Dr Jan Itor
Registered User
I would like all young players to have a better 2nd year than their 1st year.I'll be very happy if he duplicates last year's performance.
I would like all young players to have a better 2nd year than their 1st year.I'll be very happy if he duplicates last year's performance.
Want has nothing to do with it. The reality is that what I typed is far more likely than what DBY typed and that is based on track record , team construction and the fact that this is Minnesota.
Am I the only one who thinks it's insane to trade Gus right now? That would be leaving the nets to a leaky 40 yr. old and a rookie. Gus's value has plummeted due to his poor season last year, but if he rebounds this year he will be an asset going forward, whether we keep him on the team or trade him. If he rebounds, we can get something decent for him at the TDL(he has a cheap contract for a starting goalie), but I think it would be wiser to keep him around and pair him with Wall going forward.
Trading him for 3-4th rounder right now makes no sense to me.
They’re still not as big of a deal as we sit currently. That leads me to believe Guerin will be dumping $4M+ in free agency.Don't sign Fleury and maybe those B bonuses aren't as big of a deal.
The issue this team had last year was that middle aged players had their share of problems. Gus was bad for most of the year. Kaprizov was bad for the first 1/3 or 1/2 of the season. Boldy was injured early and took awhile to get going. Rossi tailed off at the end of the year, likely due to endurance for the long season. Even Faber wasn’t as great towards the end of the year with his injuries and endurance to play the ridiculous minutes he played.I think the reality we'll witness is probably somewhere in the middle of what you two suggest. f7ben is being unrealistically pessimistic, while you're ignoring how old a large part of the team is getting, and therefore how prone to injuries and regression the team itself becomes.
Last year 11 Wild players were over 30 years old to start the year, and Mermis joined them midway through the season in that. We've lost some of those guys, but we have 9 of them remaining as regulars. That's 40% of an active 23 man roster, and Russo keeps saying they want to add a "veteran" top-6 forward, which will add another and push a young guy out. With so many 30+ players, you can count on injuries or regression.
The hope is that the young guys have enough progression to offset it, but there were only 4 regulars last year that were under 24, Rossi, Boldy, Faber, and Chisholm. You can add Ohgren and Khusnutdinov into that if you think they'll both make the team, but they'll be rookies and likely inconsistent, as most rookies are. Even adding those two, this group doesn't outbalance the ten 30+ players.
Guerin has constructed a roster of old players, and it's most likely to do what rosters of old players do, decline. They may make the playoffs if their best 30+ guys don't get injured as happened last year, but when those players were several years younger they were a one-and-done playoff team. I think that's their best-case scenario, unless someone young makes an otherworldly progression.
Its nearly impossible to justify demanding B bonuses unless you are a McDavid level 1st overall pick. How many ELC players in the last decade have been top 10 Forwards in the league? Its supremely selfish of a rookie to demand restricting a third of the overall bonus money available for the entire team on the extremely slim chance that they do accomplish that feat.Don't sign Fleury and maybe those B bonuses aren't as big of a deal.
The NHL made them always a big deal after they were exploited for years, they affect daily cap accruals as if they are accomplished now. Its literally just adding $2MM AAV to our cap for no reason and Guerin would be a moron to have caved on that. That extra $2MM may not seem horrendous today, but at the trade deadline it is equivalent to an $8MM AAV player.They’re still not as big of a deal as we sit currently. That leads me to believe Guerin will be dumping $4M+ in free agency.
The NHL made them always a big deal after they were exploited for years, they affect daily cap accruals as if they are accomplished now. Its literally just adding $2MM AAV to our cap for no reason and Guerin would be a moron to have caved on that. That extra $2MM may not seem horrendous today, but at the trade deadline it is equivalent to an $8MM AAV player.
You are right in that the league does not count them for daily cap accruals, but the NHL team does have to limit and track them. The bonuses do have to be accounted for in-season, if they cause you to exceed the standard cap limit, you get overage space to remain compliant during the season and any overage used by year end is then applied to reduce the next season's cap space. But if you exceed the overage limit at season end, it is equivalent to a cap violation and subject to punishment. So if we gave Yurov those bonuses, we would have to manage against the possibility of him hitting them and pushing us drastically over the upper limit, this means we would be limited in any players that we acquire during the season if they have performance bonuses as well.No it doesn't. The bonuses aren't paid out until after the season if they are met. They have no effect on the daily cap accrual. If it pushes the team over teh cap then it is carried over as dead money into the next season. This is a black and white in the CBA rule. GMBG just doesn't like to give any bonuses at all. This news from the front office is just spin to justify that.
Case and point Rossi last season. He was figured at an $863,333 cap hit as far as the daily accrual was concerned. If he his cap hit was figured with full bonuses all season that would have been a $1,713,333 cap hit. It would have put MN over the cap day 1 of the season.
As the team sits currently they have $6,256,412 in cap space with 20 players signed. They also have a possible $2,425,000 in bonuses. So that would be only leave $3,831,412 in cap space. This is without the RFAs (Chisholm and Shaw) being re-signed, and they are talking about signing a ~$4m vet FWD.
I don’t measure success in regular season wins, maybe you doWe have also had good years where we have exceeded all expectations, but maybe you don't recognize those years.
You are right in that the league does not count them for daily cap accruals, but the NHL team does have to limit and track them. The bonuses do have to be accounted for in-season, if they cause you to exceed the standard cap limit, you get overage space to remain compliant during the season and any overage used by year end is then applied to reduce the next season's cap space. But if you exceed the overage limit at season end, it is equivalent to a cap violation and subject to punishment. So if we gave Yurov those bonuses, we would have to manage against the possibility of him hitting them and pushing us drastically over the upper limit, this means we would be limited in any players that we acquire during the season if they have performance bonuses as well.
The punishment if you use overage space is that you lose that space next season, but if you exceed the overage limit (7.5% of the cap I believe) by season end then you are deemed not cap compliant for the year and subject to additional fines, forfeiture of draft picks, and even forfeiture of games.The punishment is just the dead cap carries over into the next season. It's figured the same as dead cap from a buyout.
The bounes don't mean anything if they aren't met. The "B" bonuses are league wide type of things, so very hard to get. If a prospect hits them then they've more than earned them at that point. If the fear is a player actually hits them then you're basically saying we want you to a league top-10 player, but we want that quality play for (basically) free. If this was the a different job this would be the equivalent of an unpaid intern doing upper lelev work.
Gus was bad. If he still holds decent value with anyone, I’d move him while I could.
But he was bad enough that if the real Gus is somewhere in the middle, he’s still not good. I would move him. ImoHe was good the year before
But he was bad enough that if the real Gus is somewhere in the middle, he’s still not good. I would move him. Imo
The exact middle is a .915 save %, which this year would've been top 10 in the league. You could go down to .910 and still be a top 16 goalie.But he was bad enough that if the real Gus is somewhere in the middle, he’s still not good. I would move him. Imo
If the Wild skip signing Perron, they would have plenty of space to sign Yurov and account for bonuses
Yeah, I don’t get that either. Regardless of what year it is, those bonuses have to be accounted. We are not hurting for cap space this year or next.I would rather have Yurov than Perron
I'm curious, if the reason he didn't sign this year is because of the B bonuses, why would Yurov not ask for them next year when he's a better player? And if that's a line too far for Guerin, why would that be different next year?
Now would have been the time to do it
All that B Bonus hold up is just a contract negotiation distraction, its clear that Yurov intended to stay in the KHL another year, its was long rumored and expected, blaming it on the bonus structure and holding it against Guerin is not logical. He was not in the top 10 for KHL scoring leaders, to presume that he would accomplish that in the NHL next year and demand that bonus as the deciding factor is delusional and I don't think Yurov is that. The player wanted further development before coming over and is in a good situation for that. Staying home is perfectly reasonable, and our fans in particular should be receptive to that based on the extra years that Kaprizov, Faber, and even Boldy to an extent took.If the Wild skip signing Perron, they would have plenty of space to sign Yurov and account for bonuses
I don’t measure success in regular season wins, maybe you do