Interesting. Of course a good percentage of player who fit this criteria are 2 years or less from UFA when they file for arbitratior
It is interesting data, but would actually need to see the control set etc, to really see if that number is concerning
How does that % change when you look at the contract award value? Like if you looked at the players who signed under or over $3M/yr, is there a difference?
Looks like I missed 3 more players
! Added more details below with sources. New percentage (I may have missed some) is 54% (13/24).
At
@Bruins4Lifer if we look strictly at those who were awarded more than $3M by an arbitrator or by reaching a deal beforehand (this changed in the CBA in recent years), and ended up playing no more than 2 seasons with the team they signed with, that percentage is 50% (5/10). Again, I may have missed one or two since it's late in the night, early morning, but all of the numbers are below.
2013 - all 21 players who filed reached deals beforehand.
2014 - P.K. Subban signs an 8x9M contract after the arbitration case was heard but before the ruling came down. He was traded to Nashville in 2016.
2015 -
Lance Bouma (Calgary)
2014-15 salary: $775,000
Arbitration date: July 22
Post-arbitration settlement: 3 years, $6.6 million. He was traded during the last year of his contract to Chicago.
Erik Haula (Minnesota)
2014-15 salary: $900,000
Arbitration date: July 31
Post-arbitration settlement: Two years, $2 million. Was a RFA and left exposed in the expansion draft, Vegas claims him.
Craig Smith (Nashville)
2014-15 salary: $2 million
Arbitration date: July 20
Settlement: Five years, $21.25 million. Signs with Boston in 2020
Alex Chiasson (Ottawa)
2014-15 salary: $900,000
Arbitration date: July 23
Arbitration ruling: One year, $1.2 million. Traded to Calgary the year later as a RFA.
Mike Hoffman (Ottawa)
2014-15 salary: $750,000
Arbitration date: July 30
Arbitration ruling: One year, $2 million. Hoffman became a restricted free agent at the end of the 2015-2016 season. On July 27, 2016, he re-signed with the Senators to a four-year, $20.75M deal. Traded to Florida in 2018.
Braden Holtby (Washington)
2014-15 salary: $2 million
Arbitration date: July 23
Post-hearing settlement: 5 years, $30.5 million. Ends up an UFA in 2020 and signs with Vancouver.
Marcus Johansson (Washington)
2014-15 salary: $2.175 million
Arbitration date: July 29
Arbitration ruling: 1 year, $3.75 million. Signs a 3-year $13.75M as a RFA with Washington and then gets traded to New Jersey in 2017.
2016 -
Tyson Barrie (Colorado)
2015-16 salary: $3.2 million
Post-arbitration settlement: The Avalanche signed Barrie to a four-year, $22-million deal. The sides did go through a hearing but reached a longer-term deal instead of waiting on the arbitrator’s ruling. Gets traded to Toronto in 2019 on the last year of his deal.
2017 -
Nate Schmidt (Vegas)
2016-17 salary: $875,000
Arbitration ruling: Two years at $2.25 million. Extends in 2019 for a six-year, $35.8 million extension. Gets traded to Vancouver in 2020.
2018 -
Brett Kulak (Calgary)
2017-18 salary: $650,000
Arbitration award: Following his July 23 hearing, Kulak was awarded a $900,000 salary for 2018-19. Traded to Montreal on October 1st of that year.
Gemel Smith (Dallas)
2017-18 salary: $650,000
Arbitration award: Smith was awarded a one-year, one-way deal worth $720,000. Traded to Boston later that year.
Cody Ceci (Ottawa)
2017-18 salary: $2.8 million
Arbitration award: The arbitrator awarded Ceci a $4.3-million salary for the upcoming season. Traded to Toronto as a RFA the next season.
Jacob Trouba (Winnipeg)
2017-18 salary: $2.812 million
Arbitration award: The arbitrator awarded Trouba a one-year, $5.5 contract on July 22. Traded to the Rangers in 2019 as a RFA.
2019 - Two sources used,
here and
here
Linus Ullmark (Buffalo)
2018-19 salary: $750,000
Post-arbitration settlement: Sabres and Ullmark went to arbitration on Aug. 2, but agreed to a one-year, $1.325 million contract before the arbitrator made a ruling. He signs with the Bruins as a UFA in 2021.
MacKenzie Weegar (Florida)
2018-19 salary: $900,000
Arbitration award: Weegar was awarded a one-year contract in arbitration on July 25 for 1 year $1.6M. He would get traded to Calgary in the Tkachuk deal in 2022.
Rocco Grimaldi (Nashville)
2018-19 salary: $650,000
Arbitration award: One year, $1 million. Stays with Nashville.
Joel Edmundson (St. Louis)
2018-19 salary: $3,000,000
Arbitration award: One year, $3.1 million. Traded to Carolina right after signing.
Christian Djoos (Washington)
2018-19 salary: $1,300,000
Arbitration award: One-year, $1.25 million. Traded to Anaheim mid-season.
2020 -
Tyler Bertuzzi (Detroit)
2019-20 salary: $2,800,000
Arbitration Status: Arbitrator awards Bertuzzi $3.5M. Bertuzzi spends 2.5 seasons with Detroit before being traded to Boston at the 2022 trade deadline.
2021 - no hearings
2022 -
Yakov Trenin (Nashville)
2021-22 Salary: $1.45M
Arbitration award: 2 years, $1.7MM AAV. Traded to Colorado at the 2023 trade deadline.
2023 -
Jeremy Swayman (Boston)
2022-23 Salary: 3 years, $1,050,000 AAV
Arbitration result: 1 year, $3.475 million
Philipp Kurashev (Chicago)
2022-23 Salary: 1 year, $750,000 AAV
Arbitration result: 2 years, $2.25 million AAV
Ilya Samsonov (Toronto)
Toronto Maple Leafs
2022-23 Salary: 1 year, $1,800,000 AAV
Arbitration result: 1 year, $3.55 million. Toronto let him walk.