Sorry, 10 mins was extra if walking, I didn't make that clear.
I don't care for Hurdman, I thought that was pretty clear. I think it's a subpar option among the worst case of plausible options, I just don't think Bayview adds much to Hurdman is all.
I mentioned the bus because you need the bus to get to the train especially for Hull (you know, the location I mentioned the bus for), I brought up Hull because you pointed to Bayview yards being close to Quebec, but the transit time is what matters. Bus is and always will be part of the equation, but really, it's a bus/train combo for all the numbers I mentioned.
The whole point of getting central is that you don't need to worry about established neighborhoods of people going to games, If you're in Little italy or Hintonberg, you're worst case 30 mins to any of the proposed locations, they'll get those people regardless of where they land and be 10-15 mins from the market by transit. The goal is to make it accessible for everyone.
The big factors are going to be what you can get by developing the location, and the ability to move people to and from. While Riverside isn't ideal now, it has room to expand to get people to the highway, I don't think that option is there for any of the other locations.
It's worth noting that Lebreton has one big advantage over Bayview, access to two stations, splitting ridership between them means you don't have 14k people all going to one station at the same time. Hurdman has this advantage too, with the Lees station a 5 min walk away if ehy put the arena equidistant from the two stations.