How many points will it take to make the playoffs?

[Axl Rhoadz]

Heard on the broadcast that of the next 16 games, 13 are at Staples Center. That should help with points and expect us to climb pretty fast and get back into the thick of things.

True, but I can't help thinking of that dreaded 8-game homestand two years ago.

 

[damacles1156]

Heard on the broadcast that of the next 16 games, 13 are at Staples Center. That should help with points and expect us to climb pretty fast and get back into the thick of things.

That would be encouraging; except the Kings have been a 500. team or below at home last few years.

Lets hope they break that trend.

 

[HansH]

After games of 2/21/13:

The target has shifted because of Minnesota's win. 55 points is now the target to safely enter the playoffs (54 points gives a tie from 7th-9th).

With the revised target, 19-13-1 is now the new record needed to reach the playoffs - a percentage of .591.

 

[Ollie Weeks]

Works out to winning 3 of every 5 games. Very doable.

 

[HansH]

After games of 2/23/13:

With an eventful set of results, the outcome is that the projected points to be safely into 8th place had fallen back down to 52. (The Kings currently project out to 54 points and a three-way tie for 5th-7th with Phoenix and San Jose, with Nashville in 8th at a projected 53 points)

To achieve 52 points, the Kings need a record of 17-15 the rest of the way (a percentage of .531 - their current season percentage is .563)

To win the division, the Kings only need to go 31-0-1 (if the Ucks were to keep this blistering pace).

 

[HansH]

After games of 2/24/13:

No meaningful changes. Record to get in is still 17-15. Record to win the Division is now 32-0.

 

[KingKopitar11*]

God the thing that sucks is that the kings usually suck at home, 13 of 16 at home

 

[Inner Turbulence]

God the thing that sucks is that the kings usually suck at home, 13 of 16 at home

well, they might not be world-beaters on home ice. But 3-1-1 this year, 22-14-5 and 25-13-3 the last couple of years add up to 50-28-9 and 109 points with a 63% point return on home ice. That's not terrible.

But hopefully this home streak can be even better.

 

[KingsKnight]

well, they might not be world-beaters on home ice. But 3-1-1 this year, 22-14-5 and 25-13-3 the last couple of years add up to 50-28-9 and 109 points with a 63% point return on home ice. That's not terrible.

But hopefully this home streak can be even better.

Using the past two years as an indication of points at home (49pts and 53pts), and adjusting for a 48 game schedule, we should get to about 30 points at home this year. We've already gotten 7 at home, so we should get 23 more points out of a remaining 19 home games left. Definitely doable.

 

[HansH]

After games of 2/25/13:

Target to make the playoffs remains 52 points. Record needed is now 16-15.

The Kings are currently projecting out to 56 points, which would give them clear 5th, one point in front of Nashville, and three points behind the Blues.

The record needed to win the Pacific Division now projects to 28-2-1.

 

[Telos]

The record needed to win the Pacific Division now projects to 28-2-1.

Freakin' Hawks...

 

[HansH]

Freakin' Hawks...

Last I checked, the Hawks didn't play in the Pacific Division

 

[Puck U]

Kings have only won FOUR straight, and SIX regulation wins in their last SEVEN games .... how PATHETIC !

Basically, it comes down to this with the Kings....you cross your fingers they make the playoffs, then who knows?
Certainly a far cry from the 'elite' teams of the league ... what a shame.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pot stirred

 

[Telos]

Last I checked, the Hawks didn't play in the Pacific Division

Ah, lol, read that too fast, thought you meant the Western Conference. That seems like a lofty prediction to gain 7 points on the Ducks. Hopefully they experience a losing streak starting today.

 

[HansH]

Ah, lol, read that too fast, thought you meant the Western Conference. That seems like a lofty prediction to gain 7 points on the Ducks. Hopefully they experience a losing streak starting today.

It _is_ a lofty projection (not prediction), because the Ucks' record has been extremely lofty -- that's how this "projection" business works. On their current pace, the Ucks project out to 76 points at season's end. Yesterday, the projection was 81 points, because their record was better before tonight's loss. This isn't prediction, and it's not foolproof -- it's just playing around with numbers.

 

[kingsfan]

Unless Fasth keeps his play at an unreal level, the DUcks won't keep up this pace. They are playing above their heads and we are were we are despite some weak goaltending to start the season and without three regular defensemen. I like our chances.

 

[HansH]

After games of 2/27/13:

54 points gets a team into the playoffs in the clear - 53 gets them into a multi-way tie where some teams don't make it.

So, despite the win, the record needed to make the playoffs actually gets a tiny bit tougher, to 16-14.

The record needed to win the Pacific is currently projected to 29-1.

 

[Ollie Weeks]

Home ice advantage is sitting at something like 19-10-1. Once Anaheim cools down that will be a likelier record for the division too I bet.

 

[damacles1156]

Home ice advantage is sitting at something like 19-10-1. Once Anaheim cools down that will be a likelier record for the division too I bet.

Road please....

 

[HansH]

Home ice advantage is sitting at something like 19-10-1. Once Anaheim cools down that will be a likelier record for the division too I bet.

I get 19-11 for home ice (total of 60 points)... or maybe even 18-11-1 (their current pace), as long as they keep the ROW tiebreaker over St. Louis (currently leading them 9-8 in that column despite otherwise identical records).

 

[HansH]

After games of 3/1/13:

53 points projects to a tie from 7th-9th place, meaning 54 is still the goal for making the playoffs in the clear, leaving the needed record at 16-14.

The record to win the Division is currently projected to 28-1-1.

 

[HansH]

After games of 3/2/13:

Target remains 54 points to make the playoffs in the clear. Translates to a 16-13 record (.552 percentage).

Record to take the Division projects to 28-1.

 

[HansH]

After games of 3/4/13:

With some shakeups, the target to get clear 8th place is now 53 points. That translates to a record of 14-13-1 in the remaining 28 games. The Kings are currently on pace to tie the Sharks for 4th/5th with 58 points each (and a first-round matchup).

The projected record to take the Pacific Division is now 26-2.

 

[Kings4thecup]

The projected record to take the Pacific Division is now 26-2.

That's a lot easier than it was a couple days ago.

 

[HansH]

That's a lot easier than it was a couple days ago.

And will continue to get easier if/when the Ucks continue to give away standings points.