London Knights 2024-25 Season Thread, Part V

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Date


Opponent


Opponent Win %


London’s Chance to Win


Home/Away


Expected Outcome


Feb 7


Peterborough (34.4%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Feb 13


Barrie (68.4%)


⚠️ Tough Game


Away


50/50





Feb 14


Sault Ste. Marie (41.7%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 17


Flint (46.9%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 21


Brampton (51.1%)


✅ Good Chance


Home


Win





Feb 22


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Could be close


Away


50/50





Feb 23


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Feb 28


Owen Sound (39.6%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 1


Niagara (41.7%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 2


Oshawa (63.5%)


⚠️ Slightly Favorable


Away


Win (Tight Game)





Mar 5


Brantford (63.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Away


50/50





Mar 7


Kingston (65.6%)


⚠️ Tight Game


Home


Win (Tough)





Mar 9


Sarnia (46.9%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 11


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 12


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Away


Win





Mar 14


Saginaw (55.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Home


Win (Tight)





Mar 16


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Toughest Game Left


Away


Loss





Mar 18


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Away


Loss





Mar 21


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Mar 23


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Close


Away


50/50
 
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Date


Opponent


Opponent Win %


London’s Chance to Win


Home/Away


Expected Outcome


Feb 7


Peterborough (34.4%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Feb 13


Barrie (68.4%)


⚠️ Tough Game


Away


50/50





Feb 14


Sault Ste. Marie (41.7%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 17


Flint (46.9%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 21


Brampton (51.1%)


✅ Good Chance


Home


Win





Feb 22


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Could be close


Away


50/50





Feb 23


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Feb 28


Owen Sound (39.6%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 1


Niagara (41.7%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 2


Oshawa (63.5%)


⚠️ Slightly Favorable


Away


Win (Tight Game)





Mar 5


Brantford (63.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Away


50/50





Mar 7


Kingston (65.6%)


⚠️ Tight Game


Home


Win (Tough)





Mar 9


Sarnia (46.9%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 11


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 12


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Away


Win





Mar 14


Saginaw (55.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Home


Win (Tight)





Mar 16


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Toughest Game Left


Away


Loss





Mar 18


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Away


Loss





Mar 21


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Mar 23


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Close


Away


50/50
Why


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Fatigue comes from players like Cowan playing nearly a full 2 minutes every pp until he gets his point. They also spend alot of energy on trying to ensure Cowan gets a touch before they take a shot on net. They bypass opportunities and that has to wear them down with the extra focus on Cowan's potential point.
Totally agree. I was hoping his streak would be done by now. It is definitely distracting the team from playing the right way.
 
O'Reilly setup on Montgomery goal was my play of the game in Tuesdays battle. Powerplay looks brutal we have a better chance of scoring shorthanded. Nurmi has played better since world juniors. Halttunen has changed his game alot using his size to his advantage..more body contact. Not many times is your leading goal scorer 7th in team scoring.
 
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The Knights PP the last few weeks has been very consistent about using a PP1 and PP2 unit, Cowan has been on PP2 for the last little while. The only guy, who seems to be playing both units is Barkey.

Dale is making sure, all his guns get some PP time though.
I agree that this happens after Cowan gets his point. The last few games he has gotten it early so they do go to their regular rotation. In the games where he still needs the point he is out there more and more as the game wears until he gets it and his teammates want him to get it so they focus on that.
Not sure if this " streak" includes the playoffs but it is definitely a distraction you don't want them to have. Be safe.

Date


Opponent


Opponent Win %


London’s Chance to Win


Home/Away


Expected Outcome


Feb 7


Peterborough (34.4%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Feb 13


Barrie (68.4%)


⚠️ Tough Game


Away


50/50





Feb 14


Sault Ste. Marie (41.7%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 17


Flint (46.9%)


✅ High


Home


Win





Feb 21


Brampton (51.1%)


✅ Good Chance


Home


Win





Feb 22


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Could be close


Away


50/50





Feb 23


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Feb 28


Owen Sound (39.6%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 1


Niagara (41.7%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 2


Oshawa (63.5%)


⚠️ Slightly Favorable


Away


Win (Tight Game)





Mar 5


Brantford (63.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Away


50/50





Mar 7


Kingston (65.6%)


⚠️ Tight Game


Home


Win (Tough)





Mar 9


Sarnia (46.9%)


✅ High


Away


Win





Mar 11


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Home


Win





Mar 12


Guelph (37.2%)


✅ Very High


Away


Win





Mar 14


Saginaw (55.3%)


⚠️ Close Game


Home


Win (Tight)





Mar 16


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Toughest Game Left


Away


Loss





Mar 18


Kitchener (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Away


Loss





Mar 21


Windsor (74.0%)


❌ Tough Game


Home


Loss/Tight Game





Mar 23


Erie (55.3%)


⚠️ Close


Away


50/50
You can edit this content if you want to change the presentation.
 
I agree that this happens after Cowan gets his point. The last few games he has gotten it early so they do go to their regular rotation. In the games where he still needs the point he is out there more and more as the game wears until he gets it and his teammates want him to get it so they focus on that.
Not sure if this " streak" includes the playoffs but it is definitely a distraction you don't want them to have. Be safe.


You can edit this content if you want to change the presentation.
For sure, I did notice at one point last night, Cowan had almost a 3 minute shift. It was towards the end of the second and he hadn't got his point yet. It even looked like at one point, he went to change and then circled back into the play quick, not sure if they were trying to catch Kitchener with a lineup matchup or if it was just trying to get him a point.

The 65 game streak is just regular season games, he missed 1 or 2 playoff games last year without a point. At this point though, it is a helleuva accomplishment and it is a cool streak, but it doesn't mean anything and he doesn't have enough games left this season, to make it mean something as far as record books go.
As long as a rival doesn't get the satisfaction of ending it, I am fine with it ending. I agree, teammates seem to look for him more than they should, so it is a distraction.
 
For sure, I did notice at one point last night, Cowan had almost a 3 minute shift. It was towards the end of the second and he hadn't got his point yet. It even looked like at one point, he went to change and then circled back into the play quick, not sure if they were trying to catch Kitchener with a lineup matchup or if it was just trying to get him a point.

The 65 game streak is just regular season games, he missed 1 or 2 playoff games last year without a point. At this point though, it is a helleuva accomplishment and it is a cool streak, but it doesn't mean anything and he doesn't have enough games left this season, to make it mean something as far as record books go.
As long as a rival doesn't get the satisfaction of ending it, I am fine with it ending. I agree, teammates seem to look for him more than they should, so it is a distraction.
In the play you speak off, Cowan went to go off the ice but all of his teammates were yelling at him and motioning him to turn around as Kitchener was changing as well. They ended up catching them off guard with the quick pass up and because of this it led to another 35-45 seconds in the offensive zone. So ended up being the right play, if he had of changed the play would have been deemed offside. Heads up play by Cowan and the bench.
 
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In the play you speak off, Cowan went to go off the ice but all of his teammates were yelling at him and motioning him to turn around as Kitchener was changing as well. They ended up catching them off guard with the quick pass up and because of this it led to another 35-45 seconds in the offensive zone. So ended up being the right play, if he had of changed the play would have been deemed offside. Heads up play by Cowan and the bench.
Makes sense! The bench has their back to me, so I couldn't see all that happen. Thanks for clarifying!
 
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Makes sense! The bench has their back to me, so I couldn't see all that happen. Thanks for clarifying!
Now with that being said, what you and others speak of also looks very true. They seem to be trying to force him the puck instead of just playing there game which to me looks like hinders them a tad bit for sure. So I certainly agree with what you said as well!
 

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