Miscellaneous NHL Discussion C: The centenarian of threads

The 2024 Stanley Cup winner will be...

  • Boston

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Buffalo

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Calgary

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Chicago

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Columbus

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Detroit

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Edmonton

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  • Florida

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  • Los Angeles

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Minnesota

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Nashville

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • New York Islanders

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • New York Rangers

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Pittsburgh

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Seattle

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • St. Louis

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tampa Bay

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Vancouver

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Washington

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Winnipeg

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    41
  • Poll closed .
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Curufinwe

Registered User
Feb 28, 2013
56,950
45,328
From 2017-19, the Flyers were 4th in xGF/60 and 19th in GF/60. They underperformed their league best xGF/60 in 16-17 too.

The Flyers always had the issue of having an elite PP1 and a non-functional PP2. Now, they're among worst teams on the PP in generating xG AND actual goals, year after year, while having two non-functional units. Progress, baby.

I don't really have an opinion on Knoblauch's tenure, other than, by default, he's vastly superior to Michel Therrien and Rocky Thompson. High praise indeed. The Flyers for a long time have been organizationally lost when it comes to the PP.
The Flyers deserve some sort of award for getting 7 combined PP points out of Frost and Farabee over the last ~100 games.

 

JojoTheWhale

(after my conversation with Torts)
May 22, 2008
35,565
110,168
Beniers is a dash 14 already? :laugh:

Is there a coach whose life depends on unsustainable shooting percentages more than Dave Hakstol? Looks like another one of those years.

Can’t believe they sent Ryker Evans back to the AHL after he went PPG in the playoffs.

One of the EW twins said that last year's Kraken are the team to most outperform their xGs offensively in their entire database. I just nodded quietly. :laugh:
 

LegionOfDoom91

Registered User
Jan 25, 2013
83,290
143,248
Philadelphia, PA
Beniers is a dash 14 already? :laugh:

Is there a coach whose life depends on unsustainable shooting percentages more than Dave Hakstol? Looks like another one of those years.

Can’t believe they sent Ryker Evans back to the AHL after he went PPG in the playoffs.

I listened to Dale Weise on Nasty Knuckles last night. They didn’t really go in great detail but just listening to other podcasts when he’d talk about it the dude still holds a grudge against Hakstol & Fletcher.

He concocted this narrative though that Hakstol only held the bottom of the lineup accountable & that’s the reason the team struggled. :laugh:
 

VladDrag

Registered User
Feb 6, 2018
6,268
15,994
One of the EW twins said that last year's Kraken are the team to most outperform their xGs offensively in their entire database. I just nodded quietly. :laugh:
I remember looking into this last year when talking with LoD91. I remember they were significantly outperforming their xG, but they were crushing the team gar/xgar models. They finished last year 2nd and 3rd for ESO gar/xgar, respectively. They were also very good at retrievals, and controlled exits, and as a result the generated more on the rush than cycle (per all three zones). At the time I wondered if they were outproducing their xG model because the RTSS dataset can't always detect a rush shot from a cycle shot (for example if it's a clean breakout without any detectable NZ events). We know rush shots are more dangerous than cycle shots, in general.

Maybe you can shed some light on this, but I'm not sure how gar/xgar is applied teams. My understanding is that gar/xgar is for an individual player. I assume it's a summation of all players on a roster, but I don't know.
 

JojoTheWhale

(after my conversation with Torts)
May 22, 2008
35,565
110,168
Maybe you can shed some light on this, but I'm not sure how gar/xgar is applied teams. My understanding is that gar/xgar is for an individual player. I assume it's a summation of all players on a roster, but I don't know.

I assume so, but I can't be sure because there's still no xGAR writeup. I believe this is Year 2 or 3 of it coming soon. :laugh:
 

Chinatown88

1 year 3 days and counting
Jan 17, 2012
24,864
47,854
The Universe
I assume so, but I can't be sure because there's still no xGAR writeup. I believe this is Year 2 or 3 of it coming soon. :laugh:
7tgo4yijcjdz.png
 

LegionOfDoom91

Registered User
Jan 25, 2013
83,290
143,248
Philadelphia, PA
I listened to Dale Weise on Nasty Knuckles last night. They didn’t really go in great detail but just listening to other podcasts when he’d talk about it the dude still holds a grudge against Hakstol & Fletcher.

He concocted this narrative though that Hakstol only held the bottom of the lineup accountable & that’s the reason the team struggled. :laugh:

Hextall doesn’t really catch much flak from Weise but I guess I wouldn’t really bash the guy who gave me the best payday of my career either.
 

Beef Invictus

Revolutionary Positivity
Dec 21, 2009
130,154
170,499
Armored Train
I remember looking into this last year when talking with LoD91. I remember they were significantly outperforming their xG, but they were crushing the team gar/xgar models. They finished last year 2nd and 3rd for ESO gar/xgar, respectively. They were also very good at retrievals, and controlled exits, and as a result the generated more on the rush than cycle (per all three zones). At the time I wondered if they were outproducing their xG model because the RTSS dataset can't always detect a rush shot from a cycle shot (for example if it's a clean breakout without any detectable NZ events). We know rush shots are more dangerous than cycle shots, in general.

Maybe you can shed some light on this, but I'm not sure how gar/xgar is applied teams. My understanding is that gar/xgar is for an individual player. I assume it's a summation of all players on a roster, but I don't know.

Watching Seattle, they are way more likely to let forwards set up chances for each other than to fling everything to the blue line and around the boards always. Either Hakstol has learned, or this is what he would be without an organization screaming "SAFETY! DEFENSE!" into his skull.
 
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