Jacob Trouba

Warhead77

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Noel would be stupid not to, baring some sort of ridiculous - darn near unprecidented - breakout from JT.

A top prospect like Trouba, IMO, needs the icetime to move up the ladder.

Giving that to an injury prone "over passer" like Enstrom would not be beneficial to this team.
 

truck

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A top prospect like Trouba, IMO, needs the icetime to move up the ladder.

Giving that to an injury prone "over passer" like Enstrom would not be beneficial to this team.
Giving that to a top pairing LHD and former Allstar like Enstrom would be beneficial to this team.

They aren't competing for the same ice time. Not this year anyways if they ever do.
 

Joe Hallenback

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I would say the Jets are in trouble if Trouba plays top minutes and I like Trouba a lot. He needs sheltered bottom 6 minutes with some 2nd unit PP time.

No need to rush him into something he isn't ready for.
 

DEANYOUNGBLOOD17

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May 10, 2011
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A top prospect like Trouba, IMO, needs the icetime to move up the ladder.

Giving that to an injury prone "over passer" like Enstrom would not be beneficial to this team.

Enstrom plays the Left side ......Trouba the Right........

The right side Depth is Big Buff ......then Bogo.....

Trouba will have to beat out ..... The Postman and Redmond for the 3rd pairing D-man spot oppositte Stuart.

Not an easy task as both of them have been scrapping for that position for the past 2 years.....and both of them have proven themselves as AHL all stars.

If the Postman loses out to either.......... he will be kept around as our 7 th d-man........either Redmond or Trouba will be sent to the AHL.......

If Trouba plays less than 10 NHL games this year ......his ELC slides and his 3 year ELC contract does not begin until next year......

Redmond still has one year left until he is exposed to waivers.....so it is easy to send him to the Rock this year.......

AS of now .....I see it as Trouba vs Redmond for the 3 rd pairing right D-man with STuart.... the loser spending time on the Rock......... the Postman all but guaranteed the 7 th spot..........
 

winterpeg

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Where did this Noel ruins young players come from?
Because one young player didn't listen to him?

It's more than just Burmistrov (whom, I thought, by the way, Noel managed poorly) I haven't been able to make sense of Noel giving #55 a look as a 4th line player either, and never letting him play where he, as a playmaking center, is meant to actually play. So I worry that with players who are young, and talented, but not so talented as to be head and shoulders better than all the veterans, that Noel will repeat this pattern.

Kane and Bogo were already well established players with star/superstar potential when they arrived. They were too good for Noel not to play. You can't really defend Noel on that note. Kane scored 30 goals in Noels first year, if a coach isn't playing a guy with talent like that, he doesn't GET a second year. It's hardly a defense of Noel that he played Bogo and Kane that year. It really just means he has a pulse.
 

Bob E

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Aug 20, 2011
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Enstrom plays the Left side ......Trouba the Right........

The right side Depth is Big Buff ......then Bogo.....

Trouba will have to beat out ..... The Postman and Redmond for the 3rd pairing D-man spot oppositte Stuart.

Not an easy task as both of them have been scrapping for that position for the past 2 years.....and both of them have proven themselves as AHL all stars.

If the Postman loses out to either.......... he will be kept around as our 7 th d-man........either Redmond or Trouba will be sent to the AHL.......

If Trouba plays less than 10 NHL games this year ......his ELC slides and his 3 year ELC contract does not begin until next year......

Redmond still has one year left until he is exposed to waivers.....so it is easy to send him to the Rock this year.......

AS of now .....I see it as Trouba vs Redmond for the 3 rd pairing right D-man with STuart.... the loser spending time on the Rock......... the Postman all but guaranteed the 7 th spot..........

Though it may look appealing to have his ELC slide for 1 yr (as a 19 yr old playing less than 10 gms), I truly believe he'll be better defensively than either Postma or Redmond. That should elevate JT into the top 6, bottom pairing. Redmond, imo, is the guy that starts the year in the AHL. Let him recover fully from his injury, by playing several games in the AHL, without trouble. If JT struggles, he's an obvious call-up if playing well in the A.
 

Bob E

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I would say the Jets are in trouble if Trouba plays top minutes and I like Trouba a lot. He needs sheltered bottom 6 minutes with some 2nd unit PP time.

No need to rush him into something he isn't ready for.

Agree, Joe.

He's likely a year or two (maybe more) away from top minutes. No need to put him in that position right now.

If he can play top minutes effectively by the end of year 2, that is a HUGE bonus for this franchise, imo.
 

King Woodballs

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Sep 25, 2007
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Even if Trouba has a ton of potential and makes the big team this season, Noel no doubt will find a way to give Enstrom more ice time than Trouba.

If enstrom is playing better then Trouba why not?

Your play should be the dictator in how much ice time you get.

The NHL isnt a developmental league. That is what the CHL, AHL ECHL etc etc are.
 

King Woodballs

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It's more than just Burmistrov (whom, I thought, by the way, Noel managed poorly) I haven't been able to make sense of Noel giving #55 a look as a 4th line player either, and never letting him play where he, as a playmaking center, is meant to actually play. So I worry that with players who are young, and talented, but not so talented as to be head and shoulders better than all the veterans, that Noel will repeat this pattern.

Kane and Bogo were already well established players with star/superstar potential when they arrived. They were too good for Noel not to play. You can't really defend Noel on that note. Kane scored 30 goals in Noels first year, if a coach isn't playing a guy with talent like that, he doesn't GET a second year. It's hardly a defense of Noel that he played Bogo and Kane that year. It really just means he has a pulse.

what?

Bogo was nearly run out of Atlanta before the team left for his poor play.
Ask any of the Thrasher fans that still hang out around here.

He has had a great turn around under this coaching staff. Granted allot has to do with Charlie Huddy, but still.
 

VictoriaJetsFan

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I don't understand these attempts to make up a defensive depth chart by either rushing Trouba or putting right handed shots on the left side. The logical thing to do is let Trouba play max minutes in the AHL, see if Buff really is in shape, and if Redmond or Postma can emerge as regular NHL'ers.

IF most of the above happens, someone gets traded for a left handed defenceman. That's if Kulda has not grabbed a spot.

Other than Trouba and Bogo, one of those right handed defenceman will be moved at the deadline or close to it.
 

Flair Hay

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I'm not against Trouba starting the year out in the AHL if he can't beat out Redmond and Postma. But I think that's highly unlikely. The guy is being heralded as a potential franchise defenseman. At the end of the day, Redmond and Postma are in the JAG category, and Trouba isn't.

My feeling is that Trouba is already a better player than either of them. He just hasn't had the chance to prove it yet.
 

ps241

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Looking at a few of the other threads, there seems to be this perception that our defense corps has regressed from last season. This might be a fair characterization on paper, as the Jets have lost Ron Hainsey (no matter what you think of him, he's at the very least a decent bottom-pairing guy) and have gained Adam Pardy (who is typically described as an ok #7 guy, nothing more).

My question is this - what about Jacob Trouba? Should we completely dismiss his chances of bolstering the top 4? Or does he have a fighting chance of replacing Ron Hainsey's minutes?

I decided to do a little study. For the sample, I took all defensemen drafted since 2006 that made their NHL debut in the second season after being drafted, just like Jacob Trouba will. I then used their TOI/60 ranking (courtesy of behindthenet.ca) on their respective teams in that season to get a rough estimation of their usage. Note that players who made their debut in these circumstances and were subsequently sent back to junior (eg. Alex Pietrangelo) were also omitted, as this won't be Trouba's fate.

"FIRST PAIRING" USAGE
2008 (#12) - Tyler Myers - 82 GP - #1 TOI/60
2011 (#10) - Jonas Brodin - 77* GP - #2 TOI/60

"SECOND PAIRING" USAGE
2006 (#1) - Erik Johnson - 69 GP - #4 TOI/60
2007 (#5) - Karl Alzner - 30 GP - #3 TOI/60
2009 (#14) - Dmitri Kulikov - 72 GP - #3 TOI/60

"THIRD PAIRING" USAGE
2008 (#20) - Michael Del Zotto - 80 GP - #5 TOI/60
2008 (#15) - Erik Karlsson - 60 GP - #5 TOI/60
2009 (#16) - Nick Leddy - 46 GP - #6 TOI/60
2010 (#3) - Erik Gudbrandson - 72 GP - #6 TOI/60
2011 (#9) - Dougie Hamilton - 72* GP - #5 TOI/60

"SHIELDED THIRD PAIRING" USAGE
2007 (#27) - John Carlson - 22 GP - #8 TOI/60
2009 (#6) - Oliver Ekman-Larsson - 48 GP - #8 TOI/60

PRIMARILY IN AHL
2011 (#14) - Jamie Oleksiak
2011 (#16) - Nathan Beaulieu

*GP is pro-rated for an 82 game schedule

I realize this is a pretty small sample size, and doesn't really make a convincing case one way or the other. I just wanted to do the research myself, and see what we could realistically expect from Trouba based on past precedent.

So what do you think? Any chance Trouba could surprise us and be a first-pairing stud like Myers and Brodin were?

Just wanted to repost the OP

There are some amazing D men that played 3rd pairing and even shielded 3rd pairing......Pietrangelo played 1 year of juniors then they tried him in the NHL and AHL before he finished up his 2nd year sfter his draft in Barrie of the OHL....that seemed to work out swimmingly.

I don't want them to hold back Jacob but I don't think we need to rush things this season either.......long year and over 82 games I believe he will get to test his skills in the NHL at some point. if he kicks the door down great but at this point it is away more about his development than it is about how much he can help us today.
 
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Jetsman

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May 11, 2013
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This guy is going to be special but right now he needs the shielded 3rd pairing minutes to start.

I look back at Dave Ellett cracking the Jets 1.0 squad and playing with a telented veteran (Babych) who shepherded him through the transition from US college to NHL start the season and I see the exact same thing happening here. I don't see the Jets trading Buff or Enstrom until Morrissey makes the team in a few years and that will be when big Jake takes over on the top pairing. Trouba has at least the same 10-15 goals a year offensive upside as Ellett did but with more of a bloodthirst for the big hit than Ellett ever did.

Also, didn't Trouba play the left point paired with Seth Jones last WJHC and outplay him while playing the off point?

Good times await with this kid my friends...
 

garret9

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This guy is going to be special but right now he needs the shielded 3rd pairing minutes to start.

I look back at Dave Ellett cracking the Jets 1.0 squad and playing with a telented veteran (Babych) who shepherded him through the transition from US college to NHL start the season and I see the exact same thing happening here. I don't see the Jets trading Buff or Enstrom until Morrissey makes the team in a few years and that will be when big Jake takes over on the top pairing. Trouba has at least the same 10-15 goals a year offensive upside as Ellett did but with more of a bloodthirst for the big hit than Ellett ever did.

Also, didn't Trouba play the left point paired with Seth Jones last WJHC and outplay him while playing the off point?

Good times await with this kid my friends...

Trouba and Jones weren't ever intentionally paired together in WJ.
Sometimes with awkward line changes they were on the ice together, but:

Jones was almost always paired with McCabe
Trouba was almost always paired with Sieloff (in playoff rounds) or Gotsibehere (in preliminary rounds)
 

Positive

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what?

Bogo was nearly run out of Atlanta before the team left for his poor play.
Ask any of the Thrasher fans that still hang out around here.

He has had a great turn around under this coaching staff. Granted allot has to do with Charlie Huddy, but still.

Oh yeah, coming off a -27 year. And then the arbitration. Hard to say he came into the organization as a favorite son.

Burmistrov and a single incident of Noel yelling at Scheifele, are the sole pieces of evidence that Noel somehow has a thing against young players. To me that's not enough.

He spent 17 or so years coaching in the ECHL and AHL, where the players are younger than the average NHL player, seeing a lot of developmental players go through the system. Given his hate for the youngun's, that must have been torture for him...:sarcasm:
 

Positive

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It's more than just Burmistrov (whom, I thought, by the way, Noel managed poorly) I haven't been able to make sense of Noel giving #55 a look as a 4th line player either, and never letting him play where he, as a playmaking center, is meant to actually play. So I worry that with players who are young, and talented, but not so talented as to be head and shoulders better than all the veterans, that Noel will repeat this pattern.

It's easy to make sense of. He had to be demonstrably better than most of our other centers. Including young, talented former #12 pick Bryan Little. And young, talented, former #8 pick Burmistrov. And veteran, 50-60 pt man, #10 overall pick Antropov. And Wellwood. And Slater.

He either has to be demonstrably better, or his upside has to be perceived to be so high (like a generational talent, or a top 3 pick) in order to supplant them on the upper lines. He wasn't, and he isn't. Unless we somehow lucked out, and every other GM overlooked Scheifele, and he should have been a top 2 guy or something?

We are a little too high on Scheifele, IMHO...automatically assuming that he'll be better than the players we already ice. There is a distinct possibility that he may never even reach the levels that Little or Antropov already have. That is, 50-60 pts.
 

JetsHomer

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Nov 29, 2011
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It's easy to make sense of. He had to be demonstrably better than most of our other centers. Including young, talented former #12 pick Bryan Little. And young, talented, former #8 pick Burmistrov. And veteran, 50-60 pt man, #10 overall pick Antropov. And Wellwood. And Slater.

He either has to be demonstrably better, or his upside has to be perceived to be so high (like a generational talent, or a top 3 pick) in order to supplant them on the upper lines. He wasn't, and he isn't. Unless we somehow lucked out, and every other GM overlooked Scheifele, and he should have been a top 2 guy or something?

We are a little too high on Scheifele, IMHO...automatically assuming that he'll be better than the players we already ice. There is a distinct possibility that he may never even reach the levels that Little or Antropov already have. That is, 50-60 pts.
You never really know with prospects, but when I watch Scheifele play I see a very smart player with every tool to be a top 6 center in the NHL. He might not make, but I personally really think he will. His playmaking and skill in tight make him on paper an ideal partner for Kane, and I've always noticed Scheifele is really great at feeding his wingers breakaway passes. He could take awhile but I believe there is a solid chance that he could kick the door in this season and post something like .5 ppg, which would probably land him top 6 in team scoring.

Scheifele and Camara were really good in Barrie and Camara plays a similar style to Kane. I think Scheifele will need a big physical winge cause as much as I hate to admit it but for a big center he's quite a soft player.
 

Duke749

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Are people forgetting Kane was benched in his first game in Winnipeg???

Noel is clearly hard on young players.

Redmond seemed to be one of the only ones who came in and was trusted early on(to be fair he was like 23-24).
 

Positive

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Are people forgetting Kane was benched in his first game in Winnipeg???

Noel is clearly hard on young players.

Redmond seemed to be one of the only ones who came in and was trusted early on(to be fair he was like 23-24).

Well, I prefer to go with a simpler answer. I'm not going to try to develop some sort of psychological profile of Noel. Not going to make any assumptions about any emotional bias he might have about players of certain ages or whatnot. Rather than make a dramatic, sweeping, generalization of his character, I'll go with the simplest answer:

He benches guys who are playing like dumbasses. Just like any other coach. That's the simplest answer. It's not because he has something against young guys. It's just coincidence that these dumbasses also happened to be the young guys.

And it's not even if you aren't producing; it seems that it's fine if you aren't producing, as long as you are trying to play within the system (Jokinen). But if you're going to be unruly, unrepentant, or a dumbass, you're going to get a yelling at and riding the pine. As long as the effort is perceived, you're fine. As long as you make adjustments (Kane, Bogo) you're fine.

I really don't think it's fair to make this character assumption of him based on interactions with two players, when he's had successful interactions with others of a similar age. But now it seems it has 'stuck' with this community, and it's now 'fact' that Noel has an issue with young players. Fact. :help:

On the Redmond thing...Claude Noel is in his late 50's. Everyone seems young to him. I'm in my 40's, and a 23 year old is not really different from a 21 year old to me. I would think Noel would feel similarly.
 
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truck

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Well, I prefer to go with a simpler answer. I'm not going to try to develop some sort of psychological profile of Noel. Not going to make any assumptions about any emotional bias he might have about players of certain ages or whatnot. Rather than make a dramatic, sweeping, generalization of his character, I'll go with the simplest answer:

He benches guys who are playing like dumbasses. Just like any other coach. That's the simplest answer. It's not because he has something against young guys. It's just coincidence that these dumbasses also happened to be the young guys.

And it's not even if you aren't producing; it seems that it's fine if you aren't producing, as long as you are trying to play within the system (Jokinen). But if you're going to be unruly, unrepentant, or a dumbass, you're going to get a yelling at and riding the pine. As long as the effort is perceived, you're fine. As long as you make adjustments (Kane, Bogo) you're fine.

I really don't think it's fair to make this character assumption of him based on interactions with two players, when he's had successful interactions with others of a similar age. But now it seems it has 'stuck' with this community, and it's now 'fact' that Noel has an issue with young players. Fact. :help:

On the Redmond thing...Claude Noel is in his late 50's. Everyone seems young to him. I'm in my 40's, and a 23 year old is not really different from a 21 year old to me. I would think Noel would feel similarly.
Noel has also talked about making young players earn everything and about being hard on them. He has also talked about the pluses of the Nashville model of development.

...but he isn't in the AHL anymore and his role in development is different.

Not saying this as a plus or minus to anything, just saying he has said it. Hopefully he looks at things player by player.
 

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You never really know with prospects, but when I watch Scheifele play I see a very smart player with every tool to be a top 6 center in the NHL. He might not make, but I personally really think he will. His playmaking and skill in tight make him on paper an ideal partner for Kane, and I've always noticed Scheifele is really great at feeding his wingers breakaway passes. He could take awhile but I believe there is a solid chance that he could kick the door in this season and post something like .5 ppg, which would probably land him top 6 in team scoring.

Scheifele and Camara were really good in Barrie and Camara plays a similar style to Kane. I think Scheifele will need a big physical winge cause as much as I hate to admit it but for a big center he's quite a soft player.

Oh yeah, it's tough to say. And for sure he has potential. But I guess my point is that you don't supplant your top centers, for someone who might be a top center. Granted our top centers aren't exactly Crosby and Malkin. But someone else here said that the NHL shouldn't be a developmental league, and I agree with that person.

Your immediate goal IMHO, should be to win games, one at a time. There are times when you can afford to experiment a little bit, but as a bubble team those opportunities are rare, and generally you only do so when forced. Especially when you're a young bubble team like the Jets are, that is seemingly on the slow rise. Mind you, if we were an 'old' bubble team, I'd be more open to throwing Scheifele up there on the top lines. And given that the delicacies of Scheifele's contract meant that we'd either have to commit to him or send him back down, I think we made the right decision....not to rush.
 

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