New York: B
This trade caught the attention of one Eastern Conference team that inquired about McDonagh because the price ended up being less than the asking price they were told it was going to take a few days ago. So that’s an indication of how this deal evolved over the last few days.
Make no mistake, the Rangers got a big package in return for McDonagh. New York's rebuilding plan is off and running. They could end up with two first-round picks from this trade alone, and Namestnikov is having a breakout season. They got a pair of prospects with some real pedigree. But the initial impressions from a few sources around the league was slightly underwhelming.
“I’m stunned that’s all Tampa Bay had to give up,” said an assistant GM. “Miller is an upgrade on Namestnikov and the latter is going to get paid too much in (arbitration) due to who he’s played with.
That potential Namestnikov contract was a sticking point for a couple sources. There's suspicion that he's overachieving right now in part because of the talent around him in Tampa and that he'll have a hard time living up to whatever his next contract looks like.
The other sticking point was that the Rangers didn't get the best of the best Lightning prospects in this deal.
“It’s hard to determine until you see how Howden and Hajek look. That’s the variable,” said another executive. “Four years from now this deal could look very different. I would say at first glance, I thought the Rangers were getting more. That’s an instant analysis. Who knows if Howden and Hajek are playing? It might look like a really good deal for the Rangers in two or three years.”
People do seem to like Hajek, Tampa’s second-round pick in 2016. The Athletic’s Corey Pronman projects him as a four or a five defenseman.
“He was good for the Czechs,” said an Eastern Conference assistant GM of Hajek’s play in the world juniors. “He’s good. He’s a smart two-way defenseman with offensive capabilities. He has some hardness. He’s a good prospect.”
“The best prospect they gave up was Hajek,” said another talent evaluator. “The Czech kid has potential to be in the top four.”
Two talent evaluators projected Howden as a third line player at the NHL level. And that’s what keeps this big package going to New York from getting an A. They got a lot but they didn’t get the Lightning’s premier prospects, although the Rangers may disagree with that assessment.
“Hajek is a good player but he’s nowhere near what (2017 first-round pick Cal) Foote is,” said an executive. “I think they paid a big cost, but they didn’t get the best guys.”