Speculation: Gaudreau's next contract.

Dust

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I actually think he's a player that will age well and not be a boat anchor 4 years into it. His game doesn't rely on speed, he's more shifty than he is fast, and he's not physical so his body hasn't really taken a beating. I think he'll age similar to Patrick Kane. Definitely a risky move to give an 8 year deal that would expire when he's 37 though.
 
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Ledge And Dairy

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You clearly do not understand that the 8th is supposed to garner you negotiation advantage thru be able to offer more salary, and it can also spread out the total cap hit over 1 year longer term. I never said the players care about cap hit, the team do. You know how your 9.6m over 8 doesnt match 11m over 7? Because its the same freaking total salary over 1 extra year of work, koodos to you if you sign that. Can you really sit here and tell me JG this season isnt better than barkov last year? Because thats what the players thinking gonna be. So im on pace for like 110 pts and prob a top 3 hart candidate, 80m over 8 is the minimum im looking for, probably aiming for pararin range.
I'm pretty sure every team in the league would take Barkov over Gaudreau in a heartbeat. I highly doubt Johnny gets 10Mx8 let alone more than that
 

crazyfisherman

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Sep 22, 2012
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I'm pretty sure every team in the league would take Barkov over Gaudreau in a heartbeat. I highly doubt Johnny gets 10Mx8 let alone more than that
You literally name one bargain contract and you know barkov took a slight discount. For one barkov i can raise you panarin, Tavares, marner, Matthews. You think JG should get paid less than these guys
 
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pman25

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Aug 29, 2009
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$11.5 aav I would guess and you know, he's probably worth it. Gaudreau type players are the ones you "overpay" for especially if he actually does hit free agency. Maybe a little less if he goes a full 8 and stays in Calgary
 

crazyfisherman

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Sep 22, 2012
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None of those players signed 8 year deals, and 2 of those 4 players were under 23. Those aren't comparable at all unless Gaudreau walks
Yea they are under 23 so their bloat contracts even has rfa years, its not helping. 8 years is a bargain chip where if you offered 8 yrs you can probably get tavares contract down to 10/10.5, no the same total value but over 8 years that you seem to believe.
 

TheHudlinator

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Nov 21, 2011
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Lol…if that is the case, he would have asked for Monny to be his line mates. He is not crazy.
I mean not really the guy has been through so many surgeries, Gaudreau can trust Sutter and still think with a real offseason his best friend can rebound and be an effective player. It would also be in the Flames advantage to get Gaudreau to agree to a discount on a 8 year deal for 1 year for Monahan to try and rebound
 

Ledge And Dairy

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Yea they are under 23 so their bloat contracts even has rfa years, its not helping. 8 years is a bargain chip where if you offered 8 yrs you can probably get tavares contract down to 10/10.5, no the same total value but over 8 years that you seem to believe.
So basically you are speculating with zero basis yet when I provide a good example like Barkov, or Mark Stone (top 5 RW in the entire league) they don't count because they took discounts. Why Is Gaudreau not allowed to take a discount to be on a winning team too?
 

crazyfisherman

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Sep 22, 2012
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So basically you are speculating with zero basis yet when I provide a good example like Barkov, or Mark Stone (top 5 RW in the entire league) they don't count because they took discounts. Why Is Gaudreau not allowed to take a discount to be on a winning team too?
Im the one with 0 basis, you are the saying why cant JG take a discount. Why would i expect anyone to take a discount? If he takes one great, but why would i expected anyone to leave money on the table? Stone who came off a clearly inferior season got 9.5m doesnt help your case. And you know damn well you were arguing less than 10 for 8 years is fair value, not a discount contract. I gave you comparable, pararin and Tavares and you act like that 8th yr is the be all end all and somehow turned whats supposed to be an advantage to the home town team into a disadvantage thru your amazing negotiations
 

RunItBackAgain

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Oct 14, 2021
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I actually think he's a player that will age well and not be a boat anchor 4 years into it. His game doesn't rely on speed, he's more shifty than he is fast, and he's not physical so his body hasn't really taken a beating. I think he'll age similar to Patrick Kane. Definitely a risky move to give an 8 year deal that would expire when he's 37 though.
His birthday is in August and will turn 29. An 8 year deal would be 29, 30, 31, 32, 33, 34, 35, and 36. Pretty sure someone even said 38 earlier in the thread. 36 isn’t very old especially for a player who plays with almost no contact in his game. I’d say Flames give him 8x10 no problem.
 
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Deen

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Feb 19, 2010
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Calgary might be better off not signing him in my opinion. I would throw the money at Tkachuk and then insulate him from there.
 

Ledge And Dairy

Registered User
Im the one with 0 basis, you are the saying why cant JG take a discount. Why would i expect anyone to take a discount? If he takes one great, but why would i expected anyone to leave money on the table? Stone who came off a clearly inferior season got 9.5m doesnt help your case. And you know damn well you were arguing less than 10 for 8 years is fair value, not a discount contract. I gave you comparable, pararin and Tavares and you act like that 8th yr is the be all end all and somehow turned whats supposed to be an advantage to the home town team into a disadvantage thru your amazing negotiations
You are the one calling it a discount. 10M for Barkov is a fair contract, same as Eichel who is a similar caliber player so 9-10M should be considered "fair" for Gaudreau. Also how is Stone "clearly inferior" when he was coming off an selke finalist season where he put up over a PPG before the trade and nearly 2 pts per game in the playoffs. The only player in the league to sign for 11M+ on an 8 year deal is McDavid. Kane and Toews both got 10.5M x 8 but they also won 3 cups
 

crazyfisherman

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Sep 22, 2012
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You are the one calling it a discount. 10M for Barkov is a fair contract, same as Eichel who is a similar caliber player so 9-10M should be considered "fair" for Gaudreau. Also how is Stone "clearly inferior" when he was coming off an selke finalist season where he put up over a PPG before the trade and nearly 2 pts per game in the playoffs. The only player in the league to sign for 11M+ on an 8 year deal is McDavid. Kane and Toews both got 10.5M x 8 but they also won 3 cups
Selke vs hart, i wonder which one is more impressive. Lindholm is gonna be a finalist for the selke, you tell me whose better. Eichel? The one where it was hes 2nd contract that bought out a bunch of RFA years? Might as well use Drais contract as a comparable then. When Tavares are making 11 and rfa eichel and Matthews at 10.5+, you damn right barkov is on a slight discount. So for ufa contract you have stone, barkov, Tavares, panarin, given that JG is literally 3rd in scoring and the most important player on the team thats a cup contender, hes worth 10-11. Stop bring up the 8th yr like its so valuable when you arent even willing to pay for it. offer 11x7 if you think thats equivalent to 9.6x8 then and screw the 8th year. Believe it or not, the actual comparable offer to 11x7 is 10/10.5x8.

Also since you love the stone comparable, he signed before he was a selke finalist and the playoffs even started. 11 pts in 18 games in the regular season and didn't average 2 ppg in the playoffs either so lets not make stats up
 

JesusNPucks

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Take it from this Stars fan, don’t pay your late-20’s superstar players $9.5+ per year—the team will very likely regret it sooner rather than later.
 

Ledge And Dairy

Registered User
Selke vs hart, i wonder which one is more impressive. Lindholm is gonna be a finalist for the selke, you tell me whose better. Eichel? The one where it was hes 2nd contract that bought out a bunch of RFA years? Might as well use Drais contract as a comparable then. When Tavares are making 11 and rfa eichel and Matthews at 10.5+, you damn right barkov is on a slight discount. So for ufa contract you have stone, barkov, Tavares, panarin, given that JG is literally 3rd in scoring and the most important player on the team thats a cup contender, hes worth 10-11. Stop bring up the 8th yr like its so valuable when you arent even willing to pay for it. offer 11x7 if you think thats equivalent to 9.6x8 then and screw the 8th year. Believe it or not, the actual comparable offer to 11x7 is 10/10.5x8.

Also since you love the stone comparable, he signed before he was a selke finalist and the playoffs even started. 11 pts in 18 games in the regular season and didn't average 2 ppg in the playoffs either so lets not make stats up
You know I cant wait to see how poorly your posts age, you keep trying to compare 5-7 year deals to 8 year deals yet when I give examples of multiple 8 year deals you dismiss them as all bad examples or outliers. I'm done debating this with you as I could have a more productive conversation with a wall. See you in 4-5 months
 

crazyfisherman

Sharangovich fanboy
Sep 22, 2012
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You know I cant wait to see how poorly your posts age, you keep trying to compare 5-7 year deals to 8 year deals yet when I give examples of multiple 8 year deals you dismiss them as all bad examples or outliers. I'm done debating this with you as I could have a more productive conversation with a wall. See you in 4-5 months
Says the genius that thinks 11mx7 is matched by 9.6mx8. arent you the cutest. Btw you gave 2, if you think JG isnt better than stone at when he signed the contract then its even more lol worthy
 

PAZ

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Jul 14, 2011
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Panarin is easily the best comparable (salary cap was only $1 mil less too).

I'd say Gaudreau will sign for a 8 x $9.5 mil contract +/- 300k.
 

Tobias Kahun

Registered User
Oct 3, 2017
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You know I cant wait to see how poorly your posts age, you keep trying to compare 5-7 year deals to 8 year deals yet when I give examples of multiple 8 year deals you dismiss them as all bad examples or outliers. I'm done debating this with you as I could have a more productive conversation with a wall. See you in 4-5 months
It's odd how you complain that he dismisses all your contracts you list, which arent comparable, and then just turn around and dismiss his.
 

PAZ

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Jul 14, 2011
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Easily the best comparable so he signs for 2m less?
7 x 11.6 mil = $74.5 mil
8 x 9.5 mil = $76 mil

If you go on the high end 8 x 9.8 mil =$78.4 mil which would mean Gaudreau earns the exact same as Panarin but gets an extra $4 mil for his 8th year. How much do you expect Gaudreau to be paid/worth when he's 37?
 
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Ledge And Dairy

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It's odd how you complain that he dismisses all your contracts you list, which arent comparable, and then just turn around and dismiss his
Because I provided legitimate reason on why his comparisons made no sense whereas his reason for the ones I provided was "well they took discounts so they don't count"

We are talking about an 8 year deal with the Flames why would you use anything other than 8 year deals as comparisons?
 

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