting into passing lanes in the offensive and defensive zone, chipping the puck out, covering for a linemate out of position etc etc etc. C'mon you've got to see at least some of the amazing things Marner does away from the puck. How many goals has he prevented by doing all of these things? We don't know. We don't measure it. It does show itself via proxy in that when Marner is on the ice less goals against are scored. It's similar to what happens when his linemates sh% drops and his points drop. It's really obvious when you pay attention but if you're not seeing this stuff it would explain why you are confused.
 
Not entirely, but not getting scored on is pretty important don't you think? More importantly focusing ONLY on points is the problem. We don't measure things like getting into passing lanes in the offensive and defensive zone, chipping the puck out, covering for a linemate out of position etc etc etc. C'mon you've got to see at least some of the amazing things Marner does away from the puck. How many goals has he prevented by doing all of these things? We don't know. We don't measure it. It does show itself via proxy in that when Marner is on the ice less goals against are scored. It's similar to what happens when his linemates sh% drops and his points drop. It's really obvious when you pay attention but if you're not seeing this stuff it would explain why you are confused.


Please rank these players best to worst.

Mack
Matthews
Rantanen
Marner
Nylander
Necas

Anyone can join in
 
So just Nylander gets scored on. Not any of the other people on the ice. I get it now
No, but when Nylander and Tavares play together it's a disaster. When Marner and Tavares play together it's just as good as Nylander with Matthews because Matthews is good enough to cover for Nylander disaster. Don't you see this? Over their career Matthews is +142 Marner is +119 and Nylander is +25. I'll assume that you can appreciate the context.

Do you not see how often Nylander's line gets scored on largely because he's late coming back or floating around at the blue line waiting for those very exciting breakaways? There is a cost to those breakaways and the cost is goals against. If you in any way think that Nylander is not terrible defensively then you are missing something.
 
Mack
Matthews
Marner
Rantanen, Nylander
Necas

Ok why does Matthews stats not get helped out by Marner in the PO and why does Marners p/GP fall off a cliff in games 5 6 7?

How does all of that square up? I just don't understand.

Like, if Matthews is second best. Why doesn't his goal scoring raise Marner?

Does Mack away from Rantanen in the POs cause Mack to lose productivity? Why would Marner have a negative affect?

It just doesn't sit right.
 
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Mr. elite defensively was a statue as MacKinnon calming skated by him on the Avs goal. But hey, he got his cookie last night on a gift Matthews PP goal. Sorry, you cannot win with this type of player making the money he wants.
The way they try to sneak marner in every time matthews has a good game is insane you can see matthews carrying the line yet they’ll ignore the obvious to support the narrative LOL
 
Right about last night. I have flipped my opinion on signing Mitchy. While I believe he wants to leave (many don't agree), I think keeping him is the way forward. The cap increases, so his salary is less punishing, JT drops but more important the supply of players from Marlies is gone, our first rounders are gone, Kampf who can skate is replaced at a greater cost on line 4, and what we have to look forward to is Cowan and a few potential free agents. Mitchy must stay. He is now irreplaceable, whether he is a playoff performer or not.
Sign him up.
And of course the marner crew ignored the whether Hes a playoff performer or not 😭🤣 YEAH no hard pass he can take his talents somewhere else for 13 million dollars him on the roster is only insuring we don’t have money to pay people that are gonna help us do something in the playoffs domi can take his place and get out of the 3c hole
 
That's not how shooting percentage works. You don't seem to remember the playoffs but last night it happened a few times where Marner fed Matthews with the perfect pass and he missed. Same with the 4 nations. In the first few games the passes were there but the shots didn't go in then in the last game the same player making the same quality passes and the shots happen to go in.

We also have stats like HDCF that clearly show that Matthews is getting excellent scoring chances, they just aren't going in. Shirly you must see that. These stats only confirm the eye test.

Rewatch last nights game if you can't remember. Something is wrong with Matthews this season, not Marner. Marner would lead the team in points by even more if Matthews wasn't hurt and only shooting 12.6% instead of his normal 16% This season is a great analogy for the the playoffs. Marner is still getting in passing lanes, chipping the puck out the zone, and all the other amazing things that he does that we don't measure. He is also setting up his line mates for excellent chances but they just aren't going it. Just like this season with Matthews who is struggling not Marner.
You do realize domi got under four million dollars for being a playmaker that’s not a great 2 way player and @Antropovsky has shown time and time again that domi numbers are actually better with matthews and the eye test supports that so are you implying that the 9.5 difference in the salary he wants is cause of the defensive end?
 
I don't care about the talking heads although the guys on Prime on Monday were gushing over Marner so I guess it depends on who you listen too.

If would be difficult for a 20 point elite defensive winger to be more valuable than Nylander but it's not even close for a 90 point one.

Who is more valuable, the 27/65/92 guy who out scores the opposition significantly ALL OF TIME or the 31/42/73 guy who gets out scored significantly other than when he is with a superstar sniper. These guys play the same position on the same team.
Who are those stats they aren’t matching our players in my brain
 
Or he could start fighting now that Reaves isn't around. Marner is an elite playmaker who plays elite defence. It has always been like this and it is what he gets paid for.
He got paid for the one year he played with Tavares let’s not kid ourselves if we got a better look at his projection he wouldn’t have landed the contract he did he peaked at the right time
 
There seems to be a divide between fans of the team and those that just hate Marner, so weird.
If people could be honest once in awhile and put the agenda down this place would be far more interesting than what it's become the last while.

It's ok to say he played well.
Marner is just such a tricky guy to kind of get a conclusion on. One thing for sure, I think most of us fans are frustrated with his personality.

It's just sometimes he plays like the best hockey player on the planet, then he does this pissy interviews where he refuses to be held accountable and it just makes everyone not like the guy.

Then his contract situation.

If he could just handle himself better in interviews I think he'd be viewed a lot differently.
 
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Marner is just such a tricky guy to kind of get a conclusion on. One thing for sure, I think most of us fans are frustrated with his personality.

It's just sometimes he plays like the best hockey player on the planet, then he does this pissy interviews where he refuses to be held accountable and it just makes everyone not like the guy.

Then his contract situation.

If he could just handle himself better in interviews I think he'd be viewed a lot differently.
If he would stop thinking he’s an equal to matthews that’s a start and if he’s intent on believing that he should be on the second line to prove that the offence is running through him this year like it was for nylander last year and I’m not seeing where he’s closer to matthews salary than nylanders that’s an actual rediculous take
 
It sounds like you are creating a twisted mess that suggests a lot of confusing things.

Mack makes Rantanen a great player
Marner makes Matthews a great player
Matthews P/GP goes down in POs
Rantanen goes up in POs with Mack

So are you saying Matthews is not as good a player as Rantanen considering the massive downgrade in PO production?

Or it's only because Mack is so much better than Marner and that's why Rantanen was positively affected.

This suggests you think that Matthews is a average player in the playoffs and is dragging Marner down?

Note: Nylander with JT sees no performance hit in the playoffs stays .85p/GP

Necas is essentially the same player with or without Mack so far. I think it was mentioned Matthews away from Marner in the playoffs has a increase in production per 60.


It sounds like you think Marner is only second to Mack of all the players mentioned.
Your interpretation of what you think I'm saying is very strange.

Mack makes Rantanen a great player. Strange wording. Rantanen produces great with Mack not so great without him on his line.
Marner makes Matthews a great player. No, Matthews in general is great and doesn't need Marner. He is just as great with Nylander but his sh% drops in the POs.
Matthews P/GP goes down in POs. This is true but I don't think I've ever actually said that. What I have said is that Matthews shooting percentage goes down drastically but that's definitely the reason his points go down.
Rantanen goes up in POs with Mack. No, they are always great together, It's when he is aways from Mack that his performance is bad.


So are you saying Matthews is not as good a player as Rantanen considering the massive downgrade in PO production?
What? No, I'm saying that Matthews sh% drops in the playoffs.

Or it's only because Mack is so much better than Marner and that's why Rantanen was positively affected. No, I'm just saying that Matthews sh% drops.

This suggests you think that Matthews is a average player in the playoffs and is dragging Marner down? It's more nuanced than that but Matthews' sh% is extremely low in the games that people are whining about Marner's points. Remember, you guys only hate Marner when he's not getting points and he still leads the team in PO points. Dekes and others have attempted to explain why. There's all sorts of reasons like hot goaltenders, lot's of posts hit, coaching strategies, injuries and a terrible PP but that facts are that they ARE getting the chances which is Marners job BUT they aren't going in which is Matthews' job. Just like Marner "sucked" in the four nations until the shots that he set up started falling instead of being saved.
 
Ok why does Matthews stats not get helped out by Marner in the PO and why does Marners p/GP fall off a cliff in games 5 6 7?

How does all of that square up? I just don't understand.

Like, if Matthews is second best. Why doesn't his goal scoring raise Marner?

Does Mack away from Rantanen in the POs cause Mack to lose productivity? Why would Marner have a negative affect?

It just doesn't sit right.
I believe I answered this in my recent post. Try to only keep one thread going with me.
 
So just Nylander gets scored on. Not any of the other people on the ice. I get it now
Just you know, this poster thinks that Marner's 3 points in 7 games in the last playoffs isn't a concern, apparently the only thing that matters is that he was +1. So that basically confirms that he's the only one on the ice.
 
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Marner is just such a tricky guy to kind of get a conclusion on. One thing for sure, I think most of us fans are frustrated with his personality.

It's just sometimes he plays like the best hockey player on the planet, then he does this pissy interviews where he refuses to be held accountable and it just makes everyone not like the guy.

Then his contract situation.

If he could just handle himself better in interviews I think he'd be viewed a lot differently.
No doubt about that, he doesn't do himself any favours.
He's not the sharpest marble, that's for sure. I care more about the play though than comments.

One thing I do know is that he cares very much for the team and his teammates which probably causes him some issues as well.
 
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