Why would we be cashing out on Newhook for value? The value is the player, at his age, his ability, and contract now.
Correct. But not to us. To a contender.
To us its irrelevant if he's making 2.9 or 7 million. We have nowhere to spend it on, and aren't going anywhere until Anderson and Gallagher are off the books. Which is why I also don't care if we retain for 2-3 years to get what we want. Colorado, for example, had no issues retaining 50% on Barrie to get Kadri. In a previous post, I made the example of Necas vs Newhook at 50% to Carolina if it means they can re-sign Guentzel, while we get the better player in return.
In 3 years Newhook likely becomes just another middle-six forward in a sea of middle-six forwards asking for 6 million a year. His peak value is the next three years, which is exactly when we benefit from him and his low cap hit the least. Prop up his value like Monahan with first unit PP time and offensive minutes, then cash out at the right time for a top 6 upgrade.
And no, I'm not prepared to give that to him, but it doesn't mean at all that we would need to retain on him now or later to move him. His current contract has value and does not require retention to move should we want to do it.
Sure, but if it's a difference maker I'd do it. I'd love to get something around Wallstedt+ before he breaks out in the NHL for example, but Minnesota is still strapped with Parise and Suter buyouts. Matheson at 2.4 vs 4.8 could be the difference in a deal being able to be completed or not, and again I don't mind retaining in the next couple of years while we wait for the dead weight to clear.
The cap is rising next year with a steep upward projection for the next few years, retention slots and current value contracts will not be a hindrance for actual valuable players that can help contending teams.
Teams will spend to the cap regardless. All it means is some bad contracts will be handed out July 1, but we'll be right back in this position at next year's TDL where we'll still be stuck with Allen and Petry each eating up a slot, and teams needing retention to make a deal happen. Among others, if Anderson has a hot start next year, I want the ability to ship him off at 50% for something relevant.