Logan Cooley is on pace for 75 points

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One of my favorite college hockey players in recent years. Electric, and has a sneaky mean-streak. Excited to see what Utah looks like when Simashev, Iginla, But & Lamorouex are ready
 
The trouble is it’s a moot debate. In 2022 I was very happy with Slaf, in 2023 I was pissed and I believed we made a big mistake that we passed on Michkov. In both cases, it’s an academic debate because both Cooley (who’s never been my cup of tea) and Michkov are redundant with the addition of Laine and Demidov.
This is next level delusional
 
Cooley has been awesome this year, not too surprising to see him taking the next step. That said, he's running a bit hot and will likely cool off in the back half of the season. His playing style and skillset should lead to a higher on ice sh% (especially playing alongside guys like Guenther and Keller), but he's at 12.9% 5v5 and 15.9% in all situations - that should probably be closer to 10% and 12-13% respectively.

If he plays all 82 games, I'd expect him to finish around 65-70 points instead of the 75 that he's on pace for.

You'd know all about being delusional.
Here is the list of U21 centers with a higher PPG than Cooley since the lockout:

Crosby
McDavid
Malkin
Stamkos
Matthews
Hughes
Stutzle
Barzal
Pettersson
Kopitar
Eichel

That's pretty good company, especially when you consider the list of players he's ahead of:

Bergeron
Barkov
Bedard
Celebrini
Draisaitl
Tavares
Toews
Seguin
Backstrom
Seguin
Aho
Mackinnon
Duchene
Hischier
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Giroux
Thomas
Point
Suzuki

These lists are chockfull of future hall of fame centers and Stanley cup winners.

Cooley is tracking to be a top 10 center in his prime. Thinking that he'd be redundant in Montreal because of Suzuki or Demidov is hilariously delusional. Fun fact - he has more points in 46 games than Suzuki had in 71 games at the same age.
 
Cooley has been awesome this year, not too surprising to see him taking the next step. That said, he's running a bit hot and will likely cool off in the back half of the season. His playing style and skillset should lead to a higher on ice sh% (especially playing alongside guys like Guenther and Keller), but he's at 12.9% 5v5 and 15.9% in all situations - that should probably be closer to 10% and 12-13% respectively.

If he plays all 82 games, I'd expect him to finish around 65-70 points instead of the 75 that he's on pace for.


Here is the list of U21 centers with a higher PPG than Cooley since the lockout:

Crosby
McDavid
Malkin
Stamkos
Matthews
Hughes
Stutzle
Barzal
Pettersson
Kopitar
Eichel

That's pretty good company, especially when you consider the list of players he's ahead of:

Bergeron
Barkov
Bedard
Celebrini
Draisaitl
Tavares
Toews
Seguin
Backstrom
Seguin
Aho
Mackinnon
Duchene
Hischier
Getzlaf
O'Reilly
Giroux
Thomas
Point
Suzuki

These lists are chockfull of future hall of fame centers and Stanley cup winners.

Cooley is tracking to be a top 10 center in his prime. Thinking that he'd be redundant in Montreal because of Suzuki or Demidov is hilariously delusional. Fun fact - he has more points in 46 games than Suzuki had in 71 games at the same age.

I love how you randomly theorize with little to no substance in your analysis. Lines like "i expect" and "should lead to". Randomly stabbing in the dark.

The air of superiority....

Anyone with time, care to go through whiskey's 36k posts and list his hits and misses... To use a "Whiskey-ism", "I suspect" he's missed more than he has hit over time.
 
I love how you randomly theorize with little to no substance in your analysis. Lines like "i expect" and "should lead to". Randomly stabbing in the dark.

The air of superiority....

Anyone with time, care to go through whiskey's 36k posts and list his hits and misses... To use a "Whiskey-ism", "I suspect" he's missed more than he has hit over time.
If you understood statistical regression, you would understand why I expect Cooley's pace to slow.

It's the same sort of analysis that I used to make this prediction back in 2022, when he only had 1 goal in his first 30 games.

1737463839511.png
 
This is next level delusional
It really isn't next level delusional. Cooley has been the better player than Slaf this year. We can all acknowledge that. Progression in players do not follow a linear path and are not always predictable. What we have now, could be totally different 5 years from now.

Slaf is a completely different player than Cooley and fits into a team in a different role.

He's like what Daniil But will become for Utah....only a better version of that type of player. Value of certain types of players can be argued....and in most to all cases.....an elite player playing the role of Cooley is going to be more valuable than an elite power forward. But NOT in every case. In 5 years....we will see.

Teams are built with multiple different styles of players.

Power forwards, snipers, two way centres, puck moving d men, offensive d men, shut down d men. Habs are filling all of those roles.

Whiskey....you can celebrate now...and we really can't shut that shit down.....but be careful, crow is a very tough meat to digest.
 

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