I think that the Canes spent a lot of capital to not want to extend Guentzel. They're not going to pay above what they think he's worth, though, and there's no need for them to. We're one of the best teams in the league and we have a core that's still very young. Unlike inferior clubs, we have the luxury to play some hard-to-get like Florida/Tampa/Colorado/Vegas. And even if they don't sign him, they still cleared $4.5M in cap space with practically no consequences.
I do think, though, that out of all of our UFAs outside of Martinook, Guentzel is the likeliest keep of the bunch, because goal-scoring is the element that we lack.