There are reasons to expect that NYI will be better than last year.
You could argue that the only guys who met expectations on the roster were Sorokin, Nelson, Dobson, Wahlstrom, and Pelech (Pulock missed too much time and wasn't as good as he can be).
Romanov will help on the back-end - their D is probably as good as it's been in a while, and their goaltending is rock solid.
But their forward group is essentially the exact same. Sure, COVID hurt them a lot, but a team that has Beauvillier & Bailey in their top 6, Parise and Wahlstrom in their top 9, and no consistent 60+ point threat outside of Barzal.... well, I still have serious doubts about their ability to be a truly dangerous offensive team.
I absolutely think they could make the playoffs, and even make noise in the playoffs... but I don't think they have what it takes to win.