Just because he was better than him at his age doesn't mean he will be better at every age after that. Sam Gagner was better than a lot of guys at his age but he didnt turn out better than any of them.
This goes without saying, and I have also said the same thing on most of my Laine posts. Nothing guarantees that he will ever play a game in the NHL until he actually does. Things can happen, things will happen. People can get injured, they can stop developing etc. There are plenty of things that could go wrong and there's always the possibility he never amounts to anything.
But that said, being a phenom all your junior years and breaking WHC records, having the best pre draft year ever by a european player at least, already having a shot that lands him in the top 3 shooters in the NHL today, at barely 18....those are the reasons why at least some people have a reason to PREDICT higher numbers right off the bat.
Predicting something is based on the available data, and to me this is what his progression during this year suggests. It doesn't mean it will happen necessarily.
A lot of people bring up the "Seriously!11 Only Ovy and Skinner...." well he is better than either one of them at 18 so why is it so unbelievable that someone sees he will keep that advantage through his career?
There are not many complete busts in that superstar prospect category that Laine belongs to. So why predict something that likely does not happen?
I don't need to be safe with my prediction, it's not going to affect my life one bit if I am wrong and he does not score 35 next year. It's just one of the possibilities, it could be less, it could be more or I could land that prediction perfectly. It's just my educated opinion and I don't need someone questioning it every time I make it, like I had no clue of what I just said or that I had no reason to predict it that way.
I do have a reason, and to me it looks like people are either just being ultra safe in a fear of some online mocking if they predict too high, or they are not as well informed as I am about Laine and his place in history with what he did this year. There literally has never been a U-18 player who has done what he did in WHC. Not anyone. That is exceptional and when you do that it lends credence to the idea that his ceiling
could be one of the highest we have ever seen. Or not, but there's no valid reason to predict that to be very likely.