To Toronto — Phil kessel 50% retained 3.4mil
Jakob chychrun 4.6 mil
to yotes — package A justin holl. 2mil
Nick Ritchie 2.5 mil
Ridion amirov
2023 1 st round
Or package B. Nick Ritchie 2.5
Pierre engvall 1.250
Travis dermott 1.500
Mathew knies
2023 2nd round pick
third team involved to reduce both kessel and chychrun cap hits kessel by 50% dropping his salary to 1.7mil. And reduce chychrun by 1.8mil
To that team 3rd in 2023 &2nd round pick in 2024 and a (B-) level prospect.
So in package A salary out 4.5mil and salary in is 4.5mil
In package B salary out is 5.25 mil salary in is 4.5mil.
not saying this is something dubas would do but I do think it would be a basis of a deal that could work. Just curious what people think. And don’t get into the mud slinging BS. Constructive ideas and opinions are great love to hear them
It seems like you are either under estimating the value of Chychrun or over estimating the value of some of the pieces being offered to the Yotes.
First off let’s look at individual value of the pieces going to Toronto. I would say Kessel at the deadline is worth a 2nd. With max retention add a 3rd, so Kessler @50% = a 2nd and 3rd.
Chychrun is a 23 year old top pairing dman signed for 3.5 more seasons at a very good cap hit. I would think that his value is probably the equivalent to 2 x 1st and a top 3 organizational prospect (yes this is somewhat ambiguous because different organizations have different valued prospects).
Now if the Leafs want to send cap dumps or salary back to the yotes, they can, but those players aren’t value pieces to reduce the overall cost, they are accounting pieces so the Leafs can add better players. So the adds of Ritchie or Engvall are not part of the value going to the Yotes. If you want value for those those pieces it would be better to trade them separately and use those assets in the deal with Arizona.
Now think about the yotes needs - middle of a rebuild, new organizational decisions makers. The team is looking for high end picks and prospects. This starts with C and RHD prospects because they are the most difficult to find, and if your using a 23 year old top pairing D as an asset to help the rebuild you need to make sure elite type pieces are coming back. Toronto’s late first 2 drafts from now is definitely not an elite piece. Arizona has shown they will bring in players and eat some cap space but they want to be paid for those players. Look at the Ghost/Ladd/Stralman and to some extent the Eriksson/Roussel/Beagle deals. In all those trade the Coyotes were given assets to take on the additional cap space. In your deal you are asking the Coyotes to eat cap space and not offering any assets in return.
Finally the overall value is not there to entice the Yotes to make this trade. The 1st is nice, but it will be late and is 2 drafts away. Players like Ritchie, Holl, Engvall - are NHLers but not much more, as stated earlier they are a favour, not value to Arizona. Dermott might be of some interest, but he’s a very small piece in a Chychrun deal. The prospects you mentioned are decent, but aren’t enough to entice a team to move Chychrun level players. They are both wingers, which don’t carry the highest value and neither Knies or Amirov are sure enough prospects to make up for the lack of value in other parts of the deal.
So all in all I think the quality lacks and there would be better options out there than this deal.