outsiders look at KK's counting stats and undervalue him
good to to see this shout-out at TheAthletic
The NHL’s 10 best breakout candidates for 2021-22
The NHL’s 10 best breakout candidates for 2021-22 By Harman Dayal
Kaapo Kakko, RW, New York Rangers
Speaking of substantial top-six losses that create opportunity, Pavel Buchnevich’s trade to the St. Louis Blues should open doors for Kaapo Kakko on the right-wing. That could be perfect timing for the 2019 No.2 pick on the heels of a
sophomore season that displayed more promise.
"Kakko’s counting stats may look nearly identical to his rookie campaign but
the difference in his play beneath the hood is night and day. As a rookie, the big Finnish forward profiled as one of the NHL’s worst two-way forwards. Kakko’s line was seemingly always chasing the puck in their own end, which led to them getting outscored by an ugly 40-16 margin at five-on-five.
This season, his five-on-five shot attempt and expected goal differentials led all Rangers skaters.
Kaapo Kakko's 5v5 Stats
SEASON |
CF% |
XGF% |
GF |
GA |
Sophomore |
54.20% |
55.80% |
24 |
19 |
Rookie |
43.60% |
39.00% |
16 |
40 |
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It can’t be overstated how dramatic Kakko’s two-way progress was. The improvement, unfortunately, didn’t translate in terms of individual points but it did carry over on the scoresheet where
New York outscored opponents by five goals with him on the ice. That’s a far cry from being 24 goals in the red like he was in year one.
Part of the reason Kakko didn’t breakout offensively was that the team shot just 7.3 percent when he was on the ice at five-on-five.
Heading into this season, the 20-year-old could get a crack as the third wheel on a line with Artemi Panarin and Ryan Strome. The trio dominated possession and outscored opponents 9-6 during their minutes together so it’s a combination worth experimenting with again.
The process of
Kakko’s game improved tremendously last season. With better finishing and a potentially substantial boost in linemate quality, that hard work should show up more prominently in the boxcar stats.