HOH Top 60 Goaltenders of All Time (2024 Edition) - Round 2, Vote 1

[Dennis Bonvie]

From an outside perspective, this is all very informative but at some point it becomes redundant. Why is the debate still going on? No one is changing their vote at this point. Move onto the next round already.

There's zero chance the voting doesn't go:
Roy
Hasek
Plante
Sawchuck

In order...the more interesting rounds are coming up, this is just a dress rehearsal. I'm more interested in the case for Cujo or Belfour coming up than any of this.

Someone requested an extra week of discussion before voting. Others agreed.

Seemed very unnecessary in retrospect.

 

[Dennis Bonvie]

Absolutely, yes.

Hundreds?

In any case, if we're just going to defer to the, whatever, 15 writers whose job is not evaluating goaltending...then close the project down now, in my opinion. I'm not saying don't take any other opinions, clearly that's going to happen, clearly there's some value there.

Just in short...
Hall's 1957 - didn't win the 1st half of the year. Narrowly won the second half (though our voting is incomplete).
1958 - decent 1H win, lost 2H to the guy that was close in 1H. 108-104 victory.
1960 - 3rd in 1H, but Sawchuk didn't play in 2H, so there was no vote siphoning...allowing Hall to win 106-105.
1962 - 3rd in 1H, but Bower got no votes in 2H allowing Hall to work his way to a 2AS.
1963 - Tied Sawchuk for 1H.
1964 - Dominant 1H, got dummied in 2H by Charlie Hodge.
1966 - Lost 2H to Gump Worsley...
1967 - Was 3rd in 1H, 3rd in 2H, but because of the nature of this style of voting, he narrowly beats out DeJordy for the 2AS.
1969 - Got a 1AS narrowly, with just 39 decisions on a team where Plante had better numbers.

There's a reason why folks do interviews and not just read a resume. Saying that anyone is taking a "subjective angle" (which people use pejoratively, which is incorrect), but then leaning on the lack of transparency, incomplete voting records by a bunch of subjective writers that were generally associated with certain teams and possibly buddy buddy with some of the people involved here is just bizarre.

Just because it's on a piece of paper doesn't make it objective.

Watch...IQ | Skill | Skate | Compete | Misc.
Plante 9 | 8 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 7
Hall 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 7

(Not that I'm married to those numbers) - objectively by the numbers, Plante is better haha

But yeah, taking goofy things like 1H/2H voting that can be separated by a vote or two at pure face value and then applying it across eras and generations is a lower form of the boogey-man "subjectivity" in my opinion.

Gee, I wonder who we all should defer to?

 

[Michael Farkas]

Gee, I wonder who we all should defer to?

No one person, certainly. Otherwise, why did we summon a panel together? We could have just posted 70s list and CG's list and your list and then we could all run up to the corkboard like how you got grades in 1980's college movies haha

 

[MXD]

Yeah, I think there was a reason why Hasek above Brodeur is cannon. It's a case of "There's a question to be asked, but the answer's there".

I have super strong opinions on Hasek, Plante and Roy being Top-3 . Hall or Brodeur 4th, can live with either of these (I clearly have an opinion, it's just... weak). Anyone else would be, as far as I'm concerned, a mistake.

 

[Michael Farkas]

Someone requested an extra week of discussion before voting. Others agreed.

Seemed very unnecessary in retrospect.

Only if people chose not to take advantage of the time...I know that my ballot had some places changed during this time. There's obviously a lot to consider and I'm not sure where it will land.

Unrelated, "Sawchuk after 1955" the below the line stuff that might not show on H-R...

1956 - 1 Hart vote, 4th in 1H voting (incomplete 2H voting).
1957 - Dominant 1H win for 1AS (67-45 over Plante). Quit. Finished 3rd overall.
1958 - Zippo.
1959 - 3rd in Hart voting 1H. 1st goalie. (Bathgate 67, Howe 36, Sawchuk 31). 1H win for 1AS.
1960 - 7th in Hart voting (7 points) - 2nd goalie. Likely 1st goalie in 1H Hart voting (Hall had 0 Hart votes in 1H). Narrow 2nd place finish (68-65 to Plante) in 1H 1AS voting. Shutout in 2H to fall to 3-AS.
1961 - Scant 1H votes (2)
1962 - Just 43 games, nothin'
1963 - 1H Hart win. Tied 1AS in 1H. Distant 3rd in 2H voting.
1964 - Weak 2H Hart votes (3, basically same as Bower and Hall). 9 1H for AST. That's only 5th place in 1H
1965 - Balanced (10-13) ballot for 1H/2H. Narrowly 5th (23) behind Hall (27).
1966 - Nothin' for 27 games.
1967 - Similar but lesser version of 1965. Finished 5th with a (5-4) card. Only Giacomin and Hall really got votes in both halves. Very unbalanced year.
1968 - Weak 2H votes (3).

For folks that eyeball incomplete H-R records, it looks like Sawchuk has nothing going on after 1955.

But compared to guys like Tony Esposito, who has all these scant votes, they get counted as these 5 and 6 and whatever AS votes...it looks like he was relevant and Sawchuk wasn't. I'm not sure that that is necessarily a fair data viz.

 

[MXD]

But compared to guys like Tony Esposito, who has all these scant votes, they get counted as these 5 and 6 and whatever AS votes...it looks like he was relevant and Sawchuk wasn't. I'm not sure that that is necessarily a fair data viz.

It's a good thing we aren't comparing Sawchuk and Esposito.

 

[Michael Farkas]

It's a good thing we aren't comparing Sawchuk and Esposito.

We aren't. But there is a lot of talk about "nothing after 1955" for Sawchuk, while others might look at "consistent longevity" or whatever for other goalies simply because of inconsistent data visualization. Just using it to stand up the qualification. Naturally, it doesn't apply to most goalies at this level.

 

[The Pale King]

Reading back through the thread now, apologies I didn't contribute after my one (relatively useless) comment) on the first page. I was using an E-sim on my phone and couldn't navigate beyond the hfboards main page without running into a "400ginx" error message. Frustrating. I didn't have computer access for the last 16 days or so.

 

[DN28]

Absolutely, yes.

Hundreds?

In any case, if we're just going to defer to the, whatever, 15 writers whose job is not evaluating goaltending...then close the project down now, in my opinion. I'm not saying don't take any other opinions, clearly that's going to happen, clearly there's some value there.

Just in short...
Hall's 1957 - didn't win the 1st half of the year. Narrowly won the second half (though our voting is incomplete).
1958 - decent 1H win, lost 2H to the guy that was close in 1H. 108-104 victory.
1960 - 3rd in 1H, but Sawchuk didn't play in 2H, so there was no vote siphoning...allowing Hall to win 106-105.
1962 - 3rd in 1H, but Bower got no votes in 2H allowing Hall to work his way to a 2AS.
1963 - Tied Sawchuk for 1H.
1964 - Dominant 1H, got dummied in 2H by Charlie Hodge.
1966 - Lost 2H to Gump Worsley...
1967 - Was 3rd in 1H, 3rd in 2H, but because of the nature of this style of voting, he narrowly beats out DeJordy for the 2AS.
1969 - Got a 1AS narrowly, with just 39 decisions on a team where Plante had better numbers.

There's a reason why folks do interviews and not just read a resume. Saying that anyone is taking a "subjective angle" (which people use pejoratively, which is incorrect), but then leaning on the lack of transparency, incomplete voting records by a bunch of subjective writers that were generally associated with certain teams and possibly buddy buddy with some of the people involved here is just bizarre.

Just because it's on a piece of paper doesn't make it objective.

Watch...IQ | Skill | Skate | Compete | Misc.
Plante 9 | 8 | 8.5 | 8.5 | 8 | 7
Hall 8 | 7.5 | 7.5 | 7 | 7

(Not that I'm married to those numbers) - objectively by the numbers, Plante is better haha

But yeah, taking goofy things like 1H/2H voting that can be separated by a vote or two at pure face value and then applying it across eras and generations is a lower form of the boogey-man "subjectivity" in my opinion.

Not every company does interviews when they got a resumé from someone with significantly more experience than all other applicants.

Hall had more 1st all-stars than Plante and Sawchuk combined.

Talking about the "nerves" and how hard it was playing in the O6 era.. Hall did not have breaks, he played whenever he was expected to play. If people want to prefer Roy / Brodeur over Hašek due to being healthier, maybe they should also prefer Hall over Plante / Sawchuk for the same reason. Hall was more reliable than either Plante or Sawchuk on day to day basis from his 1st NHL season till his last. Hall didn't have knee or elbow injuries, didn't face asthma or mental illnesses, depressions etc.

Having said that, I'm not married to that argument either. I admitted the all-star argument for Hall is "hardly convincing", so I'm not going to defend it more. All it does that it shows Hall was relevant for a long time, season by season, for multiple teams in two different decades filled with great goaltending talent.

 

[Michael Farkas]

Hall had more 1st all-stars than Plante and Sawchuk combined.

If my math is correct, he is literally two ballots away - across a 20 year span - as being even with Plante. Which doesn't even bite into the 39-decision one where he was worse statistically on the same team as Plante in '69.

It's bandied about like it's some stone cold lock of a thing. But it's a hanging chad away from it being a completely different narrative. A vote or two. But yet it somehow gets this untouchable weight...but that's not how the people thought at the time. You're taking a very, very scattered opinion, skimming the very top, and applying the binary result as some gospel.

Now, if Hall was out there killing everyone for years and years fine...but winning 106-105 or whatever and proclaiming "more than everyone combined!!!" isn't representing this somewhat questionable data in a legitimate way.

If win-loss and binary aspects are so important to you, I'd hate to see what that means for Hall's playoff record...or Hasek's...

But yes, Hall was relevant...more than relevant...downright impactful for a long time, that's why he's up for discussion. No question. But like @jigglysquishy I think has asked..."who names Hall as the best ever?" Sawchuk gets that press. Plante gets that press. Does Hall? Doesn't sound like a guy that was better at anything than Plante and Sawchuk combined or what have you.

And again, if binary victories win the day...Hall falls well out of the top 5, of course.

 

[ContrarianGoaltender]

Great post.

I just want to add my interpretation of Glenn Hall's coaching situation. I think the main difference between Rudy Pilous and Billy Reay on the 60s Hawks is that Pilous had better depth defensive players and used them better. For example, penalty killing specialists Earl Balfour and Bob Turner, and rock-solid veteran defensemen Jack Evans and Dollard St Laurent. And you can see the team scoring under Pilous was more balanced than under Reay.

Reay came in and gave more ice time to the top two lines and unleashed Pierre Pilote. Hull and Mikita started killing penalties. This worked well for much of the season but the Hawks fell off in March and lost in the playoffs every year, possibly because they overplayed their stars and didn't have the depth required for the playoffs. And their penalty kill was a weak point.

Then Reay really changed to a more defensive style around 1970, reining Hull and Mikita in. But Hall was gone by then.

I firmly believe Hall's defensive support in the playoffs was better under Pilous than under Reay. In the regular season? I don't know, if the numbers point to Reay maybe that's the way to go. But I do think Reay's approach changed to be more defensive after Hall left, so I think your numbers might be too low on Hall with Reay.

Really appreciate your feedback. I think I'm almost definitely giving Hall too much credit for the Pilous years (especially post-1960) and not enough for the Reay years.

I know that these ratings assume every coach was the same for their whole careers and that team strength doesn't vary, which isn't realistic, but the results look meaningful in aggregate to me as a rough baseline (although I'm certainly far from the most knowledgeable poster here when it concerns historical NHL coaches).

Anything stand out here as seeming majorly out of place? These are mostly the best guys ever, no?

Top Coach Ratings, Min. 500+ GP (1948-49 to 2023-24):

Rank	Coach	GP	Rating
1​	Tommy Ivan	503​	0.78​
2​	Al Arbour	1607​	0.88​
3​	Pat Burns	1019​	0.90​
4​	Billy Reay	1102​	0.90​
5​	Bruce Cassidy	673​	0.90​
6​	Jacques Lemaire	1262​	0.91​
7​	Fred Shero	734​	0.91​
8​	Scotty Bowman	2141​	0.91​
9​	Punch Imlach	889​	0.92​
10​	Dick Irvin	889​	0.92​
11​	Roger Neilson	1000​	0.92​
12​	John Muckler	648​	0.92​
13​	Claude Julien	1274​	0.92​
14​	Bob Pulford	829​	0.93​
15​	Toe Blake	914​	0.93​
16​	Randy Carlyle	924​	0.94​
17​	Barry Trotz	1812​	0.94​
18​	Duane Sutter	1479​	0.95​
19​	Alain Vigneault	1363​	0.95​
20​	Michel Therrien	814​	0.96​

And the flipside (I'll lower the cutoff since these ones tend to get fired more quickly):

Bottom 10 Coach Ratings (min. 400 GP):

Rank	Coach	GP	Rating
1​	Fred Glover	424​	1.15​
2​	Guy Boucher	423​	1.11​
3​	Bill Peters	438​	1.09​
4​	Milt Schmidt	770​	1.09​
5​	Tom McVie	462​	1.08​
6​	Jack Capuano	483​	1.08​
7​	Ron Low	505​	1.08​
8​	Sid Abel	964​	1.08​
9​	Don Cherry	480​	1.07​
10​	Dallas Eakins	404​	1.07​

 

[BM67]

Since it's about names without any context, he did beat Billy Smith by 31 points.

Context? You mean like comparing Smith's 87 SV% to Roy's 88 SV%? Smith 88 is higher than Roy 87 too.

 

[overpass]

I started compiling data on 3rd period performance, tied, and with a 1 goal lead. I've finished Hasek but I don't think I'll get anyone else done. But since we're talking about this I may as well drop the data here.



Data is excluding 1991-1993 and 2008, just the seasons for which he was the starter. Hasek's overall playoff GAA in these seasons was 1.96.

Hasek tied in the third period: 534 TOI, 17 GA, 1.91 GAA
Hasek with a third period one goal lead: 378 TOI, 14 GA, 2.22 GAA

Yes, Hasek's goals against were a little higher with a one goal lead. The difference between 2.22 GAA and 1.96 GAA over 378 minutes is about 1.5 extra goals against.

Hasek's team was 25-28 in playoff games that were tied at some point in the third, and 33-7 in playoff games in which they led by one goal at some point in the third.

Games where he allowed the opponent to tied the game in the third are below. His team was 7-7 in those games. Which I guess is about what we would expect from games that were tied late.

Date	Tm		Opp	DEC
1997-04-17	BUF		OTT	W
1998-04-22	BUF	@	PHI	W
1998-05-01	BUF	@	PHI	W
1998-05-08	BUF		MTL	W
1998-06-04	BUF		WSH	L
1999-06-08	BUF	@	DAL	W
2001-04-17	BUF		PHI	W
2001-05-08	BUF	@	PIT	L
2001-05-10	BUF		PIT	L
2002-04-17	DET		VAN	L
2007-04-17	DET	@	CGY	L
2007-05-11	DET		ANA	W
2007-05-13	DET		ANA	L
2007-05-20	DET		ANA	L

Overall? I'd like to have numbers from other goalies to compare, but Hasek's performance in these close 3rd period playoff situations basically matched his overall playoff numbers. Even the slight underperformance in holding 3rd period leads is basically all caused by the 2007 Anaheim series, when he was 42 years old.

I compiled the same numbers (playoffs only) for Patrick Roy. Roy's third period results when this team was up by one late were not good. His GAA in these situations was 3.53, far above his career average of 2.30, and he surrendered a 3rd period one goal lead in almost half of games where he had such a lead.

Although Roy's team often bailed him out by scoring to win the game, especially in Montreal, 17 of his 94 career playoff losses came in games when his team had led in the third period.

All numbers below are playoffs only.

Career/3rd period/leading by 1: 781 TOI, 46 GA, 3.53 GAA. 3.44 in Montreal, 3.61 in Colorado.

Roy's team led by one goal in the third period in 87 of his career 247 playoff games. Of those 87 games, he surrendered a third period lead in 43 (49%). His team was 70-17 in those games. 44-0 in the games in which he didn't allow a third period goal, and 26-17 in the games in which he did.

Montreal: The team was 18-0 when he didn't give up the lead, and 13-5 when he did. So they still managed to score and bail out Roy most of the time when he gave up a lead late.

Colorado: The team was 26-0 when he didn't give up the lead, and 13-12 when he did.

These are the games where Roy gave up a third period lead. 6 times in 1993 (but Montreal still won 5 of them, including 4 against Buffalo), 4 of 6 games against Chicago in 1996, 5 of 12 games against Edmonton in 1997 and 1998, 6 times in 2002 including 3 against Detroit.

From 1986-1993, Roy particularly struggled to hold playoff leads against Adams division opponents Boston, Buffalo, Hartford, and Quebec. His GAA against these teams (playoffs, 1 goal lead, 3rd period), was 3.98, and he surrendered a 3rd period lead 17 times out of 30 games where Montreal led by 1 in the third.)

Date	Tm		Opp
1986-04-10	MTL		BOS	W
1986-04-29	MTL		HAR	W
1987-04-09	MTL		BOS	W
1988-04-06	MTL		HAR	W
1988-04-10	MTL	@	HAR	L
1989-04-09	MTL	@	HAR	W
1989-04-21	MTL	@	BOS	W
1990-04-21	MTL	@	BOS	L
1991-04-05	MTL		BUF	W
1991-04-11	MTL		BUF	W
1992-05-05	MTL		BOS	L
1993-04-18	MTL	@	QUE	L
1993-05-02	MTL		BUF	W
1993-05-04	MTL		BUF	W
1993-05-06	MTL	@	BUF	W
1993-05-08	MTL	@	BUF	W
1993-05-18	MTL		NYI	W
1994-04-16	MTL	@	BOS	L
1996-05-02	COL		CHI	L
1996-05-06	COL	@	CHI	L
1996-05-08	COL	@	CHI	W
1996-05-13	COL	@	CHI	W
1996-05-19	COL	@	DET	W
1997-05-07	COL	@	EDM	L
1997-05-11	COL		EDM	W
1997-05-17	COL		DET	L
1998-04-22	COL		EDM	L
1998-04-26	COL	@	EDM	W
1998-04-30	COL		EDM	L
1999-05-28	COL		DAL	W
1999-05-30	COL	@	DAL	W
2000-04-15	COL		PHX	W
2001-04-12	COL		VAN	W
2001-05-16	COL	@	STL	L-OT
2001-05-18	COL	@	STL	W
2001-06-02	COL	@	NJD	L
2002-04-18	COL		LAK	W
2002-05-06	COL	@	SJS	L
2002-05-11	COL		SJS	L
2002-05-20	COL	@	DET	W
2002-05-22	COL		DET	L-OT
2002-05-27	COL	@	DET	W
2003-04-22	COL		MIN	L-OT

Roy's career GAA when tied in the third was 2.36 (1094 TOI, 43 GA), basically the same as his career playoff GAA of 2.30.

Anyway, it's just one aspect of Roy's great career, but it is a black mark. Roy was great in playoff overtimes, and deserves the credit he gets for his OT performance - but sometimes the game only went to OT because he allowed a third period goal.

 

[seventieslord]

If you want to talk about how impressive .914 is in 1992, then yes to numbers.

If you want to claim #1 in 1988 is better than #3 in 1997, then no to numbers. Pang is 3rd in GSAA in 1988, not a strong year for goalies.

1992 was the only season with any decent competition for the title.

Belfour: not in the top 10 any of the four years
Beezer: 10th 1988, 4th 1992
Barrasso: 6th 1988
Fuhr: not in the top 10 any of the four years
Joseph: 3rd 1992
Moog: 8th 1990
Vernon: 4th 1989
Richter: 6th 1992
Hextall: 7th 1989
McLean: 7th 1992
Ranford: not in the top 10 any of the four years

Maybe they weren't great years for goaltending, and maybe almost every year between 1980 and 1991 get painted with that brush because it was a high scoring league.

And yes I know where all those guys placed in save percentage. The point is, if all you want to do is cherrypick who was 2nd and cite their names because they don't sound impressive to you, then it should also be noted which goalies were in the league at the time as well - during those years we had one who will place very highly on this list, three more who will place, three who may, two more who will be discussed and two who were on the fringe of consideration. It wasn't a goalie wasteland. A lot of goaltenders who a lot of us consider good, great, excellent, even hall of fame, were playing during those seasons, many were in their primes and these seasons are part of the resumes they established that got them considered for this project (on that note, what the hell is wrong with Pete Peeters? He spent the entire 1980s getting Vezina votes and placing highly in the save percentage rankings for multiple franchises and coaches).

And the impressiveness of Roy's save percentage title in 1989 isn't judged solely by the fact that he beat Jon Casey by 8 points - that's just one data point, part of a greater set that also says he beat Vanbiesbrouck by 27 points, Fuhr by 33 points, Barrasso by 28 points, Moog by 31, Vernon by 12, and Hextall by 17.

No one cares about Darren Pang posting nice stats one season or Jon Casey doing it twice. We care about the guys who do it year after year. We know that those flukey anomalies can happen. They always have and they still do. It doesn't invalidate what other goalies do in those seasons, and especially not what they do year-in-year-out.

 

[seventieslord]

If my math is correct, he is literally two ballots away - across a 20 year span - as being even with Plante. Which doesn't even bite into the 39-decision one where he was worse statistically on the same team as Plante in '69.

It's bandied about like it's some stone cold lock of a thing. But it's a hanging chad away from it being a completely different narrative. A vote or two. But yet it somehow gets this untouchable weight...but that's not how the people thought at the time. You're taking a very, very scattered opinion, skimming the very top, and applying the binary result as some gospel.

Now, if Hall was out there killing everyone for years and years fine...but winning 106-105 or whatever and proclaiming "more than everyone combined!!!" isn't representing this somewhat questionable data in a legitimate way.

If win-loss and binary aspects are so important to you, I'd hate to see what that means for Hall's playoff record...or Hasek's...

But yes, Hall was relevant...more than relevant...downright impactful for a long time, that's why he's up for discussion. No question. But like @jigglysquishy I think has asked..."who names Hall as the best ever?" Sawchuk gets that press. Plante gets that press. Does Hall? Doesn't sound like a guy that was better at anything than Plante and Sawchuk combined or what have you.

And again, if binary victories win the day...Hall falls well out of the top 5, of course.

100%, the all-star voting records are important, but also margins of victory need to be considered. I believe it was BM67 as long as 15 years ago who started to convince me on Plante vs. Hall and Sawchuk. A few of those years were essentially ties and we don't have to say, "the voters chose Hall that year so he was the best." It's a piece of evidence but it was close enough that we can look at the full body of evidence.

 

[Michael Farkas]

Anyway, it's just one aspect of Roy's great career, but it is a black mark. Roy was great in playoff overtimes, and deserves the credit he gets for his OT performance - but sometimes the game only went to OT because he allowed a third period goal.

Thanks for doing this. I was a little skeptical of my own surface level research on this w/r/t Roy because he was the only one that played between 1980 and 1993 in the group, essentially.

Both my number and your numbers seem to really stick out from the pack. You got him at an extra goal and a third per 60 from his norm. I have him giving up a 3rd period lead every 5 and a half games, which doesn't appear to fluctuate much as he traversed into the DPE either, just eyeballing it. The median there is Brodeur at over 'once every 8+ games'. It's not a small gap.

He lost a ton of 3rd per/OT ties in Colorado too.

I don't know, man...between that, your numbers, a pretty rotten go of it from a large chunk of his prime and near-prime...likely having had an equal or more impactful defensive situation than Brodeur...I don't know...his grip on #1 for me is getting more and more tenuous...

 

[VanIslander]

You keep naming how many HOFers are on which teams, is that more indicative of goalie play? haha

It is a counterpoint to the cup counting.

Being the 5th best player vs. the best player on a team affects a goalie's chances of winning cups.

 

[Michael Farkas]

Is Cup counting happening?

Would Cup counting NOT be happening if Hasek had won in 1999, 2002, and 2008? Based on some of the rhetoric, I think it's easy to infer that if he won the Cup in 1999, he would have been awarded a Nobel Prize and his face would be plastered over Atlas' with the world on his shoulders haha

 

[seventieslord]

Not trying to open a can of worms here, but a lot of work has been done isolating a lot of different "types" of goals against. Some that matter more, some that matter less... what's left? in a tight playoff game, where almost every goal has some eventual importance, what are "normal" goals that we don't either hold against the goalie to a greater extent, or whitewash away?

I mean, if they allow the first goal, that's bad. if they allow a tying goal that's bad. if they allow a winning goal, that's bad. garbage time goals get disregarded. In the dead puck era, it feels like most goals would be in one of those categories, so what's even left?

 

[Michael Farkas]

Well, ties and lead surrendering is limited to the 3rd and OT for me. First goal of a game has more value in some systems than others in my opinion, so I don't give it full freight. Get your point, but just adding some context.

If it were up to me, quality would be a bigger factor here. But if I can't have the best thing, I'll have something better than what we had...

And by the way, if there was ever a project to open a can of worms...this is it...

 

[overpass]

Thanks for doing this. I was a little skeptical of my own surface level research on this w/r/t Roy because he was the only one that played between 1980 and 1993 in the group, essentially.

Both my number and your numbers seem to really stick out from the pack. You got him at an extra goal and a third per 60 from his norm. I have him giving up a 3rd period lead every 5 and a half games, which doesn't appear to fluctuate much as he traversed into the DPE either, just eyeballing it. The median there is Brodeur at over 'once every 8+ games'. It's not a small gap.

He lost a ton of 3rd per/OT ties in Colorado too.

I don't know, man...between that, your numbers, a pretty rotten go of it from a large chunk of his prime and near-prime...likely having had an equal or more impactful defensive situation than Brodeur...I don't know...his grip on #1 for me is getting more and more tenuous...

Yeah. I'm shocked at the size of the effect. I realize it's not a lot of minutes but these are super important minutes when it comes to winning Cups. And much of the reason to have Roy at 1 is his playoff resume and impact on winning Cups.

I'd like to see more of St Patrick slamming the door and locking down the close wins, and less "oh well, Patrick gave up another lead so we'll just score again."

 

[overpass]

Not trying to open a can of worms here, but a lot of work has been done isolating a lot of different "types" of goals against. Some that matter more, some that matter less... what's left? in a tight playoff game, where almost every goal has some eventual importance, what are "normal" goals that we don't either hold against the goalie to a greater extent, or whitewash away?

I mean, if they allow the first goal, that's bad. if they allow a tying goal that's bad. if they allow a winning goal, that's bad. garbage time goals get disregarded. In the dead puck era, it feels like most goals would be in one of those categories, so what's even left?

I take your point. I feel like I haven't been able to put these numbers in perspective enough. Ideally I'd have the numbers for all situations, league averages for those situations, and then analyze them properly.

That said, there are three that stick out to me even with the limited data, and I think they add to the overall picture.

1. Roy didn't hold third period playoff leads well
2. Plante was really good early in playoff games during the dynasty (which his teammates remembered)
3. Ken Dryden was pretty shaky early in a lot of playoff games, and as TCG pointed out his team bailed him out a lot.

 

[jigglysquishy]

The idea of Plante at 1 is becoming increasingly enticing. I didn't vote that way but I'm open to it being a thing.

 

[rmartin65]

The idea of Plante at 1 is becoming increasingly enticing. I didn't vote that way but I'm open to it being a thing.

Plante is quite possibly breaking up what I thought was a pretty firm top 2 for me, as well.

 

[Michael Farkas]

I'd like to see more of St Patrick slamming the door and locking down the close wins, and less "oh well, Patrick gave up another lead so we'll just score again

If you aren't relying on Steph LeBeau to bail you out in the playoffs, you aren't livin...