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JoeThorntonsRooster

Don’t say eye test when you mean points
May 14, 2012
33,596
26,129
Fremont, CA
Lane is also pacing to have one of the highest scoring rookie dman seasons in history. Ahead of many past Norris winners. And that's with his numbers being slightly lower because of not starting on pp1. Right now he's pacing to finish just ahead of Lidstrom.
Saying he's scoring at a higher rate than many past Norris winners (in a very high scoring era, no less) is like saying Michkov is scoring at a rate higher than many past Selke winners. Anybody who won the Norris scoring at a rate below Hutson's won it because they were perceived to be elite defensively; something nobody is even pretending Hutson is.
 

NikolaTesla

Registered User
Aug 2, 2009
373
388
Yes agree with more difficult position.

But their RAPM xGA/60 is the same, Michkov has better xG differential, better actual Goals differential.

Michkov is actually scoring at a higher rate. All situations 3.27 pts/60 compared to 3.05/60 for celebrini.
xGA/xGF is only relevant when comparing players from the same team on the same line facing the same quality of opposition. Other than that, theyre team statistics and sucks at evaluating individual players unless you can have the same parameters (see my first sentence).
 

Ezpz

No mad pls
Apr 16, 2013
15,413
11,976
Saying he's scoring at a higher rate than many past Norris winners (in a very high scoring era, no less) is like saying Michkov is scoring at a rate higher than many past Selke winners. Anybody who won the Norris scoring at a rate below Hutson's won it because they were perceived to be elite defensively; something nobody is even pretending Hutson is.
The people who finished ahead of Lane's current pace also played in an even higher scoring era. The fact is lane would be pacing for second or third all time if he started on pp1 while Michkov is pacing for 50th or so while being easily the worst defensive forward in the league.
 

FlyguyOX

Registered User
Jun 29, 2018
4,451
4,521
Only advanced stats can show us plebs why a guy having a lower PPG (Michkov) actually scores at a higher pace than the other (Celebrini)...
Celebrini advocates are the ones bringing context into the discussion. If you're discussing a scoring pace/rate then you must account for how often the player plays.

xGA/xGF is only relevant when comparing players from the same team on the same line facing the same quality of opposition. Other than that, theyre team statistics and sucks at evaluating individual players unless you can have the same parameters (see my first sentence).
RAPM.
 

JoeThorntonsRooster

Don’t say eye test when you mean points
May 14, 2012
33,596
26,129
Fremont, CA
The people who finished ahead of Lane's current pace also played in an even higher scoring era. The fact is lane would be pacing for second or third all time if he started on pp1 while Michkov is pacing for 50th or so while being easily the worst defensive forward in the league.
The last 3 Norris winners alone scored 86, 101, and 92 points. Are you saying Hutson would be pacing for more than 86 points if he started on PP1, or did you mix up the Norris Trophy and the Calder?
 

Ezpz

No mad pls
Apr 16, 2013
15,413
11,976
The last 3 Norris winners alone scored 86, 101, and 92 points. Are you saying Hutson would be pacing for more than 86 points if he started on PP1, or did you mix up the Norris Trophy and the Calder?
I'm saying that he is outpacing guys who are currently in the top 10 rookie dman seasons in history like Lidstrom and Chelios. He's not far off passing Makar and Hughes' rookie season paces as well.
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,034
11,821
Let's just enjoy having two future elite super star forwards (seems very likely to me) having a great battle.
When was the last time, we had two great rookie forwards (who turned out to become elite forwards) like this? Malkin and Kopitar?

McDavid vs. Panarin does not count to me, because one was hurt for to many games and the other one was way older.
Man now you have done it, we are going to have our 10000th who is better thread Malkin or Kopitar....well not really.

I won't point out the obvious answer here.
 
Last edited:

Sparty

Registered User
Oct 2, 2015
1,297
832
Lane is also pacing to have one of the highest scoring rookie dman seasons in history. Ahead of many past Norris winners. And that's with his numbers being slightly lower because of not starting on pp1. Right now he's pacing to finish just ahead of Lidstrom.
He's on pace for three goals this year. Am I taking crazy pills in this thread or wtf?
 

Star Platinum

Registered User
May 11, 2024
1,125
1,745
Celebrini advocates are the ones bringing context into the discussion. If you're discussing a scoring pace/rate then you must account for how often the player plays.


RAPM.
Rage Against Philly's Machine

Puck you, I won't vote how you tell me

now-you-do-what-they-told-ya-zack-de-la-rocha.gif
 

SoundAndFury

Registered User
May 28, 2012
12,119
6,132
There is still a period left, but Michkov has been pointless in the last four games and -6 in the last three games. That precious +/- he has hanging over Celebrini is slipping away :eek3:
 

wetcoast

Registered User
Nov 20, 2018
25,034
11,821
I'm saying that he is outpacing guys who are currently in the top 10 rookie dman seasons in history like Lidstrom and Chelios. He's not far off passing Makar and Hughes' rookie season paces as well.
The thing is that it's all relative to the season they are in.

Lidstrom finished 9th overall in Dman scoring and was excellent defensively while Hutson is currently 15th in Dman scoring and.....

The Calder is a 2 man race just like last year and then the field.
 

Tkachuk Norris

Registered User
Jun 22, 2012
16,097
7,607
Not really even close between Michkov and Celebrini. I love Michkov and think he could be the next Kucherov but Celebrini is a two way C who has a higher ppg…
 

matt trick

Registered User
Jun 12, 2007
10,263
2,455
Great Celebrini Breakdown: Hockey PDOcast Film Room

Last comment was they need to do a d-man, but the probelm (along with more minutes to review) is defenseman aren't as involved. Seems like a Hutson one could be good. I'd also love to see them do a deep dive in Michkov and Stankhoven.

These clips do an awesome job of the many things Celebrini does defensively (and in converting defense to offense).

I'm completely biased, but that's about the most fun breakdown I've seen of a player.
 

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