How baseball evaluators view the prospects the Red Sox acquired in the Jackie Bradley Jr. trade - The Boston Globe
Alex Speier
Most of a half-dozen evaluators surveyed viewed Alex Binelas as the better prospect acquired by the Red Sox based on greater upside
Why did the Red Sox trade Hunter Renfroe after a career-best year and bring back Jackie Bradley Jr. — a more expensive player — after a career-worst year?
There are a few reasons. The Sox believe Bradley can rebound (“We all know that the ability that he has is better than what he showed this year,” said chief baseball officer Chaim Bloom) and that he can help upgrade what was a porous defense in 2022. Moreover, the Sox are likely to pursue another bat as a potential upgrade over Renfroe.
But a huge part of the move was the two prospects the Sox acquired from the Brewers: corner infielder Alex Binelas and middle infielder David Hamilton. In essence, the Sox used their financial clout to buy young talent.
So, who are the young players the Red Sox acquired?
Alex Binelas — third base/first base, 21 years old, 6 feet 3 inches, 225 pounds, bats left, throws right
Most of a half-dozen evaluators surveyed viewed Binelas as the better prospect based on greater upside. The Wisconsin native showed huge power in his amateur career at Louisville, creating a sense that he might emerge as a 2021 first-round pick.
But he suffered a fractured hamate bone at the end of his freshman year that required surgery at the start of his sophomore season, the pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign. When he got back on the field in 2021, he looked rusty, with swing-and-miss issues prompting a fall from first-round consideration.
But he found his groove as the season progressed and posted huge numbers over the final 27 games (.286/.377/.762 with 15 homers). On a team with Henry Davis, who went No. 1 overall to the Pirates, Louisville hitting coach Eric Snider offered a striking assessment.
“After probably 25 games in, I just thought for me personally — I see a lot of video and a lot of guys in college baseball — I just thought [Binelas] was the best hitter in the draft,” said Snider. “I just think he has a really good feel of the strike zone. I like his bat path. I like his loading action when he lands and he’s in a position to hit.”
Binelas showed the ability to launch long balls to all fields.
“He’s just scary, man,” said Boston College coach Mike Gambino.
While Binelas has good pitch recognition, his likely profile as a three-true-outcomes (home run, walk, strikeout) corner infielder (likely a first baseman) left him on the board for his hometown Brewers in the third round.
“I was shocked that he went in the third round,” said Snider. “I just always thought he was a first-rounder.”
Binelas had one of the best debuts of any 2021 draftee. After a brief stop in the Arizona Complex League, he went to the Low-A Carolina Mudcats, where he hit .309/.390/.583 with nine homers in 36 games.
While he has big league power, there’s a chance he’ll struggle to make contact against more advanced pitchers, in which case he’d struggle to forge a big league future. But he draws enough walks and remains sufficiently disciplined to convince many evaluators that he could become an everyday first baseman (perhaps with an occasional third base cameo) with power that scouts grade as a 60 or 70 on the 20-to-80 scale.
“Special power,” said Bloom.