Horse Racing: I. Ortiz/B. Cox/Godolphin/Into Mischief top 2023; J. Rodriguez/B. Russell win Laurel titles on final day; L. Rice sets NYRA record for wins in a year

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Thursday, November 2, 2023

Aqueduct (New York):

• Opening Day: The meet expires December 31 but racing will continue at Aqueduct until Saratoga opens in July 2024.
• Repeat Winners: Luis Rivera, Jr. and Jose Gomez both won twice. Most of New York's big-name riders are in Santa Anita. If Rivera makes headlines as he did today, he could be a finalist for Apprentice of the Year.
• Race 9: Bertrille (Luis Rivera, Jr./Bruce Brown) stunned at 100-to-1 in an 11-horse finale. The winner paid $202.50. The $1 exacta $588.50. The $1 Pick 3 $13,000. The $1 double $1,300. Young sire Vino Rosso, who won the 2019 Breeders' Cup Classic, finished 1-2.

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• Eric Cancel rode three times. Entering today, he had just two mounts, since suffering a broken foot and more in mid-July.

Laurel (Maryland):

• Sheldon-Russell-Brittany Russell teamed twice and both horses were victorious. The expected ritual of Bittany holding her child every time in the winner's circle and usually to await victorious Sheldon is precious. I don't know how many trainers make that effort but the Russell visual is Rockwellain.
  • Race 6: Murray won by more than four lengths. Brittany seems to have a plan with the horse, once under the attention of Bob Baffert in California, with a start each of the past three months in allowance races. The $2 exacta was over $128....with a 2-to-1 on top. A bomber placed at 25-to-1.

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• Race 8: Binnie was sent off the favorite and won by two lengths in a debut. From last to first.

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Churchill (Kentucky):

• Race 7: Mink's Palace (Luis Saez/Eddie Kenneally) won the $120,000 MSW at 9-to-1inna debut outing
• Tyler Gaffalione had another winner today and now leads the young meet with seven victories. Churchill runs into November 26 and then will be dark until Kentucky Derby week.

Santa Anita (California):

• Antonio Fresu won with his first three rides.
• Race 9: Diamonds Danzing (Mike Smith/Lorenzo Campuzano) gave the trainer his 63rd lifetime win. I don't know much of him but he had Smith ride his horse and that says something.

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[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Here we are: the most important racing weekend of the year. Good luck to all handicappers but also positive thoughts to all horses and riders.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

83 and sunny forecasted for the area around Santa Anita today.

 

[PROUD PAPA]

Looked things over last night and here are my rather questionable conclusions.

Race # followed by top picks
5. 4-7-1
6. 7-12-1
7. 3-9-7
8. 10-4-8
9. 9-14-3

Wish me luck, i'm gonna need it.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

My favorite betting angle comes to life again: a lone first-time starter in Race 6 at New York at 9-to-1.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Junior Alvarado has a monster filly.

 

[PANARIN BREAD FAN]

Junior Alvarado has a monster filly.

good thing i boxed this horse with my first pick of abreu/prat - exacta was a nice 200 bucks.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

good thing i boxed this horse with my first pick of abreu/prat - exacta was a nice 200 bucks.

She is not built like most 2-year-old fillies. Tamara was a disappointment, she may not want to go two turns.

 

[PANARIN BREAD FAN]

She is not built like most 2-year-old fillies. Tamara was a disappointment, she may not want to go two turns.

whenever i see a favorite going off at even money or less in a big field and it will be the first time trying 2 turns at a different track i'll always take a shot and go against it. granted, the 2 horses i picked were also trying 2 turns for the first time as well but to me they both showed potential upside and was very possible to be in the picture.

 

[PANARIN BREAD FAN]

the one i'm most pissed off about was not playing fierceness. irad off johnny v on, which leads me to wonder how often does a horse pop off a win after someone else replaces irad. i used to do this with jose santos and garret gomez.

 

[PROUD PAPA]

Looked things over last night and here are my rather questionable conclusions.

Race # followed by top picks
5. 4-7-1
6. 7-12-1
7. 3-9-7
8. 10-4-8
9. 9-14-3

Wish me luck, i'm gonna need it.

^well that was awful.
I'll be taking a vow of silence from here on out.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

the one i'm most pissed off about was not playing fierceness. irad off johnny v on, which leads me to wonder how often does a horse pop off a win after someone else replaces irad. i used to do this with jose santos and garret gomez.

Gomez could ride with anyone....when he was focused. Tragic figure.

Looking at my notes, no jockey or trainer won more than once today during the SA card.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

^well that was awful.
I'll be taking a vow of silence from here on out.

Even the heartiest handicapper has struggled. When I watch the pre-race feeds, I generally look at when a horse is singled. That's it. Otherwise, too much minutia and race-day bias is absent from making such picks when hosts go four deep.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Friday, November 3, 2023

Santa Anita (California):

• Breeders' Cup Friday 2023: Limited to 2-year-olds called FUTURE STARS FRIDAY. Five of the 10 races were part of the Breeders' Cup World Championship.
• Attendance: 43,377.
• Handle: $61.7 million.

Breeders' Cup Friday Attendance & Handle Records​

2023: Santa Anita Park—43,377; $61,747,341​

2022: Keeneland—39,851; $66,141,766​

2021: Del Mar—20,536; $61,696,893​

2020: Keeneland—no attendance reported due to COVID-19; $51,409,606​

2019: Santa Anita Park—41,243; $56,517,228​

2018: Churchill Downs—42,249; $53,636,272​

2017: Del Mar—32,728; $52,273,883​

2016: Santa Anita—45,673; $49,651,600​

2015: Keeneland—44,497; $46,251,965​

2014: Santa Anita—37,205; $47,666,982​

2013: Santa Anita—35,633; $52,594,370​

2012: Santa Anita—34,619; $48,997,009​

2011: Churchill Downs—40,677; $52,095,202​

2010: Churchill Downs—41,614; $54,889,388​

2009: Santa Anita—37,651; $50,662,945​

2008: Santa Anita—31,257; $49,473,304​

2007: Monmouth Park—27,803; $31,499,007​

• Top Sire: Justify was the lone sire with two wins.
• No Repeats: 10 races won by 10 jockeys and 10 trainers.
• Race 5: Big Evs (Tom Marquand/Michael Appleby) raced for the first time outside of England in six lifetime starts and won the $1,000,000 Juvenile Turf Sprint.

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• Race 6: Just F Y I (Junior Alvarado/Bill Mott) has all the makings of a future superstar after winning the $2,000,000 Juvenile Fillies by a neck. She is 3 3-0-0 lifetime.

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• Race 7: Hard to Justify (Flavien Prat/Chad Brown) won the Juvenile Fillies Turf at 9-to-1. It was the second straight race Justify sired a Breeders' Cup winner.

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• Race 8: Fierceness (John Velazquez/Todd Pletcher) won the $2,000,000 Juvenile in a dominant victory by more than 6 lengths at 16-to-1. Mike Repole owned and homebred. Pletcher notched his 15th overall victory at the Breeders' Cup, Velazquez his 20th. Fierceness now becomes a leading contender for the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Only Street Sense and Nyquist have won this race and the Kentucky Derby.

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• Race 9: Unquestionable (Ryan Moore/Aidan O'Brien) won the $1,000,000 Juvenile Turf.

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[MiamiScreamingEagles]

TELEVISION on SATURDAY

Nov. 4	"America's Day at the Races"	11:30 a.m.-5:30 p.m.	FS2
Nov. 4	Broadcast of two Championship Saturday Breeders' Cup races	1:30 p.m.-3:30 p.m.	USA Network and Peacock
Nov. 4	Broadcast of five Championship Saturday Breeders' Cup races including the Breeders' Cup Classic	3:30 p.m.-7 p.m.	NBC and Peacock
Nov. 4	Live coverage of horse racing including eight Championship Saturday Breeders' Cup races	post time varies	FanDuel TV
Nov. 4	Live coverage of horse racing	post time varies	Racetrack Television Network

SATURDAY at SANTA ANITA

Race	Purse	Race Type	Distance	Surface	Starters	Est. Post
1	$250,000	Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance S.	1 5/8 M	Dirt	6	10:10 AM PT
2	$250,000	Twilight Derby	1 1/8 M	Turf	13	10:50 AM PT
3	$1,000,000	Big Ass Fans Breeders' Cup Dirt Mile	1 M	Dirt	9	11:30 AM PT
4	$2,000,000	Maker's Mark Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Turf	1 1/4 M	Downhill turf	12	12:10 PM PT
5	$1,000,000	PNC Bank Breeders' Cup Filly & Mare Sprint	7 F	Dirt	9	12:50 PM PT
6	$2,000,000	FanDuel Breeders' Cup Mile presented by PDJF	1 M	Turf	14	1:30 PM PT
7	$2,000,000	Longines Breeders' Cup Distaff	1 1/8 M	Dirt	11	2:10 PM PT
8	$4,000,000	Longines Breeders' Cup Turf	1 1/2 M	Downhill turf	13	2:50 PM PT
9	$6,000,000	Longines Breeders' Cup Classic	1 1/4 M	Dirt	13	3:40 PM PT
10	$1,000,000	Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint	5 F	Turf	16	4:25 PM PT
11	$2,000,000	Qatar Racing Breeders' Cup Sprint	6 F	Dirt	9	5:00 PM PT
12	$100,000	Allowance	About 6 1/2 F	Downhill turf	15	5:30 PM PT

 

[Orr Fourever]

I went ofer...

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Brittany! 8-1 winner at Laurel. Cold on the board.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

I went ofer...

Stand in line. Tough card on Friday. Better luck today.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

Wow. What intrigue involving Cody's Wish in the Big Ass Dirt Mile.

 

[GKJ]

That’s a tough interview to have to end it because there’s an inquiry. This can’t be a DQ.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

America's number one sports' story in any sport. Cody's Wish! Junior Alvarado is magnificent.

 

[MiamiScreamingEagles]

$21 million bet through three races at Santa Anita.

 

[PROUD PAPA]

Good for Cody's Wish. I could never root against that story but I had the 9.

 

[PANARIN BREAD FAN]

well the one i've been waiting for all day - kirstenbosch. wins with authority or totally off the board.

 

[PANARIN BREAD FAN]

well now - that totally sucked.

for the most part mostly short priced winners 2day. when that happens i will not make any money.