I didn't believe the percantages at first... we were like 9-10% a week ago.
It has to do with the 'head to heads'. A lot of wacky stuff can happen. If we get hot right now, we could ride it into the playoffs.
If we sweep the PIT and BOS series, that makes up 4pts in the standings, onboth.. Those teams play eachother as well, so we'd hope 1 team beats the other consistently. Everything else then starts to look obtainable.
We have a lot of NJ, BUFF, WAS and PHI. Hopefully the Fishies don't screw us, but they usually fall of late season though. I'm pretty sure we went 16-9 at some point last year, or something relatively close to that... We would have to do something similar. 20-5. One game at a time.
We just need Shesty back
Honestly, before Zibanejad got back to himself, I thought there was no way. But if he continues doing Zibanejad-type things on the ice, and Miller can limit some of the rookie mistakes he's been making,
and we stay healthy, then I do think we have a legitimate shot at getting into this thing.
The issue is, nothing on your roster is guaranteed this season. With COVID-19 protocols, the deepest team has the best chance, since you never know when your best players are going to miss a handful of games. And, quite frankly, we are the least deep team in the division other than the Devils and Buffalo. So many key players on our team missed a bunch of games this year, and you have to imagine that it will continue with this fast-paced schedule and just the general circumstances we are dealing with.
And also, our goaltending situation has been a total clusterf***. We are accustomed to hall-of-fame levels of goaltending and consistency, and we just haven't gotten it this year with Shesty struggling, then getting hot, then getting hurt, and our backups getting exposed for what they are.
Kincaid is definitely pulling his weight above expectations, but he's still not someone you want to rely upon for weeks at a time. Still, even though he has lost us a few games and let in some softies, he's also come up with tremendous highlight-real saves every time he's played which is really unexpected. Even though he gave up 3, last night was his best game of the season so far. He didn't get a star but should've - he basically won us that one.
Georgiev looks like a total headcase right now. He's a disappointment and his value has dropped tremendously. He is just moving too much in the crease and doesn't look like he's thinking the game correctly. Frankly, I think Kincaid has outplayed him.
Regardless, we aren't going anywhere as an organization unless Shesterkin gets healthy and stays that way for a prolonged period of time. I'm getting worried about his longevity.