And yet, in all three of those games, we were wildly out-chanced.
While we gave up leads or ties, we're still outmatched most of the time. The system and compete that Warsofsky has installed is great and it makes me far less concerned about a "culture of losing." But we are nowhere near contenders. If we pull out of the rebuild too quickly we'll end up in the middle.
I predicted 10 points from December and we're sitting at 4 with 5 games left. We could go 3-2 but it looks like that might be hard.
What's that saying about horseshoes and hand grenades? The teams above us in the standings also beat or almost beat good teams on occasion. I like our rebuild better than just about any team, and I love the system and effort, but no, we are not 1-2 players away. We are 1-2 elite players and another 1-2 solid players away, plus the development of the players in the room.
We might be able to push for a wildcard next year IF, and only IF, Grier makes miracles in the FA market, Smith steps way, way up, Asky plays like a top 10 goalie, Eklund gets closer to PPG, Walman doesn't regress, Mukh plays better than Thrun and Ferraro, we get a surprise from a D prospect who beats out Thrun/Ferraro, AND we add another very solid top 4 D in FA/trade, AND Celebrini takes a step to 1.1-1.2ppg plus 2-way next year.
But my prediction is we are sniffing wild card all next year but aren't actually that close in the end, finishing 10-15 worst. Would be awesome - means that Celebrini is the Truth and Smith is maturing. Still on track to try to make playoffs as early as 2027 and no earlier.