GDT: GM#32 LA Kings vs Buffalo Sabres @4:00pm 12/11/18

[deaderhead28]

Petereson's performance is what? He played well.....what the hell is he talking about

It's been rumored Quick will be traded and Petersons performance is the reason why.

 

[fsanford]

Petereson's performance is what? He played well.....what the hell is he talking about

He's saying that is why Quick trade talks might be happening, he is praising Peterson, at least that is how I read it.

 

[GoldenBearHockey]

He's saying that is why Quick trade talks might be happening, he is praising Peterson, at least that is how I read it.

Completely misread it to begin with, I was thinking he thought Petersen played like crap, so dismiss any whispers you might here....

 

[deaderhead28]

Was hoping the L would come in regulation...

Makes no sense to keep losing.Kings arent getting better odds at Hughes being dead last.Team needs to start winning some games to not fall so far back they can't catch the teams in the lower standings.Rules have since changed for the first overall pick.

 

[KINGS17]

Makes no sense to keep losing.Kings arent getting better odds at Hughes being dead last.Team needs to start winning some games to not fall so far back they can't catch the teams in the lower standings.Rules have since changed for the first overall pick.

Not quite sure what you are saying here, but being dead last gives a team the highest percentage of getting the first overall pick, and you are guaranteed of falling no lower than 4th overall.

 

[deaderhead28]

Not quite sure what you are saying here, but being dead last gives a team the highest percentage of getting the first overall pick, and you are guaranteed of falling no lower than 4th overall.

Thats ok,whichever team finishes dead last, has only an 18.5 percent at picking first overall or an 81.5 percent chance of losing the lottery and a 50/50 shot at falling out of the top three all together.

 

[LAKings88]

Not quite sure what you are saying here, but being dead last gives a team the highest percentage of getting the first overall pick, and you are guaranteed of falling no lower than 4th overall.

Yep, it is actually pretty important to finish last.

 

[deaderhead28]

Yep, it is actually pretty important to finish last.

Actually not.18.5 percent at picking first overall being dead last.

 

[KINGS17]

Thats ok,whichever team finishes dead last, has only an 18.5 percent at picking first overall or an 81.5 percent chance of losing the lottery and a 50/50 shot at falling out of the top three all together.

So, 18.5 % is better odds than the finishing next to last. The Kings don't need to win more games to improve their draft position, which is how I interpreted your post.

 

[LAKings88]

The Kings are in last place,need to be 4th worse to get the best odds to get 1st overall pick.The biggest "loser," aka whichever team finishes dead last, has only an 18.5 percent at picking first overall or an 81.5 percent chance of losing the lottery and a 50/50 shot at falling out of the top three all together.

What is the fourth place team’s odds?

 

[deaderhead28]

 

[LAKings88]

Actually not.18.5 percent at picking first overall being dead last.

The point is to not drop past four.

 

[KINGS17]

Actually not.18.5 percent at picking first overall being dead last.

Actually yes it is, DFL guarantees you 100% will get a top 4 pick, and roughly a 50/50 chance you will pick in the top 3 overall. Finish fourth from last, and you have a 60% chance of picking in the 5th or 6th slot overall.

 

[deaderhead28]

What is the fourth place team’s odds?

50.6% picking first.

 

[Yatzhee]

The Kings are last place down to only 4 defensemen and Refs had to help to beat the Kings.Not impressed by the next generational dynasty Sabres.

Sabres fan coming in peace.
You mean, the "generational dynasty Sabres" that have taken on bloated contracts that fill our 2nd and 3rd lines with a couple of complementary and rookie players?
Buffalo is just coming out of the rebuild my friend. Take a good hard look at their pipeline of talent, in the AHL, Jr's, over seas, signed and unsigned. Plus four 1st round picks in the next 2 drafts, which look to be valuable.

I'd pay attention to GM Jason Botterill, who you should be familiar with, since he helped construct and maintain the Pittsburgh Penguins to 3 Stanley Cups in his tenor there.
They shouldn't be taken lightly.

Good game, enjoy your evening on the coast.

 

[deaderhead28]

Actually yes it is, DFL guarantees you 100% will get a top 4 pick, and roughly a 50/50 chance you will pick in the top 3 overall. Finish fourth from last, and you have a 60% chance of picking in the 5th or 6th slot overall.

Actually no,4th place has the better odds at 50.6%.

 

[KINGS17]

50.6% picking first.

That's wrong, finishing 4th from last gives a team only a 9.5% chance of picking 1st overall, and around a 32% chance of picking in the top 4. Finishing DFL means a team is guaranteed 100% to pick in the top 4. You are reading the table incorrectly. The last place team has a 50.6% chance of picking #4 overall.

2019 NHL Draft Lottery Odds

TEAM	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Chicago	18.5	16.5	14.4	50.6
Los Angeles	13.5	13.0	12.3	33.3	27.9
St. Louis	11.5	11.3	11.1	13.2	37.7	15.2
New Jersey	9.5	9.6	9.7	2.8	26.1	34.0	8.3
Ottawa	8.5	8.7	8.9		8.4	34.5	26.7	4.3
Vancouver	7.5	7.8	8.0			16.3	38.9	19.4	2.1
Philadelphia	6.5	6.8	7.1				26.0	39.5	13.1	1.0
Arizona	6.0	6.3	6.7					36.8	36.0	7.8	0.4
Florida	5.0	5.3	5.7						48.8	30.7	4.3	0.1
Detroit	3.5	3.8	4.1							60.5	25.7	2.4	0.0
NY Rangers	3.0	3.3	3.6								69.6	19.4	1.1	0.0
Carolina	2.5	2.7	3.0									78.0	13.3	0.4	0.0
Vegas	2.0	2.2	2.4										85.5	7.8	0.1
Pittsburgh	1.5	1.7	1.8											91.8	3.2
Edmonton	1.0	1.1	1.2												96.7

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

 

[LAKings88]

50.6% picking first.

Never mind. Thanks Kings17.

 

[deaderhead28]

That's wrong, finishing 4th from last gives a team only a 9.5% chance of picking 1st overall, and around a 32% chance of picking in the top 4. Finishing DFL means a team is guaranteed 100% to pick in the top 4. You are reading the table incorrectly. The last place team has a 50.6% chance of picking #4 overall.

2019 NHL Draft Lottery Odds

TEAM	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15
Chicago	18.5	16.5	14.4	50.6
Los Angeles	13.5	13.0	12.3	33.3	27.9
St. Louis	11.5	11.3	11.1	13.2	37.7	15.2
New Jersey	9.5	9.6	9.7	2.8	26.1	34.0	8.3
Ottawa	8.5	8.7	8.9		8.4	34.5	26.7	4.3
Vancouver	7.5	7.8	8.0			16.3	38.9	19.4	2.1
Philadelphia	6.5	6.8	7.1				26.0	39.5	13.1	1.0
Arizona	6.0	6.3	6.7					36.8	36.0	7.8	0.4
Florida	5.0	5.3	5.7						48.8	30.7	4.3	0.1
Detroit	3.5	3.8	4.1							60.5	25.7	2.4	0.0
NY Rangers	3.0	3.3	3.6								69.6	19.4	1.1	0.0
Carolina	2.5	2.7	3.0									78.0	13.3	0.4	0.0
Vegas	2.0	2.2	2.4										85.5	7.8	0.1
Pittsburgh	1.5	1.7	1.8											91.8	3.2
Edmonton	1.0	1.1	1.2												96.7

[TBODY] [/TBODY]

Look I'm going off what John Hoven is saying.Dont shot the messenger.

 

[KINGS17]

Look I'm going off what John Hoven is saying.Dont shot the messenger.

You are not interpreting what he said correctly. Either that or Hoven doesn't know how to say it clearly.

 

[deaderhead28]

You are not interpreting what he said correctly. Either that or Hoven doesn't know how to say it clearly.

You sure?

 

[KINGS17]

View attachment 164269
You sure?

Yep, I'm sure.

 

[deaderhead28]

Yep, I'm sure.

Alright thanks for the correction.

 

[deaderhead28]

You are not interpreting what he said correctly. Either that or Hoven doesn't know how to say it clearly.

Yup I was wrong.I was misinterpreting the chart.I finally caught what I was doing wrong.I was looking at it as draft position % of teams 1-4 getting 1st overall instead of the % of the 1st overall team chances of drafting 1st thru 4th.Thanks again K17

 

[damacles1156]

You want to finish dead last, it guarantee's you will picking a top four player.