How bout high danger shooting percentage? Pasternak is a much better goal scorer than Kyrou, sorry. Kyrou excellent at creating chances, not finishing them.
I'm not aware of any publicly available data that breaks down individual shooting percentage by danger. Anyone digging that deep is selling the data (as they should). But none of the available numbers support your claim that Kyrou is "excellent at creating chances, not finishing them."
He is not at (or even near) the top of league in high danger chances or expected goals. This year, Kyrou is 96th in the NHL in individual high danger chances and 73rd in individual expected goals. In the previous 3 seasons combined he was 152nd in individual high danger chances and 83rd in individual expected goals. He is simply not a guy who has an elite or near-elite volume of chances. He is 'good' in this area, but he is simply not at-or-near the top of the league in the raw number of chances.
However, he is noticeably higher up the list in actual goals. This year he is in a 12 way tie for 28th in actual goals and in the 3 year sample he is 40th in actual goals. He is consistently outscoring what he
should be scoring based on the danger of his chances. Let's compare how he outscores his chances to the way other studs do (2021/22 through 2023/24):
His 'individual goals over individual expected goals' is +30.06. That is 15th in the NHL. Drai is 1st at +51.8, with Matthews (+47), Pasta (+41.67), Tage (+38.06), and Rantanen (+36.77) rounding out the top 5. Kyrou outscores his expected goals by a near-elite margin.
Let's look at the ratio of high danger chances to goals. Kyrou had a goal for every 2.22 high danger chances. That is the 9th highest ratio of the 86 players who scored 70+ goals in that 3 year sample. Panarin, Keller, Stamkos, McCann, Ovi, Drai, Pasta, and Tage were the 8 guys who had fewer high danger chances per goal scored. So again, Kyrou's 'goals per high danger chance' is in that near-elite territory.
It is possible that he sucks at shooting the puck on high danger chances, but balances that out by being the best low-and-medium danger shooter in the league. I think that is much, much, much less likely than the alternative explanation that you simply don't see (or notice, or remember) all of the misses from high danger chances around the league (elite finishers included).
The reality of the sport is that the vast majority of high danger chances don't result in goals. Over 80% of high danger shots are saved by the goalie. That number does not count any high danger shot attempt that is blocked, hits the post, or goes high/wide. Goalies have stopped 68% of all attempts in the history of the shootout. That is an environment that selects for the best shooters on the team AND allows them to choose their speed without a back checker limiting their options. And guys still score less than a third of the time.
I wouldn't consider Kyrou an elite finisher. But he is absolutely a high level finisher and I think he converts his high danger chances at a comparable level to the other non-elite high level finishers.
