Based on the Tavares contract he should just ask for max at the term of his choice. If they don't like it walk and get the deal from several other teams.He is such an unlikable player
3 year term at that AAV is disgusting.
It's the timing IMO. Look at their game 7 numbers for their playoff history. Look at how many goals Matthews, Marner, and Tavares scored against FLA? 1 total? 2? I don't remember. They could have won that series with production from their top 2 big guns when it mattered the most. The depth players were supporting them in the last series.Yeah, that projects out to 36 goals per 82 games. It's lower than his usual rate, but to call him a ghost in the playoffs is a narrative driven take.
Marner isn't a ghost either. He's got 47 points in 50 games, with excellent defensive metrics. Both of these guys defend very well, even though all people ever talk about are points, like that's all that contributes to wins.
I'd say Tavares is the biggest weak link in the playoffs since coming over actually. He's got 22 points in 31 games and is a -9. He was sorta ok in this playoffs, even though people will call him a god because of that lucky OT goal.
Toronto's problem is that they're overly reliant on their core to be perfect and to produce huge numbers. It's not that these guys are horrid playoff performers like people say. There's just no support system, partially because of how much these guys make. And the goalies have often been crap too.
Based on the Tavares contract he should just ask for max at the term of his choice. If they don't like it walk and get the deal from several other teams.
As long as they pay him way more than he is worth, and ask for no concessions on his end.The problem is he wants to stay in Toronto
The grass is always greener. But as long as his priority is seeing how much money he can possibly make on the open market, he'll continue to be rich without a chance of winning a Cup. In a hard cap world it's virtually impossible to win a Cup if you're maxed out paying 2-3 players outrageous salaries. Even McDavid and Draisaitl can't do it as a combo in Edmonton so far, and both are better than Matthews.Mathews as a matter of seeing what his value is should test FA and his options may be elsewhere. Lot of teams will bid for him and there are better situations than Toronto going forward.
As long as they pay him way more than he is worth, and ask for no concessions on his end.
Game 1's are equivalent to game 7's, much like how round 1 is of the same value as the Finals.It's the timing IMO. Look at their game 7 numbers for their playoff history. Look at how many goals Matthews, Marner, and Tavares scored against FLA? 1 total? 2? I don't remember. They could have won that series with production from their top 2 big guns when it mattered the most. The depth players were supporting them in the last series.
Players can purchase an insurance policy in the event of career-ending injury. I'm sure all elite ones do.I guess Mathews thinks he will never get injured seriously.
Their contract is insured sure, but it I’m not so sure insurance would pay a player without a contract, and if so how astronomical the premiums and deductible would be, given that insurers would only do this for a considerable profit. I also somewhat doubt a player would pay for such insurance. In Mathew’s case the premiums would be in the millions per year. Are you sure about this?Players can purchase an insurance policy in the event of career-ending injury. I'm sure all elite ones do.
The list of players in the league the last decade or so worth that kind of relative AAV is a short one IMO. Where their talents are so great they can win you playoff series. Matthews is a superstar but the Leafs aren't advancing and it's clear they can't plug the holes on that roster from lack of cap space.I've seen these arguments against Matthews quite frequently, but I honestly don't think they land.
$13.5M is only $900k more than Mackinnon AAV, and Mackinnon took a massive discount on his UFA price. Haggling over a million here or there with a player in the Matthews tier is missing the forest for the trees. You can save a million elsewhere pretty easily (e.g. don't sign Reaves). Even if it is an overpayment (I disagree), I'd rather overpay to keep an elite player than overpay Klingberg by $2M or something.
Also I don't think the Leafs should even want to sign Matthews long-term. 8 years? For a guy who's already had repeated/chronic injuries that are debilitating his biggest strength? It could turn out horribly.
As above, I think Matthews' profit maximization here is actually better for the Leafs too (in the short-term). I don't think the Leafs should want to go for a long-term deal.
I'm surprised Matthews is (reportedly) pursuing this route. If he gets a significant injury on his next deal, this plan goes up in smoke.
If i got this right, Matthews will be an unrestricted free agent one year after McDavid.
I guess Mathews thinks he will never get injured seriously.
if he gets to ufa hes a goner, imo.McKinnon's cap was 15.22% [12.6M]. Same percentage for the cap as predicted for 24-25 would be 13.45M with an 87.7M cap. This better not be a 3 year deal. Only way this makes sense is if the cap is expected to jump massively and this is a 5 year deal imo.
This is one of the most level-headed and honest posts I've read about the situation. You are exactly right. If the Leafs won a Cup -- let alone two -- I wouldn't care if Matthews and Marner were paid so much money that we couldn't ice a full team. But paying these guys like they're McDavid and Draisaitl has been a losing recipe for years. It doesn't work because these kids aren't great enough to carry the Leafs on their shoulders. They need better quality help which costs money. And the only way to free up that money is if the stars all take less. Matthews acts like he's Gretzky or Lemieux negotiating these deals, it's ridiculous.The list of players in the league the last decade or so worth that kind of relative AAV is a short one IMO. Where their talents are so great they can win you playoff series. Matthews is a superstar but the Leafs aren't advancing and it's clear they can't plug the holes on that roster from lack of cap space.
For that AAV to be justified Matthews has to be the best player in the world. Hey maybe he was injured last year and that took him down a peg this season. Could be true. For that AAV you'd hope he recovers and returns back to his Hart-level play.
Marner will surely look to Matthew's contract as a guidepost. That'll be terrible cap value for the Leafs going forward. Toews and Kane got their raises because they had already won their Cups and were chasing a 3rd. They both won a Smythe too. Regardless of the Hawks never winning even a playoff series again with those $10.5m AAV's, what have Matthews and Marner done to warrant an even fattier contract on top of the one they're already not winning Cups with?
Easy for me to say as a non-Leaf fan but...trade em. Trade em both. Keep Nylander and Tavares. Get great value back and build from that. 16 and 34 wanna get paaaaiiid.