Any deal with Tampa is going to be super complicated. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if they wanted Karlsson the most out of all suitors, but it won’t be easy.
1. They have to include Sergachev. It’s a no-go any other way. Dorion has, apparently, already turned down a deal including Theodore. He’s not accepting a deal without Sergachev. Tampa wasn’t willing to do it at the deadline, but things have changed. They didn’t make the finals. Toronto signed Tavares. Yzerman might be reconsidering.
2. They don’t have a 2019 1st. Dorion has been adamant about needing a 1st next year back in any trade, because he gave away his own. A 2020 1st won’t fly, IMO. Tampa needs to go out and get a pick they can flip back to Ottawa.
3. Tampa needs to send back salary, and all of their potential dumps (Coburn, Girardi, Callahan) have NTC and won’t waive for Ottawa, nor would the useful players that they might be willing to move (Johnson, Stralman). They could always trade Miller, but that doesn’t seem like a Yzerman type of move after he just signed him.
So…
Can Tampa flip Johnson somewhere for a 1st and then put together an offer of Sergachev + prospect (Raddysh, Cirelli, Katchouk, Foote) + 1st? We’ll see.