How many goals will Auston Matthews score this season?

[Dion TheFluff]

if he stays cold, around 40 goals
if he gets hot, around 65 goals
I'll go somewhere in the middle around 50 - 55 goals

 

[Suntouchable13]

I will say only 33. I just feel it will be a season like this. Remember, Ovie also had a 33 goal season in the middle of his prime. It can happen. Especially now with his "upper body injury", he can miss 1 game or 10 games. We don't know

 

[PeE eL DuBoiS]

Imagine 40 goals being a "crash and burn" season.

 

[HockeyVirus]

Imagine 40 goals being a "crash and burn" season.

The same folks who said 70 goals means nothing cause of the playoffs will try to say an off regular season means something. He's more than proved his ability since entering the league.

Personally, if he has a great playoff I won't care if he scores 20

 

[lawrence]

41-50 which is still rather insane for a centerman.

Something seems off this season with him. Not sure what but something is up.

could be the coaching style. If it's more system based yea, some players might not produce as much.

 

[filinski77]

I will say only 33. I just feel it will be a season like this. Remember, Ovie also had a 33 goal season in the middle of his prime. It can happen. Especially now with his "upper body injury", he can miss 1 game or 10 games. We don't know

Yup 100% - nobody is top-5 goals every single year.

Ovi's 32 goal season was 14th in the league back in 2011. So Matthews finishing 14th would put him at ~41 goals most likely based on higher scoring last few years. To me 40 on a down year for Matthews just shows the calibre of elite he is.

 

[Video Nasty]

This guy had goal streaks of seven and eight games last season, during which he punched in twelve and ten goals. He had six hat tricks and an additional twelve two goal goals. That’s just last season, which ignores torrid streaks like what I call the “unofficial” unofficial 50 in 50.

With the rate he can pile on goals, I wouldn’t put it past him to still hit 60, even if he misses 10 games and plays with lingering effects all year long. He’s that good and deserves some benefit of the doubt.

In the regular season.

 

[bobholly39]

This guy had goal streaks of seven and eight games last season, during which he punched in twelve and ten goals. He had six hat tricks and an additional twelve two goal goals. That’s just last season, which ignores torrid streaks like what I call the “unofficial” unofficial 50 in 50.

With the rate he can pile on goals, I wouldn’t put it past him to still hit 60, even if he misses 10 games and plays with lingering effects all year long. He’s that good and deserves some benefit of the doubt.

In the regular season.

I'm of a similar mind. And - feel the same about McDavid and Art Ross to be honest, I think it's a very similar situation.

Both have done spectacular things, and very consistently, for years now. Matthews for goals, McDavid for overall points. I also could still see Matthews do 60+, and see McDavid win Ross and do ~140+ points himself.

But - both are off to bad starts. And got injured, and not 100% yet probably. So there's not certainty they do bounce back with another top season, but I'm feeling optmistic that they do.

 

[LEAFANFORLIFE23]

He's been dealing with an injury since camp, once He's healthy he will heat up and get his 50+.

Regardless though It's about April

 

[kevsh]

His slow start I think is not only due to the injury but in part a result of the transition to a different approach (north/south, tighter defensive play) under Berube.

The team is scoring less overall (down ~0.5/GPG vs. last season), and considering league scoring is usually higher early in the season it may drop further. But once he's healthy he'll go on a run and I expect finish in the high 40s but wouldn't be shocked if he finishes with 40-42 or so.

 

[DitchMarner]

I don't think the new system is affecting his offense all that much. He's not really a fancy player or an east-west kind of guy in the first place. He's a fairly direct player who plays sound positional hockey and gets himself open and goes to the dirty areas to score goals. Marner and Nylander are more east-west type players and are producing at >PPG clips under Berube.

Something seem to be off with Matthews physically. Once he gets healthy, he'll be fine. He's one of the most naturally gifted goal scorers I've seen. He doesn't always have monster goal scoring seasons (he had 40 or so two years ago), but I can't imagine that he'll finish with fewer than 40 goals.

 

[BallardEra]

He's been dealing with an injury since camp, once He's healthy he will heat up and get his 50+.

Regardless though It's about April

I get the feeling that more is going on here than the Leafs are letting on. It seems like they have been avoiding surgery and instead have had him playing through something with other ways of working to make it better.

Kypreos implied that it was not his wrist or shoulder. Could it be his back then?

Either way, I think it will continue to bother him in one way or another throughout the season.

 

[BallardEra]

If he returns on Tuesday and doesn’t miss any more games the rest of the season, this is what he will have to do in order to finish with 50 or 60 goals.


50 goals:

45 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 56 goal pace over 82 games.


60 goals:

55 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 68 goal pace over 82 games.

 

[NVious]

15, he had his Jonathan Cheechoo moment last year, it's back to reality.

 

[Plural]

51-60 goals.

 

[BallardEra]

51-60 goals.

He would need 46 goals in 66 games to get there.

That's a 57 goal pace over 82 games.

It depends on whether the injury he has will keep nagging him throughout the season or not.

 

[bobholly39]

If he returns on Tuesday and doesn’t miss any more games the rest of the season, this is what he will have to do in order to finish with 50 or 60 goals.


50 goals:

45 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 56 goal pace over 82 games.


60 goals:

55 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 68 goal pace over 82 games.

Yeah and he did something similar just 2 years ago (and that's ignoring his 69 goals last year).

2 years ago....started slow....got hot, 51 goals in 50 games....got injured/slowed down again at end.

So - 60 is still extremely possible for him. No guarantee he hits it of course, but I'm just saying it's definitely still within his reach.

 

[BallardEra]

Sounds like he's going to miss the next two games.

This could be the type of injury that nags him throughout the season.

 

[Video Nasty]

Ovechkin fans salivating.

 

[wetcoast]

Something seems off this season with him. Not sure what but something is up.

Came here to say this and haven't followed his injury status but he is shooting at close to half his usual rate of 16%.

Took the second option 41-50 but who knows with a lingering injury.

 

[Nogatco Rd]

Ovechkin fans salivating.

The opposite. Disappointed it sounds like Matthews is out Weds game vs the caps. Should be a good test regardless as Toronto has completely outclassed the caps the last few years.

 

[BallardEra]

Ovechkin fans salivating.

Not even close to the dislike most Pens fans have for McDavid.

 

[BallardEra]

Maple Leafs head coach Craig Berube was asked if Matthews has experienced any setbacks in his recovery from an upper-body injury that has shelved him since last week.

"No, not really. It's just not getting to where it needs to get to," Berube said after Toronto's morning skate. "So we're just trying to manage it, you know. Just trying to make sure when it comes back, he's good and 100 percent."

https://thehockeynews.com/nhl/toronto-maple-leafs/latest-news/its-just-not-getting-to-where-it-needs-to-get-to-auston-matthews-held-off-the-ice-for-the-second-consecutive-day-will-not-play-against-senators

 

[Auston Marlander]

With his slow start and IR stint I'll put him at 50-55 assuming no other missed time.