How many goals will Auston Matthews score this season?

How many goals will Auston Matthews score this season?


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    149

Dion TheFluff

Registered User
Jun 22, 2015
4,150
3,672
if he stays cold, around 40 goals
if he gets hot, around 65 goals
I'll go somewhere in the middle around 50 - 55 goals
 

Suntouchable13

Registered User
Dec 20, 2003
44,664
20,938
Toronto, ON
I will say only 33. I just feel it will be a season like this. Remember, Ovie also had a 33 goal season in the middle of his prime. It can happen. Especially now with his "upper body injury", he can miss 1 game or 10 games. We don't know
 

HockeyVirus

Woll stan.
Nov 15, 2020
19,596
30,036
Imagine 40 goals being a "crash and burn" season.

The same folks who said 70 goals means nothing cause of the playoffs will try to say an off regular season means something. He's more than proved his ability since entering the league.

Personally, if he has a great playoff I won't care if he scores 20
 
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filinski77

Registered User
Feb 12, 2017
2,715
4,487
I will say only 33. I just feel it will be a season like this. Remember, Ovie also had a 33 goal season in the middle of his prime. It can happen. Especially now with his "upper body injury", he can miss 1 game or 10 games. We don't know
Yup 100% - nobody is top-5 goals every single year.

Ovi's 32 goal season was 14th in the league back in 2011. So Matthews finishing 14th would put him at ~41 goals most likely based on higher scoring last few years. To me 40 on a down year for Matthews just shows the calibre of elite he is.
 

Video Nasty

Registered User
Mar 12, 2017
5,757
9,994
This guy had goal streaks of seven and eight games last season, during which he punched in twelve and ten goals. He had six hat tricks and an additional twelve two goal goals. That’s just last season, which ignores torrid streaks like what I call the “unofficial” unofficial 50 in 50.

With the rate he can pile on goals, I wouldn’t put it past him to still hit 60, even if he misses 10 games and plays with lingering effects all year long. He’s that good and deserves some benefit of the doubt.

In the regular season.
 
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bobholly39

Registered User
Mar 10, 2013
23,460
16,887
This guy had goal streaks of seven and eight games last season, during which he punched in twelve and ten goals. He had six hat tricks and an additional twelve two goal goals. That’s just last season, which ignores torrid streaks like what I call the “unofficial” unofficial 50 in 50.

With the rate he can pile on goals, I wouldn’t put it past him to still hit 60, even if he misses 10 games and plays with lingering effects all year long. He’s that good and deserves some benefit of the doubt.

In the regular season.

I'm of a similar mind. And - feel the same about McDavid and Art Ross to be honest, I think it's a very similar situation.

Both have done spectacular things, and very consistently, for years now. Matthews for goals, McDavid for overall points. I also could still see Matthews do 60+, and see McDavid win Ross and do ~140+ points himself.

But - both are off to bad starts. And got injured, and not 100% yet probably. So there's not certainty they do bounce back with another top season, but I'm feeling optmistic that they do.
 
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LEAFANFORLIFE23

Registered User
Jun 17, 2010
47,579
16,174
He's been dealing with an injury since camp, once He's healthy he will heat up and get his 50+.

Regardless though It's about April
 

kevsh

Registered User
Nov 28, 2018
3,674
5,162
His slow start I think is not only due to the injury but in part a result of the transition to a different approach (north/south, tighter defensive play) under Berube.

The team is scoring less overall (down ~0.5/GPG vs. last season), and considering league scoring is usually higher early in the season it may drop further. But once he's healthy he'll go on a run and I expect finish in the high 40s but wouldn't be shocked if he finishes with 40-42 or so.
 

DitchMarner

TheGlitchintheSwitch
Jul 21, 2017
11,169
8,191
Brampton, ON
I don't think the new system is affecting his offense all that much. He's not really a fancy player or an east-west kind of guy in the first place. He's a fairly direct player who plays sound positional hockey and gets himself open and goes to the dirty areas to score goals. Marner and Nylander are more east-west type players and are producing at >PPG clips under Berube.

Something seem to be off with Matthews physically. Once he gets healthy, he'll be fine. He's one of the most naturally gifted goal scorers I've seen. He doesn't always have monster goal scoring seasons (he had 40 or so two years ago), but I can't imagine that he'll finish with fewer than 40 goals.
 

BallardEra

Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
Dec 26, 2017
8,183
13,313
East York, Ontario
He's been dealing with an injury since camp, once He's healthy he will heat up and get his 50+.

Regardless though It's about April
I get the feeling that more is going on here than the Leafs are letting on. It seems like they have been avoiding surgery and instead have had him playing through something with other ways of working to make it better.

Kypreos implied that it was not his wrist or shoulder. Could it be his back then?

Either way, I think it will continue to bother him in one way or another throughout the season.
 
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BallardEra

Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
Dec 26, 2017
8,183
13,313
East York, Ontario
If he returns on Tuesday and doesn’t miss any more games the rest of the season, this is what he will have to do in order to finish with 50 or 60 goals.


50 goals:

45 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 56 goal pace over 82 games.


60 goals:

55 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 68 goal pace over 82 games.
 

bobholly39

Registered User
Mar 10, 2013
23,460
16,887
If he returns on Tuesday and doesn’t miss any more games the rest of the season, this is what he will have to do in order to finish with 50 or 60 goals.


50 goals:

45 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 56 goal pace over 82 games.


60 goals:

55 goals in the remaining 66 games which is a 68 goal pace over 82 games.

Yeah and he did something similar just 2 years ago (and that's ignoring his 69 goals last year).

2 years ago....started slow....got hot, 51 goals in 50 games....got injured/slowed down again at end.

So - 60 is still extremely possible for him. No guarantee he hits it of course, but I'm just saying it's definitely still within his reach.
 
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wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
24,853
11,689
Something seems off this season with him. Not sure what but something is up.
Came here to say this and haven't followed his injury status but he is shooting at close to half his usual rate of 16%.

Took the second option 41-50 but who knows with a lingering injury.
 
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BallardEra

Leafs&Caps Since 1982™
Dec 26, 2017
8,183
13,313
East York, Ontario
Maple Leafs head coach Craig Berube was asked if Matthews has experienced any setbacks in his recovery from an upper-body injury that has shelved him since last week.

"No, not really. It's just not getting to where it needs to get to," Berube said after Toronto's morning skate. "So we're just trying to manage it, you know. Just trying to make sure when it comes back, he's good and 100 percent."

 

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